(anonymous) 0xb6ce89…2f895d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$691
Unrealized P&L
+$378
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
858
Trades
10,896
lifetime
Volume
$366.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$32.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 10-27 10:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Politics
55% 57% -$1,205
Other
31% 54% -$1,231
Crypto
8% 49% +$2,634
Sports
4% 59% +$498
Tech
2% 52% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,000 $11,244 81¢ $11.3K +$75 08-24 20:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,487 $4,773 92¢ $5.0K +$248 09-30 15:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14,000 $2,828 19¢ $2.7K -$147 08-24 20:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,835 $1,424 74¢ $1.4K -$57 09-22 08:31
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,221 $1,185 98¢ $1.2K +$17 09-26 18:40
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,282 $1,199 90¢ $1.2K -$39 10-20 18:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,109 $1,030 92¢ $1.0K -$16 10-23 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +861 $821 100¢ $858 +$37 09-30 06:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +851 $675 82¢ $702 +$27 10-24 02:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +946 $649 74¢ $695 +$46 10-18 07:34
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +847 $682 80¢ $682 +$0 08-24 19:50
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +670 $610 92¢ $620 +$10 10-04 00:18
will anthropic announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +730 $564 82¢ $595 +$31 10-27 01:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +507 $447 98¢ $497 +$51 10-21 21:26
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +428 $345 82¢ $353 +$8 10-20 18:46
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +358 $349 97¢ $347 -$2 10-24 11:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +455 $293 66¢ $303 +$9 10-04 14:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +438 $285 66¢ $291 +$7 10-20 23:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +307 $300 94¢ $287 -$13 10-26 11:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +295 $291 92¢ $273 -$19 10-23 09:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +271 $208 96¢ $261 +$53 09-30 06:11
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +299 $254 84¢ $253 -$2 10-24 20:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,912 $204 8¢ $248 +$44 10-25 18:03
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +263 $238 92¢ $241 +$2 10-26 05:25
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +279 $254 85¢ $237 -$17 10-13 18:55
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +308 $232 74¢ $226 -$6 10-27 04:23
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +228 $188 89¢ $202 +$14 10-26 05:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +207 $199 96¢ $199 +$0 10-20 19:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +198 $194 99¢ $196 +$1 08-22 16:50
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 95¢ $191 +$15 09-08 17:29