Realized P&L
+$60
Unrealized P&L
-$158
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,671
lifetime
Volume
$39.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$197
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 07-20 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
74% 57% +$36
Other
24% 50% +$40
Sports
2% 67% $-16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -430 $-143 14¢ $-58 +$85 06-18 10:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $35 26¢ $53 +$18 07-13 16:54
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +130 $69 30¢ $38 $-30 06-23 16:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -100 $-30 22¢ $-22 +$8 05-30 17:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +50 $27 42¢ $21 $-6 06-23 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -407 $227 $-5 $-232 07-08 11:03