Realized P&L
+$120.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.56K
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
448
Trades
19,343
lifetime
Volume
$11.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$574
Open exposure
$181.1K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
48% 77% +$146,338
Politics
47% 76% -$37,595
Tech
2% 82% -$19,994
Crypto
1% 100% +$1,175
Sports
1% 88% +$33,038
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2,110
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 454 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +50,000 $49,500 99¢ $49.5K +$25 10-05 19:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +50,000 $46,000 92¢ $46.2K +$250 10-26 01:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60,000 $44,200 61¢ $36.6K -$7,600 10-27 06:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -50,000 -$32,000 66¢ $-32750 -$750 10-26 01:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -50,000 -$12,741 28¢ $-13750 -$1,009 10-26 01:22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No -1,000 -$994 100¢ $-996 -$2 09-29 15:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -545 -$463 82¢ $-449 +$14 09-28 16:22
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes -4,432 -$185 4¢ $-177 +$8 10-26 01:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +250 -$1,864 55¢ $136 +$2,000 10-26 01:25
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -709 -$47 16¢ $-117 -$70 10-26 01:20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +250 $155 45¢ $113 -$42 07-21 12:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -3,025 -$1,185 3¢ $-91 +$1,094 10-26 01:19
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes -50,000 -$50 0¢ $-50 +$0 10-26 18:13
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -1,174 -$41 4¢ $-43 -$3 09-29 15:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes -1,185 -$50 1¢ $-14 +$36 07-08 16:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes -2,080 -$17 0¢ $-7 +$10 09-29 06:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes -1,000 -$38 1¢ $-6 +$31 07-03 16:06
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -93 -$11 6¢ $-6 +$5 09-29 06:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes -1,060 -$51 0¢ $-5 +$47 07-03 16:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 05-25 18:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $126 96¢ $0 -$126 09-29 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $480 12¢ $0 -$480 08-22 19:49