Realized P&L
+$588
Unrealized P&L
+$383
Hit rate
94.1%
Resolved
14
Trades
21,895
lifetime
Volume
$429.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$559
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
84% 77% +$686
Other
15% 0% $-99
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 623 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +964 $125 12¢ $121 $-4 06-15 17:31
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -350 $-108 32¢ $-114 $-5 06-07 05:16
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -229 $-103 32¢ $-73 +$29 06-23 11:52
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -117 $-81 56¢ $-66 +$15 05-31 05:17
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -72 $-47 61¢ $-44 +$3 06-08 19:41
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +92 $39 44¢ $41 +$2 06-11 23:09
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +68 $31 45¢ $31 $-1 06-23 11:38
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes -33 $-25 72¢ $-24 +$1 06-07 09:00
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -54 $-19 30¢ $-16 +$3 06-16 08:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,600 $-360 $-9 +$351 06-15 13:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,216 $10 $6 $-4 06-29 14:02
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +22 $2 29¢ $6 +$4 06-08 21:37
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Yes -3,495 $-32 $-3 +$28 06-08 09:16
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $3 $3 $-0 06-21 14:26
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +26 $2 $1 $-0 06-05 06:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +201 $15 $1 $-15 06-18 17:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $24 16¢ $0 $-24 06-16 23:33