Acceptable-Arrival 0x938e4c…42d242
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$840
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$822
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 02:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68% 100% +$7
Politics
32% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No -308 $-269 94¢ $-288 $-18 05-06 00:59
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Oil" this week? Yes +148 $141 99¢ $146 +$5 05-06 02:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +200 $116 68¢ $137 +$21 05-05 18:46
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$1 05-06 00:07
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Ballroom" this week? Yes +82 $80 100¢ $82 +$2 05-06 02:18
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No +68 $63 99¢ $67 +$4 05-05 18:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -240 $-33 1¢ $-3 +$30 05-05 19:21
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +33 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 05-05 21:54