(anonymous) 0xb6ce89…2f895d Create alert
whale 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$455
Unrealized P&L
+$536
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
903
Trades
11,560
lifetime
Volume
$424.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$29.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 11-02 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% -$1,448
Other
27% 54% -$1,226
Crypto
7% 49% +$2,634
Sports
3% 59% +$498
Tech
2% 54% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,000 $11,244 82¢ $11.4K +$187 08-24 20:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,487 $4,773 94¢ $5.2K +$412 09-30 15:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14,000 $2,828 18¢ $2.6K -$259 08-24 20:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,835 $1,424 72¢ $1.3K -$94 09-22 08:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,109 $1,030 94¢ $1.0K +$18 10-23 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +861 $821 100¢ $860 +$39 09-30 06:12
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +847 $682 86¢ $724 +$43 08-24 19:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +994 $706 72¢ $721 +$15 11-02 04:53
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +802 $619 76¢ $614 -$6 10-29 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +570 $466 82¢ $470 +$4 10-31 14:05
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +446 $359 78¢ $346 -$13 10-29 17:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +455 $293 76¢ $344 +$50 10-04 14:59
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +361 $328 94¢ $341 +$13 10-28 18:17
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +997 $319 32¢ $314 -$5 11-02 16:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +271 $208 97¢ $264 +$56 09-30 06:11
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +245 $208 100¢ $245 +$36 10-31 19:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +279 $254 88¢ $244 -$10 10-13 18:55
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +347 $259 70¢ $241 -$18 11-01 04:06
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +228 $188 88¢ $201 +$13 10-26 05:21
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 96¢ $193 +$17 09-08 17:29
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +207 $169 86¢ $179 +$10 10-02 05:41
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +167 $161 98¢ $163 +$2 10-31 04:42
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,912 $204 6¢ $160 -$44 10-25 18:03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166 $165 96¢ $160 -$5 11-01 20:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +155 $100 98¢ $151 +$51 10-30 00:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +144 $138 98¢ $141 +$3 08-23 21:29
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +144 $131 94¢ $135 +$3 10-26 05:25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +142 $130 94¢ $133 +$4 07-04 18:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +151 $112 85¢ $128 +$17 10-20 18:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +172 $123 70¢ $120 -$4 10-22 03:15