Realized P&L
+$60
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,629
lifetime
Volume
$37.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$690
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-30 07:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
74% 57% +$36
Other
25% 50% +$40
Sports
1% 67% $-16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -400 $-379 100¢ $-399 $-20 06-02 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +293 $255 34¢ $101 $-154 06-28 23:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -430 $-143 20¢ $-84 +$59 06-18 10:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +130 $69 42¢ $55 $-13 06-23 16:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -100 $-30 26¢ $-26 +$4 05-30 17:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +50 $27 48¢ $24 $-3 06-23 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -300 $-55 $-1 +$53 06-16 04:28