Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bcac…1ac428
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$140
Hit rate
52.2%
Resolved (30d)
10
Trades (30d)
158
158 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.61K
$1.61K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 04:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
50% 100% +$2
Other
38% 33% $-1
Crypto
9% — —
Sports
3% 40% $-30
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +231 $222 94¢ $216 $-6 05-09 03:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +223 $179 74¢ $164 $-15 05-10 19:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +506 $151 20¢ $104 $-47 05-11 04:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +90 $84 94¢ $85 +$2 05-07 21:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +527 $113 15¢ $76 $-37 05-10 22:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? No +72 $67 94¢ $68 +$1 05-07 01:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +65 $45 70¢ $46 +$1 05-10 23:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? No +53 $45 86¢ $46 +$1 05-07 11:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +45 $40 92¢ $42 +$1 05-11 00:19
Chirayu Rana divorced? No +30 $29 96¢ $29 $-0 05-09 17:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +66 $34 40¢ $27 $-7 05-10 23:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +41 $26 62¢ $25 $-1 05-10 20:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 +$1 05-10 18:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 05-11 01:14
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 05-10 12:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +30 $20 66¢ $20 $-1 05-11 01:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $-0 05-10 23:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +349 $55 4¢ $16 $-39 05-10 19:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No +20 $10 76¢ $15 +$5 05-07 14:26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +24 $13 56¢ $13 +$0 05-10 10:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +30 $11 40¢ $12 +$0 05-08 11:14
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +32 $14 36¢ $11 $-2 05-08 08:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-09 06:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-09 22:10
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-10 12:57
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-08 21:00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 05-07 13:24
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 05-08 20:09
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 05-10 23:11
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 05-07 12:06