Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$1.41K
Hit rate
51.1%
Resolved
40
Trades
4,976
lifetime
Volume
$94.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$6.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-21 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
50% 77% +$150
Crypto
24%
Other
14% 67% +$35
Sports
11% 33% $-226
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,487 $-1,175 86¢ $-1271 $-96 06-17 03:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -703 $-686 100¢ $-701 $-15 05-31 04:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +11,426 $1,718 $628 $-1,090 06-20 13:18
Trump out as President by June 30? No -572 $-568 100¢ $-570 $-2 06-08 22:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +567 $529 99¢ $560 +$31 06-16 15:38
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -361 $-357 100¢ $-360 $-3 06-10 23:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -320 $-317 100¢ $-319 $-2 06-10 11:20
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +242 $187 92¢ $222 +$35 06-15 17:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +235 $55 91¢ $214 +$159 06-21 20:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +162 $82 96¢ $156 +$74 06-20 21:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +136 $138 99¢ $134 $-3 06-16 12:13
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +123 $111 92¢ $112 +$1 06-21 18:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +112 $89 86¢ $97 +$8 06-19 13:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +106 $91 90¢ $96 +$5 06-11 02:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +622 $128 15¢ $90 $-37 06-21 16:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +105 $82 84¢ $89 +$7 06-17 02:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,296 $570 $49 $-522 06-19 21:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +44 $40 97¢ $42 +$3 06-15 09:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +43 $35 97¢ $42 +$7 06-17 07:26
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +40 $38 94¢ $38 +$0 06-17 02:53
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +36 $33 99¢ $35 +$2 06-16 22:59
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +31 $29 94¢ $29 +$0 06-07 15:38
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +30 $11 96¢ $29 +$18 06-07 19:33
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$0 06-13 12:37
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 93¢ $28 $-0 06-08 11:44
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 93¢ $28 $-0 06-15 01:21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +36 $22 76¢ $27 +$5 06-12 00:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $22 46¢ $23 +$0 06-21 13:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 06-03 08:55
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +30 $18 66¢ $20 +$2 06-01 22:09