(anonymous) 0xb6ce89…2f895d
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$785
Unrealized P&L
+$530
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved (30d)
96
Trades (30d)
2,745
11,453 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$107.1K
$422.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$28.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 10-31 14:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% -$1,205
Other
27% 54% -$1,219
Crypto
7% 49% +$2,634
Sports
3% 59% +$498
Tech
2% 52% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,000 $11,244 81¢ $11.4K +$131 08-24 20:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,487 $4,773 94¢ $5.2K +$412 09-30 15:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14,000 $2,828 19¢ $2.6K -$203 08-24 20:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,835 $1,424 72¢ $1.3K -$112 09-22 08:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,109 $1,030 94¢ $1.0K +$18 10-23 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +861 $821 100¢ $860 +$39 09-30 06:12
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +847 $682 84¢ $711 +$30 08-24 19:50
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +802 $619 78¢ $622 +$2 10-29 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +570 $466 82¢ $470 +$4 10-31 14:05
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +446 $359 78¢ $348 -$11 10-29 17:16
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +361 $328 94¢ $338 +$10 10-28 18:17
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +341 $307 98¢ $334 +$28 10-28 15:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +455 $293 72¢ $325 +$32 10-04 14:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +271 $208 97¢ $262 +$55 09-30 06:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +279 $254 86¢ $239 -$15 10-13 18:55
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +322 $241 72¢ $232 -$10 10-30 23:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +239 $233 95¢ $228 -$6 10-28 18:14
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +641 $171 36¢ $228 +$57 09-22 17:11
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +228 $188 87¢ $198 +$10 10-26 05:21
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 96¢ $193 +$17 09-08 17:29
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +207 $169 86¢ $177 +$8 10-02 05:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,912 $204 6¢ $160 -$44 10-25 18:03
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +167 $161 94¢ $157 -$4 10-31 04:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +155 $100 98¢ $151 +$51 10-30 00:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +144 $138 97¢ $140 +$3 08-23 21:29
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +144 $131 92¢ $133 +$2 10-26 05:25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +142 $130 92¢ $131 +$2 07-04 18:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +151 $112 84¢ $127 +$15 10-20 18:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +172 $123 72¢ $123 $0 10-22 03:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +248 $93 42¢ $104 +$11 10-28 21:24