Realized P&L
-$624
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
60
Trades
7,097
lifetime
Volume
$74.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$105
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 07-22 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% $-314
Politics
35% 57% $-310
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +25 $12 80¢ $20 +$8 06-25 08:35
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +21 $8 60¢ $13 +$5 07-02 04:01
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +7 $5 98¢ $7 +$2 06-15 12:42
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +7 $5 97¢ $7 +$2 06-17 06:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 06-15 07:11
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-21 17:03
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-19 14:49
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 14:49
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 15:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +12 $4 42¢ $5 +$1 07-03 00:30
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-22 15:45
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +10 $4 45¢ $4 +$0 06-28 03:00
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $2 62¢ $4 +$2 06-24 21:21
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $2 72¢ $4 +$2 07-03 03:51
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 06-25 08:22
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 06-26 00:34
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 39¢ $2 $-0 06-25 08:24
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-1 07-11 00:00
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +5 $2 31¢ $2 $-1 07-02 03:36
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +7 $3 $0 $-2 06-13 01:28