Bruised-Basketball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,560

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-4

Other

43% 0% $-82

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		-10	$-4	46¢	$-5	$-1	06-12 00:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	128	$8.4K	7,726	8,026	-300	open	—	01-26 01:23
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	23	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	-0	open	—	01-30 07:28
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	16	$876	800	1,000	-200	open	—	01-05 21:11
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	41	$761	1,128	1,728	-600	open	—	05-11 01:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$732	400	400	+0	open	—	02-27 03:34
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	14	$701	661	661	+0	open	—	01-26 01:38
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	23	$637	400	432	-32	open	—	03-04 05:15
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	10	$599	434	434	+0	open	—	04-25 15:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	11	$501	302	302	+0	open	—	04-20 03:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$464	400	400	+0	open	—	04-30 05:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	5	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	01-05 01:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$356	320	320	+0	open	—	03-08 14:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$352	300	300	+0	open	—	05-28 04:36
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	5	$295	217	217	+0	open	—	02-21 03:50
will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	2	$277	190	190	+0	open	—	03-27 06:50
Chirayu Rana sued?	2	$270	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 16:47
spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	7	$270	203	203	+0	open	—	02-27 02:39
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	4	$260	178	178	+0	open	—	02-27 06:01
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	8	$235	247	247	+0	No	$-5	03-29 13:25
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$215	300	300	+0	open	—	04-01 10:57
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-25 12:44
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	4	$212	300	300	+0	open	—	02-13 04:57
will trump say pam or bondi during the state of the union address 445	3	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	02-24 23:59
nothing ever happens january 581	16	$206	200	200	+0	open	—	01-07 12:56
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	14	$203	206	206	+0	open	—	01-29 06:23
spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	8	$200	202	202	+0	open	—	02-11 03:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$196	150	130	+20	open	—	06-30 01:07
us bank failure by march 31 294	4	$195	200	200	+0	open	—	01-29 08:09
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	5	$193	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 02:45
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:14:34	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x18e802…
07-01 03:26:19	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x7b3804…
07-01 01:23:25	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe177e1…
06-30 01:07:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe6403a…
06-28 15:35:43	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xb61a8b…
06-27 15:38:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xe3df67…
06-27 14:30:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xeec9eb…
06-27 13:05:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xfb8bd2…
06-27 13:01:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8272c4…
06-27 09:44:28	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x1501ec…
06-27 00:05:47	will pluralis launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x342abe…
06-27 00:05:41	will lifi launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x4504a1…
06-27 00:03:40	QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x653757…
06-27 00:03:35	QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xed57ce…
06-27 00:03:14	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xf1caf9…
06-26 18:05:44	will lifi launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9c9dac…
06-26 16:58:41	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1590ff…
06-26 16:44:17	will pluralis launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x79b974…
06-26 16:25:14	QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xaf5717…
06-26 16:24:34	QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x558277…
06-26 15:39:14	will veda launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x1fccf5…
06-26 15:37:34	will veda launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xfdec5d…
06-25 12:44:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xafae86…
06-25 12:42:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xdd8c72…
06-25 12:41:47	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xbaa7ab…
06-25 12:30:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xaf10c7…
06-25 12:28:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd79c97…
06-25 07:35:26	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x459961…
06-25 03:16:37	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x232793…
06-24 23:25:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x5b2855…
06-24 19:11:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xb9d770…
06-24 16:13:59	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xbb6379…
06-24 16:12:59	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221715	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x2c4679…
06-24 16:12:17	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859843	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xbed1bb…
06-24 14:24:02	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221715	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x057862…
06-24 13:23:49	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xed4b62…
06-24 13:19:19	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x642038…
06-24 12:16:11	will the announcers say golden boot during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947274	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xee82cd…
06-24 12:13:55	will the announcers say freedom during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415019	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x70186b…
06-24 12:10:28	will the announcers say freedom during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415019	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x10f4bd…
06-24 12:02:44	will the announcers say golden boot during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947274	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x2689cb…
06-24 11:45:38	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221710	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xae30ad…
06-24 11:45:32	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x51dd81…
06-24 11:44:52	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221710	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x584f48…
06-24 11:44:25	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x218d03…
06-24 11:43:20	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221710	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa6ac3d…
06-24 11:42:26	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221710	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x939deb…
06-24 10:26:08	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xde3511…
06-24 10:22:40	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0964c5…
06-24 09:44:13	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1563c4…
06-24 09:43:35	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe58807…
06-24 09:43:31	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xaf22ce…
06-24 09:42:07	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc1cefb…
06-24 09:35:17	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859843	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x217af6…
06-24 09:32:01	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd4d429…
06-24 09:24:44	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x86d8b2…
06-24 04:56:41	gmgn fdv above 700m one day after launch	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xc04a8e…
06-24 04:50:25	gmgn fdv above 700m one day after launch	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0bb757…
06-24 02:15:55	Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x294051…
06-24 02:15:02	Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xb88cfe…
06-23 10:03:56	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xfc1092…
06-23 09:17:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xfeb025…
06-21 12:55:31	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa62863…
06-21 12:03:17	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x893d5f…
06-20 01:17:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0xf37d7f…
06-20 01:13:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x792fbd…
06-19 01:50:19	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xd1f8e4…
06-19 00:24:26	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0cf57b…
06-19 00:24:16	will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x622c6f…
06-19 00:13:25	will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2974a7…
06-18 20:42:35	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x346601…
06-18 17:58:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x534987…
06-18 11:15:40	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0x760e1d…
06-18 11:07:52	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xcee0f4…
06-18 10:27:32	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9deb72…
06-18 08:46:04	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x127b19…
06-18 07:48:31	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1369a8…
06-18 06:47:32	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7784d6…
06-18 06:44:59	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x465326…
06-17 23:25:41	gmgn fdv above 800m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3c8a0f…
06-17 21:23:37	gmgn fdv above 800m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdfeb69…
06-17 17:12:40	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x0ff636…
06-17 17:01:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x9b43db…
06-17 16:19:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xe69aa7…
06-17 07:04:55	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x4cac0b…
06-17 06:53:17	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc6f889…
06-17 04:12:34	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xacbc7d…
06-17 03:44:49	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x447197…
06-17 00:18:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x235a99…
06-16 23:35:31	gmgn fdv above 400m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x09f358…
06-16 23:16:46	gmgn fdv above 400m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x57ac4f…
06-16 13:06:04	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	No	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xb592f6…
06-16 12:54:49	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x0aa1c4…
06-16 10:17:12	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x0e7eea…
06-16 10:14:36	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Iraq	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6fe0f2…
06-16 10:12:00	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf56936…
06-16 10:09:31	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x74dce7…
06-16 05:00:43	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x40c5c5…
06-15 16:19:01	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x687958…
06-15 15:18:48	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x9127c8…