Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
946
lifetime
Volume
$25.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$111
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-12 01:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
71% 33% $-64
Other
24% 100% +$58
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +100 $65 72¢ $72 +$7 05-27 22:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-16 10¢ $-19 $-3 06-09 02:23
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -300 $-21 $-14 +$8 05-31 18:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -114 $-11 $-6 +$5 06-10 01:57