Milky-Morbidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

14,497

lifetime

Volume

$9.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$677

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-12 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

78% 56% +$38,695

Other

17% 100% +$13

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	55	$518.6K	525,602	14,144	+511,458	open	—	03-04 18:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	251	$441.8K	537,682	494,679	+43,003	open	—	06-16 12:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	440	$436.6K	459,719	265,913	+193,806	open	—	04-08 13:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	101	$433.1K	564,578	104,147	+460,432	open	—	03-23 17:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	214	$418.3K	878,820	532,039	+346,781	open	—	02-28 03:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	83	$304.3K	156,801	156,801	+0	open	—	03-23 16:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	60	$232.6K	260,173	11,100	+249,073	open	—	04-14 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	150	$230.9K	162,837	115,751	+47,087	open	—	05-09 23:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	843	$228.0K	1,825,822	1,836,022	-10,200	open	—	04-02 01:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	154	$214.3K	205,092	76,230	+128,861	open	—	04-21 01:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	216	$209.6K	437,685	144,021	+293,664	open	—	05-27 16:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	111	$186.4K	94,182	94,150	+32	open	—	07-10 15:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	55	$184.3K	798,135	663,135	+135,000	Yes	+$22,375	05-09 19:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	73	$183.9K	41,834	181,845	-140,011	open	—	06-16 00:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$180.0K	170,492	35,492	+135,000	Yes	+$25,911	05-09 19:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	243	$165.4K	212,321	204,786	+7,535	open	—	01-31 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	100	$159.5K	235,213	131,000	+104,213	open	—	04-28 02:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	144	$153.6K	249,262	243,198	+6,065	open	—	01-31 17:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	412	$126.0K	253,850	253,474	+375	open	—	03-24 17:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	58	$120.7K	71,654	71,654	+0	open	—	04-28 19:07
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	50	$108.1K	100,185	35,000	+65,185	open	—	07-07 19:17
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	217	$104.4K	118,672	69,885	+48,787	open	—	04-22 04:05
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	3	$101.2K	60,000	59,628	+372	open	—	08-02 20:04
iran closes its airspace by june 8	53	$98.6K	81,084	81,084	+0	open	—	06-07 22:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	13	$98.3K	50,700	50,700	+0	No	+$2,912	05-09 02:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	189	$96.7K	50,000	49,708	+292	open	—	03-04 00:37
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	61	$95.4K	71,415	57,329	+14,086	open	—	07-01 21:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	40	$91.5K	54,414	54,414	+0	open	—	04-01 21:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	33	$86.8K	46,648	46,648	-0	open	—	05-13 14:13
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	19	$86.3K	48,200	48,200	+0	open	—	08-10 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:38:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xab100a…
08-12 02:31:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	799	21¢	$168	0x9c8c7c…
08-12 01:59:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xbfb92f…
08-12 01:58:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x8d4c05…
08-12 01:56:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xff7a86…
08-12 01:25:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x8c3fbe…
08-12 01:15:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc041cd…
08-12 00:44:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x3b01c0…
08-11 23:36:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xe897d4…
08-11 22:05:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xf88d99…
08-11 20:57:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	21¢	$1,050	0xc086a7…
08-11 20:55:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0x0d9fad…
08-11 20:38:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x8557f5…
08-11 20:02:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,896	21¢	$398	0x7dd6c6…
08-11 19:59:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,611	21¢	$1,178	0x21e44a…
08-11 19:46:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	21¢	$350	0x961513…
08-11 18:43:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xb8b998…
08-11 18:32:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	21¢	$40	0xf4728a…
08-11 18:22:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xcf8929…
08-11 17:40:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10,197	6¢	$612	0xe123fe…
08-11 16:42:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x93a430…
08-11 16:07:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	589	15¢	$88	0xafbedb…
08-11 16:05:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x7319b2…
08-11 16:05:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	641	15¢	$96	0xc1dd0e…
08-11 15:27:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaada71…
08-11 15:25:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xe909ac…
08-11 15:10:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5d35a3…
08-11 15:09:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	21¢	$36	0xc17900…
08-11 14:28:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xbd0e50…
08-11 14:27:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	5,341	17¢	$908	0x2d1d06…
08-10 22:24:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12,906	8¢	$1,032	0x03c720…
08-10 17:45:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	24,148	99¢	$24,003	0x07f86e…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	25,000	8¢	$2,000	0xde72e1…
08-04 16:33:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5,410	19¢	$1,028	0x90840c…
08-04 16:00:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0ea43a…
08-04 16:00:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0xe12d8a…
08-04 16:00:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x8aa76d…
08-04 16:00:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4,585	19¢	$871	0xe5e445…
08-04 12:54:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10,000	35¢	$3,500	0x11a1c7…
08-03 16:43:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x6ff73f…
08-03 16:35:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x8d344e…
08-03 16:24:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x610209…
08-03 16:22:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	315	1¢	$3	0x86013f…
08-03 16:18:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	4,495	1¢	$45	0xa4d2cc…
08-03 15:57:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	23,419	1¢	$337	0x26c885…
08-03 12:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	111	39¢	$43	0xfb2336…
08-03 12:14:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,300	39¢	$507	0xeba9ed…
08-03 12:13:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x7e52df…
08-03 11:39:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9cb809…
08-03 11:38:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,655	39¢	$1,426	0x2bce07…
08-02 21:42:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	917	45¢	$413	0x1f83e4…
08-02 21:42:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xef521a…
08-02 21:42:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0aa7d0…
08-02 21:41:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	715	45¢	$322	0xcba388…
08-02 21:41:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xec7273…
08-02 21:40:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5,616	45¢	$2,527	0xc5d76c…
08-02 20:23:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x66a091…
08-02 20:23:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe63a8b…
08-02 20:23:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0xdc2b23…
08-02 20:23:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x82bb5e…
08-02 20:23:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xdb99ad…
08-02 20:23:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2599bf…
08-02 20:23:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x46d6d3…
08-02 20:18:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xe8ec1f…
08-02 20:13:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8f18f4…
08-02 20:09:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xff355e…
08-02 20:07:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x640839…
08-02 20:06:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2aa9fb…
08-02 20:06:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6c2ee5…
08-02 20:04:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x038658…
08-02 20:04:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	59,628	95¢	$56,911	0xeb6866…
08-02 20:04:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd426dc…
08-02 20:02:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3c98c3…
08-02 20:00:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x9c6636…
08-02 20:00:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x12bddc…
08-02 19:59:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x234844…
08-02 19:59:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ada59…
08-02 19:59:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf21b64…
08-02 19:56:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x398849…
08-02 19:56:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdf1114…
08-02 19:56:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x55afdd…
08-02 19:56:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3df398…
08-02 19:56:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1bb958…
08-02 19:56:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9402a3…
08-02 19:56:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2c9120…
08-02 19:56:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf1352b…
08-02 19:56:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x11376c…
08-02 19:56:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x68755e…
08-02 19:56:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x09207f…
08-02 19:56:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbcbdde…
08-02 19:56:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb55f5b…
08-02 19:54:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x7a1f53…
08-02 19:54:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5ccd2d…
08-02 19:54:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x55d28c…
08-02 19:54:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x543c3a…
08-02 19:54:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xfd31f0…
08-02 19:53:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdfb742…
08-02 19:52:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf57c18…
08-02 19:52:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,818	45¢	$818	0xcfcd96…
08-02 19:52:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,727	45¢	$1,227	0x830e95…