Realized P&L
-$251
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
2.2%
Resolved
13
Trades
4,329
lifetime
Volume
$9.84K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$79
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 19:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-213
Other
27% 0% $-32
Sports
15% 50% $-7
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +46 $3 68¢ $31 +$28 06-07 19:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -95 $-13 15¢ $-14 $-0 06-10 03:43
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes -16 $-5 58¢ $-9 $-4 05-28 04:40
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $5 $7 +$2 06-02 11:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +10 $3 42¢ $4 +$1 06-10 16:02
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -6 $-3 62¢ $-4 $-1 05-31 07:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -149 $-6 $-4 +$3 06-04 07:21
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -8 $-0 39¢ $-3 $-3 06-07 02:00
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -4 $-2 38¢ $-2 +$1 06-07 19:09
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -72 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-28 19:50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5 $0 16¢ $1 +$0 06-02 15:53