Realized P&L
-$4.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
36.8%
Resolved
1,043
Trades
3,462
lifetime
Volume
$105.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$86
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 09-12 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Sports
45% 45% -$1,646
Politics
29% 32% -$1,431
Other
25% 39% -$873
Crypto
1% 20% -$160
Tech
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -40 -$38 82¢ $-33 +$5 07-30 20:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -132 -$7 12¢ $-16 -$9 05-04 03:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +68 $12 17¢ $11 -$1 09-12 06:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -8 -$5 68¢ $-6 -$1 05-03 17:35
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-03 13:50
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 $0 05-03 14:23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -114 -$6 4¢ $-5 +$1 05-17 11:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -45 -$4 5¢ $-2 +$2 05-16 22:30
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -83 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-03 14:24
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -71 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$4 05-03 14:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -0 $0 22¢ $-0 +$0 05-03 14:20
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 05-03 13:50
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +0 $3 95¢ $0 -$3 07-15 04:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 05-05 13:27
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 -$1 06-22 03:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 05-03 14:20
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +0 $5 97¢ $0 -$5 06-09 12:14
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +0 $2 88¢ $0 -$2 08-10 09:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 $0 08-30 10:40
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +0 $2 95¢ $0 -$2 06-27 15:16
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +0 $2 94¢ $0 -$2 06-07 18:56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 85¢ $0 $0 08-04 14:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $41 18¢ $0 -$41 09-03 07:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $3 12¢ $0 -$3 08-10 14:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 07-29 23:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $3 12¢ $0 -$3 09-04 04:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +0 $6 6¢ $0 -$6 08-04 23:36
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 -$3 3¢ $0 +$3 05-22 13:31
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$2 3¢ $0 +$2 05-05 11:50