Disguised-Pajamas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,446

lifetime

Volume

$298.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$88

Politics

33% 50% $-1

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	72	$9.9K	10,639	9,182	+1,457	open	—	01-23 06:58
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	22	$9.2K	4,707	4,707	+0	open	—	07-23 13:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	55	$7.8K	5,150	3,074	+2,075	open	—	04-10 04:17
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	120	$7.2K	8,171	6,618	+1,553	open	—	03-31 18:34
Iran leadership change by March 13?	14	$5.9K	3,938	1,936	+2,002	open	—	03-16 14:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$5.4K	2,829	2,829	+0	open	—	03-01 15:27
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	35	$4.6K	3,097	2,297	+799	open	—	05-11 06:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	8	$3.9K	1,856	2,056	-200	open	—	02-03 05:35
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	30	$3.6K	3,146	1,352	+1,795	open	—	05-11 02:24
will iran strike turkey in march	46	$3.6K	2,016	2,166	-150	open	—	03-18 22:19
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$3.2K	1,645	1,645	+0	open	—	02-28 06:20
will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	10	$3.2K	1,599	1,599	+0	open	—	02-25 08:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$3.0K	1,502	1,502	+0	open	—	03-15 16:00
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	25	$3.0K	3,015	553	+2,462	open	—	04-07 03:46
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	23	$2.9K	1,785	1,638	+147	open	—	06-10 00:55
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	51	$2.6K	1,864	1,864	+0	open	—	03-30 12:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	55	$2.4K	1,794	1,794	+0	open	—	03-25 12:54
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	11	$2.3K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	02-08 14:26
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	12	$2.3K	1,695	695	+1,000	open	—	03-31 17:55
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	44	$2.2K	961	1,467	-505	open	—	04-17 16:31
bitcoin up or down january 9 10am et	13	$2.1K	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	01-09 15:58
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	13	$2.1K	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	02-09 01:47
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 2 2026	6	$2.1K	2,107	0	+2,107	open	—	02-03 06:48
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	8	$2.1K	1,113	1,113	+0	open	—	01-11 17:24
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	29	$2.1K	1,286	1,023	+263	open	—	01-25 01:14
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	03-03 06:07
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	27	$2.0K	1,650	1,800	-150	open	—	04-22 00:00
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	23	$1.9K	1,174	843	+331	open	—	01-11 17:00
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	23	$1.9K	1,501	473	+1,028	open	—	02-19 07:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	17	$1.7K	891	941	-50	open	—	02-28 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:41:34	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xdec67c…
08-10 15:48:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc8ddee…
08-10 05:46:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x497fc7…
08-10 03:18:06	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfeec3c…
08-10 01:19:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x41d4e1…
08-09 21:27:55	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	68	85¢	$58	0xd25450…
08-09 21:27:36	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x2fa622…
08-09 18:32:12	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa599f5…
08-08 15:55:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x281841…
08-08 11:50:30	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x32873d…
08-08 06:56:39	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x7b466b…
08-08 05:18:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xe959b6…
08-07 16:47:52	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xee1e11…
08-07 16:47:49	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	151	95¢	$144	0x338deb…
08-07 16:16:13	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	300	94¢	$281	0x0380fa…
08-07 15:25:21	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x4dd8d9…
08-07 14:00:33	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	84	38¢	$32	0x484592…
08-07 12:53:22	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x39aa50…
08-07 12:53:16	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	99	65¢	$64	0x9e08cb…
08-07 09:43:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x2f4b11…
08-06 20:17:02	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xb6a9a9…
08-06 19:38:05	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc56fd1…
08-06 16:13:26	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0xdb4e85…
08-06 15:42:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x24fa4e…
08-06 13:39:05	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x93ed7d…
08-06 13:13:08	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260731171732970	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x1899ce…
08-06 10:16:27	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x693d9a…
08-06 10:15:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x328cb1…
08-06 10:15:41	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9e8588…
08-06 10:15:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcbebbe…
08-06 10:14:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4b9c15…
08-06 10:14:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd0eef5…
08-06 10:13:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0f8e70…
08-06 10:13:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x29f775…
08-06 10:13:06	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	29	96¢	$27	0x0d6d2d…
08-06 08:21:26	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xbca555…
08-06 08:00:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x2f3573…
08-06 07:57:23	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	85¢	$79	0xe1c18f…
08-06 07:50:26	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x640802…
08-06 07:50:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x834f14…
08-06 07:39:44	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x54c89a…
08-06 07:39:42	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf01d13…
08-06 06:32:11	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd4d12a…
08-06 06:31:50	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x222670…
08-06 03:38:36	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 5 20260730202035441	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x5f0ff6…
08-06 03:34:53	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 5 20260730202035441	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x5042d9…
08-06 03:09:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x7b6378…
08-05 18:20:44	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	85¢	$94	0xf8b766…
08-05 17:51:17	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0xc2961e…
08-05 14:41:57	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d934b…
08-05 14:40:33	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0e33a0…
08-05 14:26:39	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa39f87…
08-05 14:04:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2a9344…
08-05 14:04:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8bed87…
08-05 13:03:32	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc604d7…
08-05 13:03:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0f0ce7…
08-05 12:21:03	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	62	53¢	$33	0x29a5a2…
08-05 09:33:27	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9cc537…
08-05 08:24:23	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x21fe97…
08-05 03:49:00	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xef70a5…
08-05 03:47:42	will john hughs advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014638	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf24ab6…
08-05 03:39:09	will jerrod sessler advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014636	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf34579…
08-05 03:38:51	will ken vaz advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014641	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x274433…
08-05 03:38:41	will elpidia saavedra advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014643	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe0ace0…
08-05 03:37:00	will john hughs advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014638	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x3227e7…
08-05 03:36:51	will favian valencia advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014640	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x30cc21…
08-05 03:36:38	will ken vaz advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014641	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x1f312f…
08-05 03:35:47	will ken vaz advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014641	No	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0x7261b1…
08-05 03:35:35	will john hughs advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014638	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84e011…
08-05 03:35:08	will john duresky advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014633	Yes	BUY	659	100¢	$658	0xf6d3d0…
08-05 03:33:29	will amanda mckinney advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014634	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x7b0a71…
08-05 03:31:27	will amanda mckinney advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014634	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa855d2…
08-05 03:15:44	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	48¢	$240	0x9450ff…
08-05 01:12:27	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1b5aa2…
08-04 20:51:39	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	150	93¢	$139	0xc2776a…
08-04 18:52:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x4a616e…
08-04 10:58:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xa629a8…
08-04 10:26:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x399a70…
08-04 08:03:29	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x68fb53…
08-04 06:48:44	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xb4b2d0…
08-04 06:17:48	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4f1582…
08-04 02:00:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x953845…
08-03 23:34:09	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1fbf6a…
08-03 17:37:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	47	52¢	$25	0xce94ac…
08-03 16:57:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x223418…
08-03 08:27:51	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xf8ff5d…
08-02 21:02:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x2cccf0…
08-02 11:39:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x20187e…
08-02 11:39:05	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2b3813…
08-02 11:39:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x79ddcf…
08-02 11:19:05	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x497e10…
08-02 08:50:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x54ea4a…
08-02 06:07:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xb18e06…
08-02 06:07:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0xc09abd…
08-02 04:05:41	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xb07403…
08-02 01:58:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6b7431…
08-01 20:12:20	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2c1b5d…
08-01 16:41:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x23d69a…
08-01 16:32:35	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	270	60¢	$162	0xa9db8f…
08-01 13:27:54	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0x567695…