Realized P&L
-$624
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
60
Trades
6,744
lifetime
Volume
$73.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$109
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 07-01 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% $-314
Politics
35% 57% $-310
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +25 $12 75¢ $19 +$7 06-25 08:35
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +13 $5 48¢ $6 +$1 06-03 16:39
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-22 15:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-09 09:26
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 14:19
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 06-29 22:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 06-15 07:11
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-19 14:49
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 06-21 17:03
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 14:49
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 15:07
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-15 12:42
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +7 $5 71¢ $5 $-0 06-17 06:26
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 $-0 06-22 15:45
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +10 $4 44¢ $4 +$0 06-28 03:00
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $5 33¢ $3 $-2 06-04 22:10
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +7 $3 43¢ $3 +$1 06-13 01:28
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +6 $2 38¢ $2 +$0 07-01 04:00
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +5 $2 39¢ $2 +$0 06-25 08:22
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 06-24 21:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 06-26 00:34
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 31¢ $2 $-1 06-25 08:24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $3 $0 $-3 06-07 19:48