Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
-$408
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
14
Trades
7,913
lifetime
Volume
$1.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$142
Open exposure
$6.47K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
51% 67% $-201
Politics
42% 60% +$148
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,890 $3,836 70¢ $3.4K $-389 07-21 15:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -1,469 $-1,276 86¢ $-1256 +$19 07-22 13:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +691 $432 66¢ $460 +$28 07-20 20:06
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +401 $394 100¢ $400 +$7 06-21 06:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +284 $242 94¢ $266 +$24 07-01 08:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -275 $-243 88¢ $-241 +$2 06-09 11:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $158 90¢ $181 +$23 07-23 10:39
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +341 $75 29¢ $97 +$22 07-11 16:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +68 $34 70¢ $48 +$15 07-12 02:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -41 $-20 56¢ $-23 $-3 06-10 21:39
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +27 $16 80¢ $21 +$5 06-19 17:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -23 $156 70¢ $-16 $-173 07-22 15:30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -10 $-11 82¢ $-8 +$4 06-26 13:06
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes +18 $8 28¢ $5 $-3 05-29 13:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $-12 67¢ $0 +$12 06-18 21:42