Realized P&L (90d)
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
9
9 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$476
$476 lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$446
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
74% 100% +$7
Politics
26%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No -154 $-126 94¢ $-144 $-18 05-05 16:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +200 $116 68¢ $137 +$21 05-05 18:46
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +100 $98 97¢ $97 $-1 05-06 00:07
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No +68 $63 100¢ $68 +$5 05-05 18:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -240 $-33 $-1 +$32 05-05 19:21
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +33 $3 $0 $-3 05-05 21:54