Realized P&L
+$104
Unrealized P&L
+$418
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,927
lifetime
Volume
$546.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$187
Open exposure
$5.24K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-21 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
58% 100% +$34
Other
42% 100% +$70
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +2,222 $1,825 90¢ $2.0K +$184 07-12 01:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,523 $1,180 93¢ $1.4K +$236 07-19 09:59
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +700 $680 97¢ $678 $-2 07-19 01:32
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +670 $618 95¢ $635 +$16 07-09 11:03
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +400 $389 95¢ $382 $-8 07-18 13:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +89 $87 100¢ $89 +$2 06-21 06:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +32 $32 72¢ $23 $-10 07-21 17:30
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 07-01 02:44
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 $-1 06-06 18:20