Realized P&L
-$2.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
13
Trades
3,086
lifetime
Volume
$109.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-05 22:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
59% 73% $-2,955
Other
24% 0% $-10
Crypto
16%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +331 $301 90¢ $300 $-2 07-04 18:38
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +142 $130 92¢ $131 +$1 07-04 18:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -124 $-115 94¢ $-117 $-2 07-02 14:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -101 $-96 94¢ $-95 +$0 06-22 13:06
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +82 $77 100¢ $82 +$4 06-19 08:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +92 $82 88¢ $81 $-0 06-19 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +73 $53 100¢ $73 +$19 06-14 21:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -57 $-54 96¢ $-55 $-0 06-06 08:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +122 $54 40¢ $48 $-6 06-29 08:30
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +117 $50 40¢ $46 $-4 07-04 18:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +41 $37 100¢ $41 +$4 06-20 15:09
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +143 $32 24¢ $35 +$3 06-05 03:04
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -23 $-22 100¢ $-23 $-1 05-29 22:45
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-21 97¢ $-21 $-1 06-17 13:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +21 $19 96¢ $20 +$1 06-05 04:16
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +22 $17 80¢ $17 +$0 06-16 17:03
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +17 $16 90¢ $15 $-1 07-04 18:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $11 76¢ $15 +$4 06-12 17:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +51 $28 24¢ $12 $-16 06-20 08:08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 07-04 18:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -77 $-9 12¢ $-9 +$0 06-21 16:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-16 13:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +38 $8 20¢ $8 +$0 06-16 17:03
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 91¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 18:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-06 22:33
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +27 $4 18¢ $5 +$1 07-04 18:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +14 $3 22¢ $3 $-0 07-04 22:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +30 $5 10¢ $3 $-2 06-22 14:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 24¢ $2 $-1 06-21 04:36
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +24 $2 $1 $-1 07-01 00:06