Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
135
Trades
2,132
lifetime
Volume
$78.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$419
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 06-29 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Sports
54% 46% $-965
Other
22% 33% $-209
Politics
22% 62% +$97
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -160 $-128 86¢ $-138 $-10 05-30 13:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -115 $-91 100¢ $-115 $-25 05-28 21:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +159 $100 70¢ $112 +$12 06-29 04:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -162 $-76 30¢ $-48 +$28 06-22 00:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +108 $19 $5 $-13 06-29 06:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -58 $-10 $-0 +$9 06-03 17:12
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +0 $2 96¢ $0 $-2 06-09 14:53
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +0 $1 93¢ $0 $-1 06-22 03:28