Realized P&L
+$87
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
99.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,971
lifetime
Volume
$264.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$1.74K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
57% 100% +$88
Politics
36% 50% $-1
Crypto
3%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +265 $227 96¢ $253 +$26 06-30 09:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $256 84¢ $250 $-6 06-28 07:05
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +328 $220 74¢ $245 +$25 06-27 02:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +200 $190 100¢ $200 +$9 06-21 15:10
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +200 $175 98¢ $196 +$21 06-28 08:43
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +321 $151 47¢ $151 $-1 06-29 12:50
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +200 $119 67¢ $134 +$15 06-18 14:12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +150 $96 68¢ $101 +$5 06-14 03:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +195 $81 32¢ $61 $-20 06-29 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 06-26 01:07
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +50 $32 100¢ $50 +$18 06-24 17:32
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -29 $-28 91¢ $-27 +$2 06-08 01:53
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -34 $-21 60¢ $-21 $-0 06-05 07:38
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes +5 $6 96¢ $5 $-1 06-26 23:47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No +5 $3 $0 $-3 06-27 02:21