Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e814…309fbd
whale bot hot 30W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.28K
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved (90d)
1,095
Trades (90d)
36,883
96,056 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$52.2K
$185.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$3.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Politics
53% 27% +$17,785
Other
42% 27% +$5,509
Tech
4% 34% +$263
Sports
1% 47% +$65
Crypto
0% 38% +$133
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$103
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2064 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +1,495 -$17 22¢ $329 +$346 10-26 16:12
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +800 $120 30¢ $244 +$124 10-04 18:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,150 $40 9¢ $187 +$147 10-25 20:21
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +15,650 -$107 1¢ $180 +$287 10-26 10:22
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +7,356 -$16 2¢ $143 +$160 10-26 11:47
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +350 -$27 39¢ $136 +$163 10-20 19:58
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,000 -$11 1¢ $130 +$141 10-24 14:50
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,200 -$121 10¢ $118 +$238 10-25 22:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,200 $44 10¢ $116 +$73 10-26 22:33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +200 -$268 55¢ $110 +$378 09-23 12:28
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +500 -$3 22¢ $110 +$113 10-05 20:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +451 -$315 23¢ $103 +$418 09-28 07:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +250 $45 39¢ $98 +$52 09-29 19:13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 -$26 32¢ $96 +$123 10-07 03:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +1,450 $43 6¢ $94 +$51 10-25 23:09
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +4,372 -$16 2¢ $92 +$108 10-21 16:45
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 -$77 3¢ $90 +$167 08-05 07:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +700 $56 13¢ $90 +$34 10-19 15:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 -$35 87¢ $87 +$121 09-30 20:14
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +3,800 $179 2¢ $84 -$96 10-24 11:43
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17,800 $30 0¢ $80 +$50 09-06 19:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +650 $40 12¢ $75 +$35 10-26 14:22
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes +6,000 $60 1¢ $72 +$12 08-09 15:20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,500 $70 1¢ $67 -$3 09-02 05:41
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +1,900 $32 4¢ $67 +$35 09-13 06:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +500 $75 13¢ $67 -$8 10-24 07:50
us imports russian diesel by october 31 Yes +1,050 $61 6¢ $67 +$6 10-23 19:59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +700 $45 10¢ $66 +$22 10-22 06:30
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,400 $97 1¢ $63 -$34 10-17 23:34
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +600 $40 10¢ $60 +$20 09-21 09:40