Acceptable-Arrival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,489

lifetime

Volume

$369.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-26 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$188

Other

28% 88% +$2,631

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	79	$29.0K	22,178	12,976	+9,202	open	—	05-25 06:26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	154	$18.1K	22,257	12,737	+9,520	open	—	05-16 01:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	56	$12.3K	15,758	14,615	+1,143	open	—	05-19 04:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	40	$11.2K	12,100	9,285	+2,815	open	—	05-25 23:04
Trump kiss by May 31?	52	$10.0K	7,978	6,939	+1,039	open	—	05-20 16:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	25	$9.8K	7,349	5,268	+2,081	open	—	05-24 03:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	21	$8.0K	4,430	5,018	-588	open	—	05-23 07:36
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	95	$7.2K	24,909	21,386	+3,523	open	—	05-14 01:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	31	$6.4K	5,748	2,804	+2,945	open	—	05-22 13:48
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	71	$5.8K	6,110	4,801	+1,309	open	—	04-30 20:35
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	89	$5.5K	4,399	4,349	+50	open	—	03-26 06:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	17	$5.4K	4,364	3,330	+1,033	open	—	05-26 01:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	50	$5.4K	3,766	3,056	+710	open	—	04-15 22:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	17	$5.1K	3,553	1,694	+1,860	open	—	05-19 04:54
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	43	$5.0K	6,365	1,667	+4,698	open	—	05-11 07:51
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	26	$4.9K	3,052	3,052	+0	open	—	04-22 04:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	12	$4.8K	2,408	2,408	+0	No	+$33	05-08 04:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	53	$4.7K	4,623	2,553	+2,069	open	—	04-15 21:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	12	$4.4K	3,589	3,589	+0	open	—	05-20 14:41
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	32	$4.2K	3,746	1,913	+1,833	open	—	05-22 07:08
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	16	$4.1K	2,210	2,235	-26	open	—	05-23 18:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	42	$3.8K	5,763	5,943	-180	open	—	04-08 01:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	10	$3.7K	1,927	1,927	+0	open	—	05-23 19:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	94	$3.4K	6,904	5,874	+1,030	open	—	04-30 20:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	5	$3.4K	2,120	2,015	+105	open	—	05-25 23:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	17	$3.4K	7,638	3,448	+4,190	open	—	05-26 07:19
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	16	$3.3K	3,479	350	+3,129	open	—	05-21 21:40
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	80	$3.1K	2,258	2,226	+32	open	—	04-28 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	10	$3.1K	3,427	3,457	-30	open	—	05-24 03:38
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	62	$3.1K	2,555	2,255	+300	open	—	03-29 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:48:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	41¢	$407	0x9a21d3…
05-26 15:40:45	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	589	46¢	$274	0xf68eb5…
05-26 15:40:44	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaf7955…
05-26 15:40:38	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	409	47¢	$190	0xf326a4…
05-26 15:36:46	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0xe711db…
05-26 15:30:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	759	40¢	$304	0x8d2892…
05-26 15:27:06	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x683653…
05-26 07:19:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	250	94¢	$236	0x44e46e…
05-26 07:10:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	377	95¢	$360	0xddda0d…
05-26 07:10:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x87813c…
05-26 06:31:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0x3a154b…
05-26 06:30:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x04b0c6…
05-26 04:39:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0x253276…
05-26 01:13:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	325	86¢	$280	0x2978d3…
05-26 01:11:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	46	84¢	$39	0x7c4333…
05-25 23:13:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	91¢	$274	0x756135…
05-25 23:04:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	600	92¢	$549	0x8d0091…
05-25 23:04:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x381ff0…
05-25 23:04:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	1,111	95¢	$1,055	0x65e6d0…
05-25 23:04:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x28d548…
05-25 23:04:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	2,015	83¢	$1,672	0xe967f5…
05-25 23:03:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	761	92¢	$700	0x714c9f…
05-25 22:57:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,701	11¢	$187	0x5577bc…
05-25 22:56:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,701	26¢	$435	0x417b09…
05-25 22:55:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8dda79…
05-25 22:55:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xc28712…
05-25 22:55:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	604	49¢	$296	0x73bccb…
05-25 22:52:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xd7463c…
05-25 22:51:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xa3919f…
05-25 22:47:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1,015	85¢	$862	0x87c71e…
05-25 22:47:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xf8b304…
05-25 22:40:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	166	9¢	$15	0x6e42c6…
05-25 22:39:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,034	90¢	$928	0xdf9f29…
05-25 22:36:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	800	87¢	$698	0x124a33…
05-25 22:34:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x829a12…
05-25 22:30:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	222	86¢	$190	0x2a31cb…
05-25 22:23:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1,025	13¢	$133	0xe69e8b…
05-25 22:21:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,025	14¢	$143	0xc5df97…
05-25 22:20:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	187	87¢	$163	0x9336d1…
05-25 22:19:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x993f20…
05-25 22:19:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x775dcb…
05-25 22:19:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x315581…
05-25 22:17:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1,126	13¢	$151	0x9b05b4…
05-25 22:16:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	344	14¢	$47	0x139994…
05-25 22:15:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	177	13¢	$23	0x9f1ea9…
05-25 22:12:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	605	12¢	$73	0x400766…
05-25 22:11:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	136	89¢	$121	0x24e134…
05-25 22:06:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	907	90¢	$815	0x7ef59d…
05-25 22:05:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,401	88¢	$1,232	0x8a8cd6…
05-25 22:04:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	292	89¢	$259	0xae720e…
05-25 22:01:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1,067	12¢	$125	0xb6b149…
05-25 21:58:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	520	14¢	$72	0x9c5423…
05-25 21:57:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	245	12¢	$29	0xba368d…
05-25 21:56:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	302	13¢	$40	0x3d5e66…
05-25 21:55:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	171	89¢	$152	0x0eb131…
05-25 21:55:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	37	88¢	$33	0x0e4b5e…
05-25 21:54:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	400	90¢	$362	0x86e60b…
05-25 21:49:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$461	0xe91071…
05-25 21:38:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	740	90¢	$662	0x1571a6…
05-25 21:38:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	475	90¢	$428	0xf697f5…
05-25 21:37:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	525	90¢	$473	0x3a9c4c…
05-25 21:37:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	760	93¢	$706	0x197003…
05-25 21:30:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x0a532e…
05-25 21:06:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	234	13¢	$31	0x7d04e1…
05-25 21:06:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	2,377	92¢	$2,178	0xf50787…
05-25 20:10:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xe61c2e…
05-25 20:05:45	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x6a5928…
05-25 20:04:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0x981edc…
05-25 20:03:21	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0x7e5c06…
05-25 19:59:36	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xfe511e…
05-25 19:48:32	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	67¢	$55	0x86696b…
05-25 19:37:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x5e18eb…
05-25 19:37:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	54	23¢	$13	0xba935b…
05-25 19:34:18	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x2fefec…
05-25 19:00:48	Will Trump post "Dad" or "Daddy" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0x9d05ba…
05-25 18:42:30	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	70¢	$58	0xcc3b00…
05-25 18:41:06	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xffde2f…
05-25 15:11:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$260	0x973835…
05-25 09:19:07	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	29	75¢	$21	0xe6ddf0…
05-25 09:18:15	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x847fab…
05-25 08:51:02	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	157	26¢	$40	0x84296d…
05-25 08:45:21	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x099007…
05-25 08:36:22	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xcab7ba…
05-25 08:29:32	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	314	80¢	$250	0xc7cc8b…
05-25 08:27:53	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x39bfd0…
05-25 08:10:10	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$147	0xd839fe…
05-25 08:06:37	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	402	18¢	$74	0xb1790f…
05-25 08:01:57	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	526	19¢	$98	0x367c01…
05-25 07:51:57	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	466	30¢	$141	0x4d2824…
05-25 07:50:22	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x91569c…
05-25 07:41:04	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xaa351c…
05-25 07:35:33	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0xb210fe…
05-25 07:21:30	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x9f0fdd…
05-25 07:19:11	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0x769ead…
05-25 07:01:43	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0e5642…
05-25 06:54:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	136	90¢	$123	0xfd53ad…
05-25 06:26:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x45869e…
05-25 06:06:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x2a1f95…
05-25 05:39:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$446	0x297568…
05-25 05:34:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5,403	98¢	$5,300	0x97631b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	386	$48.9M	71,350	06-02 18:57
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	369	$1.21M	91,198	06-01 03:24
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	335	$959.6K	73,760	06-01 03:47
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	324	$126.0K	28,282	05-06 23:57
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	319	$206.3K	21,250	05-31 19:35
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	281	$47.6K	7,860	05-30 23:34
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	278	$2.00M	33,870	06-01 06:21
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	255	$148.1K	3,960	05-31 00:11