Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e814…309fbd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$513
Unrealized P&L
+$281
Hit rate
16.8%
Resolved
26
Trades
33,794
lifetime
Volume
$99.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$267
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
55% 43% $-228
Other
41% 11% $-287
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$2
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1884 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +1,558 $16 2¢ $24 +$9 06-27 14:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +100 $20 24¢ $24 +$4 06-25 20:36
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $-78 2¢ $23 +$101 06-24 00:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +54 $-16 38¢ $21 +$37 06-11 19:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,550 $6 1¢ $20 +$14 06-29 13:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +3,086 $31 1¢ $17 $-14 06-28 06:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +150 $18 11¢ $16 $-2 06-15 15:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +4,299 $3 0¢ $15 +$12 06-29 10:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +100 $20 15¢ $15 $-5 06-01 00:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +11,530 $45 0¢ $12 $-33 06-28 16:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +2,906 $72 0¢ $10 $-61 06-29 01:23
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 8¢ $8 $-2 05-29 05:09
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,259 $-72 0¢ $8 +$80 06-30 00:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -6,950 $-252 0¢ $-7 +$245 06-07 15:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,195 $16 0¢ $5 $-10 06-28 16:00
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +2,054 $33 0¢ $5 $-28 06-13 03:40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,910 $41 0¢ $5 $-36 06-26 07:05
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +4,839 $13 0¢ $5 $-8 05-16 23:13
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +3,135 $-28 0¢ $5 +$33 06-30 00:22
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +84 $1 5¢ $5 +$4 06-18 23:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +4,406 $12 0¢ $4 $-7 06-23 00:20
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -78 $-21 5¢ $-4 +$17 06-06 08:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +1,022 $14 0¢ $3 $-12 06-26 20:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +1,827 $35 0¢ $2 $-33 06-17 23:59
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +721 $-1 0¢ $2 +$3 06-14 23:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes +208 $10 1¢ $2 $-9 06-12 22:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +600 $14 0¢ $1 $-13 06-09 14:35
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $0 $-1 06-18 15:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-07 18:34