Milky-Morbidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.64K

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

13,002

lifetime

Volume

$7.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$596

Open exposure

$21.5K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-12 05:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

75% 56% +$38,695

Other

20% 100% +$13

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+38,564	$8,610	29¢	$11.0K	+$2,381	06-01 16:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+100,200	$11,824	7¢	$6.6K	$-5,260	06-11 20:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	+16,995	$3,402	21¢	$3.6K	+$167	06-12 05:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	-22,515	$-360	1¢	$-304	+$56	06-12 03:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	+1,666	$42	4¢	$60	+$18	06-02 09:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	55	$518.6K	525,602	14,144	+511,458	open	—	03-04 18:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	440	$436.6K	459,719	265,913	+193,806	open	—	04-08 13:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	101	$433.1K	564,578	104,147	+460,432	open	—	03-23 17:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	214	$418.3K	878,820	532,039	+346,781	open	—	02-28 03:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	83	$304.3K	156,801	156,801	+0	open	—	03-23 16:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	60	$232.6K	260,173	11,100	+249,073	open	—	04-14 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	150	$230.9K	162,837	115,751	+47,087	open	—	05-09 23:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	843	$228.0K	1,825,822	1,836,022	-10,200	open	—	04-02 01:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	154	$214.3K	205,092	76,230	+128,861	open	—	04-21 01:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	216	$209.6K	437,685	144,021	+293,664	open	—	05-27 16:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	55	$184.3K	798,135	663,135	+135,000	Yes	+$22,375	05-09 19:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$180.0K	170,492	35,492	+135,000	Yes	+$25,911	05-09 19:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	243	$165.4K	212,321	204,786	+7,535	open	—	01-31 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	100	$159.5K	235,213	131,000	+104,213	open	—	04-28 02:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	144	$153.6K	249,262	243,198	+6,065	open	—	01-31 17:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	412	$126.0K	253,850	253,474	+375	open	—	03-24 17:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	58	$120.7K	71,654	71,654	+0	open	—	04-28 19:07
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	217	$104.4K	118,672	69,885	+48,787	open	—	04-22 04:05
iran closes its airspace by june 8	53	$98.6K	81,084	81,084	+0	open	—	06-07 22:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	13	$98.3K	50,700	50,700	+0	No	+$2,912	05-09 02:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	189	$96.7K	50,000	49,708	+292	open	—	03-04 00:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	40	$91.5K	54,414	54,414	+0	open	—	04-01 21:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	33	$86.8K	46,648	46,648	-0	open	—	05-13 14:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	635	$84.9K	358,650	210,109	+148,541	open	—	02-28 21:57
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	100	$81.8K	226,168	37,994	+188,173	open	—	01-16 04:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	298	$78.6K	277,529	140,954	+136,576	open	—	01-15 07:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	46	$77.2K	48,458	38,034	+10,424	open	—	04-19 22:00
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	43	$75.8K	174,769	0	+174,769	open	—	03-11 03:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	171	$75.5K	400,703	398,703	+2,000	open	—	05-26 14:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$72.4K	58,898	59,293	-396	open	—	06-01 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 05:30:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f4b73…
06-12 05:29:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7c7e1f…
06-12 05:29:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x21307d…
06-12 05:29:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfaf000…
06-12 05:29:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdcae4a…
06-12 05:29:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x626b2c…
06-12 05:29:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6b580d…
06-12 05:29:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe4565c…
06-12 05:29:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x30958d…
06-12 05:21:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xe49461…
06-12 05:20:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd1712f…
06-12 05:19:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe4f348…
06-12 05:19:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x26b704…
06-12 05:19:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xee05b5…
06-12 05:19:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe73b56…
06-12 05:19:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8766df…
06-12 05:19:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7d2452…
06-12 05:09:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1ee08c…
06-12 05:09:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2907aa…
06-12 05:00:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x69dde9…
06-12 05:00:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x49c6ee…
06-12 04:59:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9ca6cf…
06-12 04:59:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5b52da…
06-12 04:59:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x7637aa…
06-12 04:58:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x918471…
06-12 04:58:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2293e4…
06-12 04:55:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x6a5445…
06-12 04:50:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x48908b…
06-12 04:49:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8f5c04…
06-12 04:49:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xba569d…
06-12 04:49:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xef0d62…
06-12 04:49:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf3cc24…
06-12 04:49:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x59f527…
06-12 04:48:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa93a1d…
06-12 04:48:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5b8f9e…
06-12 04:40:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x736feb…
06-12 04:19:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6645e4…
06-12 04:19:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6820a8…
06-12 04:19:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb8107d…
06-12 04:19:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6d302d…
06-12 04:19:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x73283a…
06-12 04:19:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xde1e30…
06-12 04:11:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	811	20¢	$162	0xe4b2b1…
06-12 04:10:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x54f47c…
06-12 04:10:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15,778	20¢	$3,156	0x6b9ffb…
06-12 03:40:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6,250	2¢	$100	0x560b53…
06-12 03:29:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x6940de…
06-12 03:29:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2937ad…
06-12 03:24:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5f4e71…
06-12 03:07:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7273bd…
06-12 02:54:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x054b1f…
06-12 02:43:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcaae92…
06-12 02:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0xc08f65…
06-12 02:18:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0xaa5f5f…
06-12 01:55:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x2cc4df…
06-12 01:49:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa71cb6…
06-12 01:49:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,693	2¢	$75	0x7165f4…
06-12 01:48:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	292	2¢	$5	0x5aa0be…
06-12 01:43:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xd30de0…
06-12 01:26:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x40f7cf…
06-12 01:23:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	166	2¢	$3	0x16d56e…
06-12 01:20:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	478	2¢	$8	0x73e311…
06-12 00:56:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x1b9db6…
06-12 00:56:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0xb0650f…
06-12 00:55:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x4f08e7…
06-12 00:55:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7a2073…
06-12 00:55:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7f5d15…
06-12 00:55:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9,877	2¢	$158	0x0ad914…
06-12 00:39:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	3,086	16¢	$509	0x27dd64…
06-12 00:19:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	12,552	12¢	$1,506	0x11efb8…
06-12 00:18:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	19,298	12¢	$2,352	0x29912b…
06-12 00:18:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	344	9¢	$30	0x7b4f36…
06-12 00:17:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	8,346	11¢	$902	0xe2b076…
06-12 00:17:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	2,026	11¢	$223	0x822e70…
06-11 20:28:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x46b56a…
06-11 20:27:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9ce600…
06-11 20:27:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe05485…
06-11 20:24:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x9f938b…
06-11 20:24:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x5f362e…
06-11 20:24:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	342	36¢	$123	0x0a8d60…
06-11 20:23:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x28f25b…
06-11 20:23:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	3,558	36¢	$1,281	0x720875…
06-11 20:22:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xac5555…
06-11 20:21:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe2f33f…
06-11 20:21:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	2,606	36¢	$938	0x81401c…
06-11 20:18:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x1b1a21…
06-11 20:16:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	82	23¢	$19	0x32129a…
06-11 20:15:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81,974	12¢	$9,673	0xa6a887…
06-11 20:13:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x444030…
06-11 20:10:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x11a5b6…
06-11 20:10:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x9342d9…
06-11 20:08:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x1cce08…
06-11 20:05:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x61e47d…
06-11 20:05:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9bd4ca…
06-11 20:04:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	747	12¢	$88	0x8f3be6…
06-11 20:03:55	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0x824846…
06-11 20:03:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,857	12¢	$337	0xb9a5d0…
06-11 20:03:21	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	12¢	$13	0x75e267…
06-11 20:02:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,471	12¢	$174	0x76456b…
06-11 20:02:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x5d4ecc…