Calculating-Bush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$423

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-01 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

87% 100% +$3

Other

13% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$135	77	77	+0	open	—	06-01 11:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$122	66	66	+0	No	+$2	05-10 13:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$42	83	83	+0	open	—	05-07 21:28
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$40	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$37	167	167	+0	open	—	05-07 20:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$20	67	67	+0	No	+$0	05-07 21:27
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	Yes	+$2	05-07 21:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	06-01 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 11:52:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc6d6c3…
06-01 11:49:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x722d16…
05-17 20:22:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xa28206…
05-16 21:13:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	89¢	$64	0x951661…
05-12 22:45:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0x7f08f7…
05-10 13:17:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$62	0x06eb58…
05-08 05:18:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x7bb1c4…
05-07 21:41:06	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x617c58…
05-07 21:28:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	83	27¢	$22	0x00fbe4…
05-07 21:27:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x44e702…
05-07 21:17:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xf10e7f…
05-07 21:15:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x7aeac5…
05-07 20:47:26	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$20	0x2a0728…
05-07 20:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xf310cf…
05-07 09:54:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xc11156…
05-07 09:53:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	157	5¢	$8	0xc3ed2c…
05-07 08:58:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0x0e0063…
05-07 08:54:01	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x54ab26…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	8	$6.79M	9,964	06-10 00:03
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	8	$536.2K	1,265	06-09 16:40
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	8	$225.2K	699	06-09 13:59
Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1	8	$187.1K	741	06-07 21:27
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	8	$101.4K	1,329	06-10 00:38
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	8	$57.9K	6,080	06-09 17:08
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	8	$28.6K	233	06-08 20:53
Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b	8	$26.6K	409	06-09 13:58