(anonymous) 0xb6ce89…2f895d
whale cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$534
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved (90d)
392
Trades (90d)
5,942
11,250 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$210.9K
$422.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$28.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 11-01 20:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% -$1,448
Other
27% 54% -$1,226
Crypto
7% 49% +$2,634
Sports
3% 59% +$498
Tech
2% 54% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,000 $11,244 82¢ $11.4K +$194 08-24 20:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,487 $4,773 94¢ $5.2K +$412 09-30 15:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14,000 $2,828 18¢ $2.6K -$266 08-24 20:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,835 $1,424 74¢ $1.4K -$57 09-22 08:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,109 $1,030 94¢ $1.0K +$18 10-23 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +861 $821 100¢ $860 +$39 09-30 06:12
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +847 $682 85¢ $720 +$38 08-24 19:50
will anthropic announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +802 $619 76¢ $614 -$6 10-29 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +570 $466 82¢ $470 +$4 10-31 14:05
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +446 $359 78¢ $346 -$13 10-29 17:16
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +361 $328 94¢ $339 +$12 10-28 18:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +455 $293 70¢ $321 +$27 10-04 14:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +271 $208 97¢ $262 +$55 09-30 06:11
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +245 $208 100¢ $245 +$36 10-31 19:11
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +347 $259 70¢ $241 -$18 11-01 04:06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +279 $254 86¢ $240 -$14 10-13 18:55
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +228 $188 88¢ $202 +$14 10-26 05:21
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 96¢ $192 +$16 09-08 17:29
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +207 $169 87¢ $180 +$11 10-02 05:41
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +167 $161 96¢ $161 +$0 10-31 04:42
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,912 $204 6¢ $160 -$44 10-25 18:03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166 $165 95¢ $158 -$7 11-01 20:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +155 $100 98¢ $151 +$51 10-30 00:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +144 $138 97¢ $140 +$3 08-23 21:29
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +144 $131 93¢ $134 +$3 10-26 05:25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +142 $130 94¢ $133 +$3 07-04 18:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +151 $112 84¢ $127 +$16 10-20 18:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +172 $123 70¢ $120 -$4 10-22 03:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +248 $93 42¢ $104 +$10 10-28 21:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +98 $94 98¢ $96 +$2 09-11 01:22