Entire-Frame 0x417b75…5218d3
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
2,559
Trades
33,672
lifetime
Volume
$795.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$3.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-27 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Politics
51% 49% -$1,681
Other
45% 48% -$5,463
Crypto
2% 55% -$868
Sports
2% 38% -$342
Tech
0% 50% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 881 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +1,039 $1,024 99¢ $1.0K +$8 10-25 03:41
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,064 $968 92¢ $974 +$5 10-25 01:14
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No -177 -$159 96¢ $-170 -$11 10-23 10:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -160 -$141 97¢ $-155 -$14 10-23 10:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -120 -$104 92¢ $-110 -$6 10-23 10:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -108 -$102 94¢ $-101 +$2 10-23 08:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -104 -$92 94¢ $-98 -$7 10-23 10:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -100 -$103 98¢ $-98 +$5 10-23 07:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -89 -$77 94¢ $-83 -$6 10-25 01:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -71 -$83 96¢ $-68 +$14 10-23 10:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -60 -$60 98¢ $-59 +$1 10-23 08:32
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -57 -$52 95¢ $-54 -$2 10-25 01:16
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -50 -$38 92¢ $-46 -$8 05-05 08:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +53 $36 86¢ $46 +$10 05-16 20:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -39 -$29 81¢ $-31 -$2 10-23 10:31
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No -28 -$26 95¢ $-27 $0 10-23 10:33
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -27 -$26 99¢ $-26 $0 10-23 10:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No -27 -$29 96¢ $-26 +$3 10-23 10:28
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -28 -$26 90¢ $-25 +$0 10-25 01:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $12 72¢ $15 +$2 05-05 08:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +16 $13 89¢ $14 +$1 05-05 08:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -18 -$14 76¢ $-14 $0 10-25 01:16
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -14 -$11 95¢ $-13 -$2 05-05 07:43
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -13 -$8 96¢ $-12 -$5 05-05 07:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +12 $15 94¢ $11 -$3 05-24 06:08
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +12 $11 97¢ $11 +$1 05-05 08:42
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +11 $8 96¢ $11 +$3 05-17 14:01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -12 -$11 92¢ $-11 +$0 10-23 10:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$0 05-22 14:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +11 $8 97¢ $10 +$3 05-05 08:43