Daring-Liquor 0x33db47…85417a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$259
Unrealized P&L
-$132
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
15,070
lifetime
Volume
$837.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.60K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 01:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
41% 50% +$3
Other
40% 100% +$265
Tech
15% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-8
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +518 $270 57¢ $298 +$27 06-21 15:15
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +300 $245 88¢ $264 +$19 06-22 15:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -258 $-193 70¢ $-182 +$11 06-27 19:39
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +300 $156 46¢ $136 $-19 06-10 14:05
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -200 $-140 67¢ $-134 +$6 06-01 07:18
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -146 $-140 84¢ $-122 +$18 06-25 05:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -129 $-178 82¢ $-106 +$72 06-11 02:35
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -873 $176 12¢ $-105 $-281 06-26 07:15
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? No -151 $-33 51¢ $-77 $-44 06-19 09:05
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +213 $82 32¢ $67 $-15 06-17 06:52
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +56 $18 80¢ $45 +$28 06-16 04:25
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -67 $-21 42¢ $-29 $-8 05-30 11:13
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No -67 $-59 24¢ $-16 +$42 06-20 12:48
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No -93 $-13 14¢ $-13 +$0 06-29 13:59
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -33 $-19 24¢ $-8 +$11 06-16 13:37
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +3 $1 69¢ $2 +$1 06-04 23:42