Realized P&L
-$624
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
60
Trades
6,726
lifetime
Volume
$73.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$140
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 07-01 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% $-314
Politics
35% 57% $-310
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +25 $12 74¢ $19 +$7 06-25 08:35
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +10 $5 100¢ $10 +$5 05-29 17:46
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +13 $5 60¢ $8 +$3 06-03 16:39
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-02 05:09
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-15 02:42
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-01 00:48
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-22 15:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-09 09:26
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 06-29 22:41
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 14:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 06-15 07:11
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 06-17 06:26
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 06-15 12:42
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-19 14:49
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 06-21 17:03
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 14:49
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 15:07
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +10 $5 49¢ $5 $-0 06-22 15:45
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +10 $4 45¢ $4 +$0 06-28 03:00
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +7 $3 44¢ $3 +$1 06-13 01:28
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $5 33¢ $3 $-2 06-04 22:10
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +6 $2 40¢ $3 +$1 07-01 04:00
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 $-0 06-25 08:22
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-24 21:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 33¢ $2 $-1 06-26 00:34
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 06-25 08:24
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-21 10:33
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +24 $5 $0 $-5 05-29 03:16
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +62 $20 $0 $-20 06-09 20:01
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +7 $5 $0 $-5 06-12 16:08