Daring-Liquor 0x33db47…85417a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$259
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
15,068
lifetime
Volume
$837.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$2.97K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
41% 50% +$3
Other
40% 100% +$265
Tech
15% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-8
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 490 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -1,461 $-1,391 90¢ $-1322 +$68 06-05 08:33
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +300 $245 89¢ $267 +$22 06-22 15:10
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +518 $270 45¢ $233 $-37 06-21 15:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -258 $-193 55¢ $-142 +$51 06-27 19:39
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -146 $-140 81¢ $-118 +$22 06-25 05:56
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +300 $156 38¢ $112 $-43 06-10 14:05
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -200 $-140 54¢ $-109 +$31 06-01 07:18
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -108 $-71 99¢ $-106 $-35 05-28 23:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -129 $-178 76¢ $-98 +$80 06-11 02:35
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -873 $176 11¢ $-96 $-272 06-26 07:15
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No -67 $-59 86¢ $-58 +$1 06-20 12:48
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No -60 $-39 94¢ $-57 $-18 06-01 22:45
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +213 $82 26¢ $57 $-25 06-17 06:52
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? No -151 $-33 32¢ $-48 $-15 06-19 09:05
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +47 $6 100¢ $47 +$41 06-21 11:44
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +56 $18 74¢ $42 +$24 06-16 04:25
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -67 $-21 55¢ $-37 $-16 05-30 11:13
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -33 $-19 22¢ $-7 +$12 06-16 13:37
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No -93 $-13 8¢ $-7 +$6 06-29 13:59
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +3 $1 58¢ $2 +$0 06-04 23:42
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -109 $-154 1¢ $-1 +$154 06-06 17:03
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $44 1¢ $1 $-43 06-11 02:45
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $4 2¢ $0 $-4 06-09 20:07