Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
135
Trades
1,831
lifetime
Volume
$67.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$359
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 06-10 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Sports
58% 46% $-965
Politics
21% 62% +$97
Other
20% 33% $-209
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -160 $-128 82¢ $-132 $-4 05-30 13:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -115 $-91 90¢ $-104 $-13 05-28 21:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +345 $65 20¢ $67 +$2 06-08 04:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +295 $42 15¢ $43 +$1 06-09 05:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -48 $-13 16¢ $-7 +$5 06-03 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -58 $-10 10¢ $-6 +$4 06-03 17:12
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +0 $2 94¢ $0 $-2 06-09 14:53
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 76¢ $0 $-1 06-08 17:41