Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.97K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,594

lifetime

Volume

$142.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-16 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

56% 73% $-2,955

Other

29% 0% $-10

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	182	$16.6K	21,277	21,577	-300	open	—	06-16 12:39
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	70	$15.4K	10,396	9,936	+461	open	—	04-30 21:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	52	$11.0K	8,494	9,164	-670	open	—	06-01 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	131	$8.6K	6,233	5,111	+1,122	open	—	08-14 16:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	157	$4.3K	9,190	9,252	-62	open	—	05-31 01:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	54	$4.2K	3,274	2,951	+323	open	—	06-01 11:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	21	$3.9K	2,225	1,936	+289	open	—	05-21 14:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	79	$3.9K	3,025	3,204	-179	open	—	06-16 03:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	31	$3.5K	2,717	2,635	+82	open	—	08-15 03:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	33	$3.0K	1,909	1,596	+313	open	—	05-15 19:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	58	$2.4K	3,275	3,094	+181	open	—	06-23 09:04
iran closes its airspace by june 8	35	$2.0K	2,027	420	+1,607	open	—	06-07 22:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	33	$1.9K	5,509	5,702	-193	open	—	06-25 10:43
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	107	$1.9K	16,258	906	+15,352	open	—	08-12 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	71	$1.8K	3,680	3,282	+398	open	—	05-23 22:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	10	$1.6K	1,307	1,306	+1	open	—	08-12 07:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	95	$1.5K	1,652	1,552	+100	open	—	08-09 22:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	27	$1.4K	1,168	907	+261	Yes	+$77	05-08 18:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	14	$1.1K	920	1,429	-509	open	—	06-15 05:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	11	$1.1K	1,223	35	+1,188	open	—	08-09 13:39
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	31	$1.0K	1,141	396	+745	open	—	06-17 23:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	30	$985	1,005	607	+398	open	—	05-12 00:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	12	$939	1,466	857	+609	open	—	05-29 18:18
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	28	$914	1,751	1,443	+308	open	—	06-16 05:26
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	32	$896	1,358	1,064	+294	open	—	07-20 01:44
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	17	$882	2,591	0	+2,591	open	—	08-15 12:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	68	$854	2,674	2,246	+428	open	—	05-10 21:01
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	34	$834	760	403	+357	open	—	08-08 17:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	15	$828	1,155	930	+225	Yes	+$43	05-08 19:12
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	19	$801	1,037	474	+563	open	—	07-31 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 12:07:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xdf6a6f…
08-16 11:47:22	iran leadership change by october 31	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe21512…
08-16 11:45:01	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x7615c3…
08-16 11:34:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	155	12¢	$19	0x5435bc…
08-16 10:57:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x841c6b…
08-16 10:24:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7adfce…
08-16 10:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0xaec037…
08-16 09:28:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	111	14¢	$16	0xdc029e…
08-16 09:05:31	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xd8f348…
08-16 08:07:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xea6690…
08-16 08:02:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	353	2¢	$6	0x15e7ca…
08-16 06:39:03	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xe0c1e4…
08-16 06:33:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x9c8e2d…
08-16 05:53:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xfcfb6f…
08-16 05:38:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x01140b…
08-16 05:30:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x968496…
08-16 04:58:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6780c2…
08-16 04:24:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xcaba00…
08-16 03:59:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x0e4f2e…
08-16 02:19:22	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1abec6…
08-16 00:38:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x9b4d51…
08-15 23:28:55	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x4c4498…
08-15 23:27:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x16299f…
08-15 22:47:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$3	0x57801e…
08-15 22:47:07	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	165	2¢	$3	0xcabcfa…
08-15 21:36:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x417b98…
08-15 18:44:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xee734b…
08-15 18:44:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x3c3892…
08-15 18:36:10	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x37d529…
08-15 17:17:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x6d73b9…
08-15 16:58:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x906db0…
08-15 16:57:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x214631…
08-15 15:45:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xf6f549…
08-15 15:21:00	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x62f9e4…
08-15 14:42:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa0be37…
08-15 14:13:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x6cd9d3…
08-15 14:04:57	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xf10782…
08-15 14:04:55	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x82a286…
08-15 14:04:55	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x27c250…
08-15 13:52:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	108	2¢	$2	0x63f654…
08-15 13:48:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x101109…
08-15 13:46:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x2a57a8…
08-15 13:43:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	149	2¢	$3	0xec4713…
08-15 13:39:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x054131…
08-15 13:36:09	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xce42e7…
08-15 13:32:40	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xcec5f9…
08-15 13:14:03	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x09aadb…
08-15 13:05:46	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x8ca800…
08-15 12:15:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	261	1¢	$3	0xbea259…
08-15 11:13:07	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xb56482…
08-15 08:17:22	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x48b82f…
08-15 07:33:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdd4885…
08-15 07:32:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x13c619…
08-15 07:16:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x9d9f07…
08-15 03:41:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x9eb568…
08-15 02:22:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	86	13¢	$11	0xdb006b…
08-14 23:49:40	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0xabef0b…
08-14 21:50:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x4b3467…
08-14 21:07:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xb55a1f…
08-14 20:52:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x26b9de…
08-14 20:45:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xb584bd…
08-14 20:45:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	71	11¢	$8	0x9d0f03…
08-14 20:45:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x708a3e…
08-14 20:45:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x5e011e…
08-14 20:45:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xa66b06…
08-14 20:22:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	89	22¢	$20	0x270c4a…
08-14 20:03:19	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x5fa9bf…
08-14 19:46:21	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	58¢	$37	0x428e8e…
08-14 19:45:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1701ec…
08-14 17:46:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x0562d5…
08-14 16:27:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xdd3297…
08-14 16:23:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xd4be8d…
08-14 15:58:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xf20c6f…
08-14 15:27:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	89	15¢	$13	0x0ed837…
08-14 14:58:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	332	1¢	$4	0x81fad0…
08-14 14:30:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x2cd5e5…
08-14 13:49:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x57d3b9…
08-14 13:39:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$4	0xabdde0…
08-14 11:15:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xf2ddc8…
08-14 10:00:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xb95761…
08-14 09:35:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	354	2¢	$6	0xdaa2a3…
08-14 09:24:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	215	2¢	$4	0x2fe1d4…
08-14 07:31:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x849243…
08-14 06:58:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	20¢	$18	0x58fb8e…
08-14 04:16:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x39fcc3…
08-14 02:49:45	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4f598f…
08-14 02:26:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x3ff806…
08-14 01:48:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	1,853	97¢	$1,802	0xe12489…
08-14 01:48:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x6b5b50…
08-14 01:45:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	10¢	$14	0xec135d…
08-14 00:39:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x603a70…
08-13 23:53:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9a282b…
08-13 23:35:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x5149ad…
08-13 22:29:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0a5b20…
08-13 22:19:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x77d9da…
08-13 21:58:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x4aa3c0…
08-13 21:55:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc262c5…
08-13 19:04:33	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xd5f154…
08-13 19:00:06	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x35d377…
08-13 18:52:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x67cf8f…