Frivolous-Currency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$7.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-14 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

47% 56% +$5

Politics

45% 50% +$20

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI		-5	$-1	15¢	$-1	+$1	06-03 19:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	24	$1.8K	1,125	959	+166	open	—	06-07 22:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$392	335	148	+187	open	—	05-18 01:44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	11	$371	308	208	+100	open	—	06-01 17:02
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$299	153	153	+0	open	—	05-02 20:55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	10	$284	272	254	+18	open	—	05-02 02:07
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$273	146	146	+0	open	—	05-23 21:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$263	135	135	+0	open	—	05-24 11:14
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	4	$216	117	117	+0	open	—	05-01 15:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$216	116	116	+0	open	—	06-01 06:10
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$216	121	121	+0	open	—	05-15 02:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$202	128	100	+28	open	—	05-04 05:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$198	103	103	+0	open	—	05-01 22:02
wta andrees mertens 2026 06 08	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 13:10
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$188	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	05-01 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$187	131	131	+0	open	—	05-17 09:27
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	3	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	05-02 22:20
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	2	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	05-17 09:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$121	112	112	+0	open	—	04-07 23:40
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	2	$117	67	67	+0	open	—	06-01 06:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$108	92	92	+0	open	—	04-07 23:41
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$102	105	0	+105	open	—	05-21 16:09
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	06-18 01:39
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-26 00:41
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	2	$97	112	0	+112	open	—	06-21 19:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$91	66	66	+0	No	$-15	05-04 18:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$77	243	77	+167	open	—	04-01 06:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$70	88	0	+88	Yes	+$18	05-08 02:59
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	1	$69	80	0	+80	open	—	07-14 02:34
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	05-07 21:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$49	34	34	+0	open	—	05-06 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 02:34:41	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xf6e7eb…
07-12 21:58:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa06e20…
07-12 21:54:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x27fedb…
07-12 21:54:40	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x56b188…
07-01 11:58:11	will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf9867a…
06-21 19:04:01	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xe87b6a…
06-21 19:02:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x823904…
06-18 01:39:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x38817d…
06-18 01:39:46	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x19d83a…
06-18 01:36:13	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9ebedb…
06-14 00:35:16	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x5ced6a…
06-14 00:13:46	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x655cb5…
06-14 00:08:55	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x8fe3e5…
06-14 00:07:19	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x6b56a8…
06-14 00:01:06	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xf4b180…
06-12 23:42:30	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc331d6…
06-12 23:42:09	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x99f3bf…
06-12 23:41:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe3bc18…
06-12 23:39:46	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe20e41…
06-12 02:14:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2edcd…
06-12 02:14:52	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xcc65a9…
06-12 02:14:36	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x4e952e…
06-11 19:55:48	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfb10c4…
06-11 00:17:40	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xa06f69…
06-10 19:35:24	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xff8ceb…
06-10 19:34:34	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x321cb8…
06-09 12:58:30	wta cirstea inglis 2026 06 09	Maddison Inglis	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xc5b2c6…
06-09 12:42:49	wta cirstea inglis 2026 06 09	Maddison Inglis	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x718592…
06-09 12:25:54	wta zidanse urgesi 2026 06 08	Federica Urgesi	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9c7b83…
06-08 13:10:06	wta andrees mertens 2026 06 08	Elise Mertens	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc86467…
06-08 11:28:37	wta andrees mertens 2026 06 08	Elise Mertens	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xbe6a75…
06-08 11:13:10	will marco rubio attend nato summit	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4a6026…
06-08 11:12:55	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfe7de9…
06-08 02:05:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x76b955…
06-07 22:49:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xc18af8…
06-07 22:48:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x475436…
06-07 22:45:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	178	96¢	$170	0xb8df4f…
06-07 22:44:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa01701…
06-07 22:43:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xe340ff…
06-07 22:15:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$95	0xb70b3b…
06-07 22:15:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x84c401…
06-07 22:15:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	132	96¢	$126	0x99e2ad…
06-07 22:13:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	234	96¢	$225	0x673e4c…
06-07 22:08:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x67fd70…
06-07 21:53:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	230	95¢	$219	0x2a82e5…
06-07 21:33:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	217	95¢	$206	0x4b3599…
06-07 21:22:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	67	92¢	$62	0x2c7485…
06-07 21:22:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x5e3f5c…
06-07 21:17:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd0c15b…
06-07 21:06:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	223	94¢	$210	0xd68f1a…
06-07 20:57:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0x5dcf6a…
06-07 20:49:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x875e9a…
06-07 20:44:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x20c97c…
06-07 20:43:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x6326b4…
06-07 20:25:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x8aa49e…
06-07 20:22:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x51c1e0…
06-07 20:19:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc837aa…
06-07 20:10:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x27c970…
06-03 19:14:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x65c803…
06-03 19:12:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xb821d7…
06-03 19:12:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x0c53f5…
06-03 19:07:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x23ceea…
06-01 17:54:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4e443e…
06-01 17:43:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfb7049…
06-01 17:42:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x442524…
06-01 17:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc41e8f…
06-01 17:36:50	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x91bfd6…
06-01 17:02:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a5bfb…
06-01 17:02:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54d3ed…
06-01 17:01:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xbc41a6…
06-01 17:01:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x589df2…
06-01 17:01:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x9b92a0…
06-01 16:45:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf4a574…
06-01 16:44:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xccbc13…
06-01 16:08:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xa9c891…
06-01 15:41:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x69aa49…
06-01 15:23:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x63148c…
06-01 14:58:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xe98377…
06-01 09:34:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	91¢	$180	0x3d9012…
06-01 09:32:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x62309d…
06-01 09:32:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x236700…
06-01 06:10:27	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x6c5098…
06-01 06:10:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x9ec748…
05-31 08:04:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x923ccc…
05-31 08:03:59	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xb055a2…
05-30 21:45:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xc23cda…
05-30 21:43:38	Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa8e13b…
05-30 07:47:31	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x55c158…
05-30 04:09:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x605f8d…
05-28 09:14:21	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0de57f…
05-28 00:02:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8d0ae5…
05-28 00:01:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xc30f2e…
05-27 00:08:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x6e7ac7…
05-26 17:48:02	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe223b7…
05-26 17:47:13	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x12d764…
05-26 01:02:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5f6d50…
05-26 01:02:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb47267…
05-26 00:41:03	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x56bc19…
05-26 00:16:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x88ac63…
05-26 00:06:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xf9140e…