(anonymous) 0xb6ce89…2f895d
cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$459
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,417
lifetime
Volume
$90.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-15 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
54% 73% $-2,955
Other
26% 0% $-10
Crypto
19% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +687 $176 97¢ $665 +$488 06-15 01:37
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +440 $400 88¢ $385 $-15 06-12 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -111 $-111 98¢ $-109 +$2 06-15 05:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +184 $83 48¢ $89 +$6 06-11 20:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +282 $-28 28¢ $78 +$105 06-14 21:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +80 $62 84¢ $67 +$6 06-15 00:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -73 $-68 88¢ $-65 +$4 06-14 21:45
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -57 $-54 95¢ $-54 +$0 06-06 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +73 $53 72¢ $53 $-1 06-14 21:40
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +143 $32 29¢ $41 +$9 06-05 03:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 +$0 06-03 08:54
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +240 $26 12¢ $30 +$4 06-01 16:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +189 $-2 16¢ $30 +$32 06-12 20:32
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -26 $-23 96¢ $-25 $-2 06-11 20:02
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -23 $-22 99¢ $-23 $-0 05-29 22:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +21 $19 93¢ $20 +$0 06-05 04:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +43 $14 38¢ $16 +$2 06-02 11:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +37 $-1 38¢ $14 +$15 06-11 22:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 06-04 07:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +351 $235 3¢ $11 $-224 06-14 15:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $11 50¢ $10 $-1 06-12 17:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -398 $-52 2¢ $-8 +$45 06-14 22:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +232 $25 3¢ $7 $-18 06-15 13:18
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-06 22:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +20 $4 26¢ $5 +$2 06-11 17:38
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +39 $5 12¢ $4 $-0 06-15 08:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-13 02:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +3 $2 95¢ $3 +$1 06-07 19:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +9 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 06-11 02:12