Realized P&L
+$19.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$594
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
2,729
Trades
38,076
lifetime
Volume
$710.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Politics
82% 57% +$17,676
Other
17% 55% +$1,038
Crypto
1% 72% +$380
Sports
0% 77% +$9
Tech
0% 100% +$160
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 843 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $243 60¢ $182 -$62 10-19 11:38
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -598 -$272 23¢ $-138 +$134 10-13 10:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,000 $123 4¢ $115 -$7 10-23 09:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? No +5,746 $153 2¢ $115 -$38 10-27 01:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $87 47¢ $94 +$7 10-26 06:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +1,000 $66 8¢ $85 +$19 10-25 10:45
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +1,600 $44 4¢ $72 +$28 10-26 17:10
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 $84 33¢ $66 -$18 10-20 21:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +894 $46 6¢ $58 +$12 10-27 03:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,899 -$14 2¢ $34 +$48 10-24 15:39
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +1,792 $83 2¢ $32 -$51 10-24 08:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? Yes +8,000 $12 0¢ $32 +$20 10-27 01:27
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +631 -$99 5¢ $32 +$130 10-27 01:30
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,119 -$11 3¢ $30 +$41 10-22 07:43
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +266 $63 11¢ $28 -$35 09-30 16:33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $14 1¢ $23 +$8 10-26 23:19
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes +240 $12 8¢ $20 +$8 10-26 17:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +553 -$21 4¢ $19 +$40 10-27 05:37
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +296 $27 6¢ $19 -$7 10-23 19:36
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +132 $2 15¢ $19 +$17 10-24 07:58
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +452 -$135 4¢ $17 +$152 10-26 15:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +6,500 $35 0¢ $16 -$18 10-26 19:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +259 $20 6¢ $14 -$6 10-25 18:53
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -14 -$39 82¢ $-11 +$28 07-13 17:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +64 $6 17¢ $11 +$5 10-26 14:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +16 $7 52¢ $9 +$2 10-24 13:58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +124 -$19 6¢ $8 +$27 10-22 09:42
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +56 $6 13¢ $7 +$1 10-26 03:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +141 -$82 3¢ $4 +$86 10-26 10:48
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +11 -$21 5¢ $1 +$22 10-26 14:53