Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
+$1.16K
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
14
Trades
6,988
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$23.0K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-04 06:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
51% 67% $-201
Politics
42% 60% +$148
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +11,000 $10,889 100¢ $11.0K +$94 07-03 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,000 $3,280 100¢ $4.0K +$710 06-29 05:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,690 $2,815 88¢ $3.2K +$414 07-01 03:13
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -2,140 $-1,849 88¢ $-1883 $-34 06-26 15:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +700 $504 70¢ $494 $-10 06-20 06:34
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +487 $418 99¢ $483 +$65 06-29 00:57
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +401 $394 100¢ $400 +$7 06-21 06:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +284 $242 94¢ $266 +$24 07-01 08:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -275 $-243 88¢ $-241 +$2 06-09 11:48
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +206 $201 99¢ $204 +$3 06-29 00:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -310 $-68 60¢ $-188 $-120 07-03 07:38
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +390 $210 48¢ $185 $-25 07-02 12:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +281 $168 60¢ $170 +$1 07-04 06:10
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +150 $132 99¢ $148 +$16 06-29 08:26
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +63 $61 99¢ $63 +$1 06-26 04:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -41 $-20 54¢ $-22 $-1 06-10 21:39
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +27 $16 75¢ $20 +$4 06-19 17:34
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -10 $-11 78¢ $-7 +$4 06-26 13:06
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes +18 $8 22¢ $4 $-4 05-29 13:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $-12 48¢ $0 +$12 06-18 21:42