Realized P&L
+$7.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.04K
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
239
Trades
3,786
lifetime
Volume
$662.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$175
Open exposure
$21.8K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-30 03:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Politics
56% 81% +$2,098
Other
43% 87% +$5,755
Tech
1% 75% -$158
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +4,242 $3,969 95¢ $4.0K +$78 10-29 17:44
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +4,142 $3,848 93¢ $3.8K -$2 10-27 06:05
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +3,826 $2,857 96¢ $3.7K +$825 10-27 06:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,000 $1,699 97¢ $1.9K +$242 10-26 10:25
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,700 92¢ $1.8K +$130 10-20 02:18
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,715 $1,669 99¢ $1.7K +$36 10-27 14:48
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,508 $1,145 95¢ $1.4K +$291 10-09 18:29
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1,000 $813 84¢ $835 +$22 10-26 08:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +965 $717 78¢ $758 +$41 10-30 01:41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +735 $481 96¢ $708 +$226 08-24 02:56
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +569 $462 88¢ $498 +$36 09-21 13:08
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +500 $450 97¢ $484 +$34 09-10 23:29
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Yes -355 -$78 2¢ $-9 +$69 04-30 23:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -5 -$4 90¢ $-4 $0 07-01 02:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 +$0 07-25 12:20
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$15 99¢ $0 +$15 09-16 09:13