Realized P&L
+$87
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
99.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,235
lifetime
Volume
$277.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$1.81K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
58% 100% +$88
Politics
35% 50% $-1
Sports
3%
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +450 $323 97¢ $435 +$112 07-13 15:57
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +300 $290 96¢ $289 $-2 07-21 14:33
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +271 $259 98¢ $266 +$6 07-19 18:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +450 $374 54¢ $241 $-134 07-21 03:27
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +200 $155 96¢ $193 +$38 07-21 14:33
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +200 $119 73¢ $147 +$28 06-18 14:12
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No +146 $102 87¢ $127 +$25 07-19 03:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -54 $-50 62¢ $-33 +$17 07-11 04:55
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -29 $-28 96¢ $-28 +$0 06-08 01:53
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -34 $-21 64¢ $-22 $-1 06-05 07:38
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes +20 $26 95¢ $19 $-7 07-17 15:45
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? Yes -62 $-9 13¢ $-8 +$1 07-04 04:38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +5 $-36 78¢ $4 +$40 07-15 05:02
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -59 $46 $-2 $-48 07-12 02:16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No +5 $3 $0 $-3 06-27 02:21