Daring-Liquor 0x33db47…85417a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$259
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
14,864
lifetime
Volume
$827.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$3.79K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
42% 50% +$3
Other
40% 100% +$265
Tech
15% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-8
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 490 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -1,461 $-1,391 98¢ $-1426 $-35 06-05 08:33
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +727 $541 74¢ $540 $-0 06-10 06:27
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -473 $-482 98¢ $-463 +$18 06-08 13:41
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +295 $261 94¢ $276 +$15 06-10 02:30
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +202 $142 74¢ $148 +$7 06-09 19:44
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -200 $-140 70¢ $-141 $-1 06-01 07:18
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +200 $104 53¢ $106 +$2 06-08 09:20
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -109 $-154 94¢ $-102 +$53 06-06 17:03
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -108 $-71 90¢ $-97 $-26 05-28 23:43
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +289 $87 32¢ $94 +$7 06-09 10:32
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $73 90¢ $90 +$17 06-06 15:49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +177 $78 44¢ $77 $-1 06-09 17:50
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +207 $80 37¢ $77 $-3 06-10 06:16
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No -60 $-39 87¢ $-52 $-13 06-01 22:45
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +217 $59 20¢ $44 $-14 06-09 21:09
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -67 $-21 39¢ $-26 $-5 05-30 11:13
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $4 76¢ $11 +$6 06-09 20:07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +38 $-9 25¢ $9 +$18 06-08 22:57
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No +100 $3 5¢ $5 +$2 06-09 00:17
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +3 $1 52¢ $2 +$0 06-04 23:42