Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
135
Trades
2,331
lifetime
Volume
$84.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$191
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-22 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Sports
53% 46% $-965
Politics
23% 62% +$97
Other
22% 33% $-209
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -160 $-128 70¢ $-112 +$15 05-30 13:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -162 $-72 22¢ $-35 +$37 07-18 23:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +63 $35 54¢ $34 $-2 07-21 06:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +26 $10 40¢ $10 +$0 07-14 06:57
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +0 $3 96¢ $0 $-3 07-15 04:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 $-1 06-22 03:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-51 99¢ $0 +$51 07-08 19:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $34 30¢ $0 $-34 07-20 09:25