Entire-Frame 0x417b75…5218d3
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$1.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$920
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 20:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
49% — —
Politics
46% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No -100 $-67 68¢ $-68 $-2 05-05 09:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +65 $54 82¢ $54 $-0 05-05 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No +50 $49 97¢ $49 $-0 05-05 09:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -50 $-48 97¢ $-48 $-0 05-05 07:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +50 $48 94¢ $47 $-0 05-05 09:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $47 94¢ $47 +$0 05-05 07:04
Trump out as President before 2027? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 $-0 05-05 07:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -50 $-43 86¢ $-43 $-0 05-05 07:05
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -50 $-43 86¢ $-43 +$0 05-05 07:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -50 $-41 82¢ $-41 $-0 05-05 07:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -50 $-40 82¢ $-41 $-0 05-05 07:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-39 77¢ $-38 +$0 05-05 07:04
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Yes -37 $-36 99¢ $-36 +$0 05-05 10:01
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes +50 $33 64¢ $32 $-1 05-05 09:25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -37 $-31 86¢ $-32 $-0 05-05 09:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? Yes +32 $25 84¢ $27 +$2 05-05 08:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 $-0 05-05 08:41
Iran leadership change by May 31? No +27 $24 92¢ $24 +$0 05-05 08:41
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev +26 $22 82¢ $21 $-0 05-05 08:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +23 $21 92¢ $21 +$0 05-05 10:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +50 $13 33¢ $16 +$4 05-05 08:40
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $16 54¢ $16 $-0 05-05 08:41
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +27 $16 60¢ $16 $-0 05-05 08:41
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 05-05 09:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 05-05 09:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Yes +50 $12 26¢ $13 +$1 05-05 08:40
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +14 $13 88¢ $12 $-0 05-05 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -13 $-12 98¢ $-12 +$0 05-05 20:01
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +12 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 05-05 09:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +35 $12 33¢ $11 $-0 05-05 08:41