Weak-Sanctity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$104

Unrealized P&L

+$125

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,803

lifetime

Volume

$528.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

$2.66K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$34

Other

40% 100% +$70

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+736	$587	90¢	$660	+$73	06-29 11:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+704	$650	94¢	$659	+$9	06-11 01:50
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	No	+561	$519	95¢	$531	+$12	06-24 09:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+500	$435	92¢	$458	+$22	06-11 08:34
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	+270	$258	98¢	$265	+$7	06-30 19:28
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+89	$87	100¢	$89	+$2	06-21 06:12
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	-5	$-4	74¢	$-4	$-0	06-06 18:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	33	$26.5K	24,500	2,500	+22,000	open	—	04-08 20:37
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	79	$22.9K	13,661	10,828	+2,833	open	—	01-22 23:49
fact check maduro capture staged	49	$22.4K	10,340	12,605	-2,265	open	—	03-30 21:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	49	$20.6K	13,763	8,000	+5,763	open	—	03-21 15:11
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	96	$19.2K	12,844	7,739	+5,105	open	—	04-03 06:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	15	$18.0K	8,562	9,562	-1,000	open	—	01-21 22:43
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	152	$17.5K	11,946	8,155	+3,791	open	—	04-07 10:13
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	103	$17.4K	11,345	7,197	+4,148	open	—	04-07 08:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	25	$15.0K	4,957	10,199	-5,242	open	—	05-30 01:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	51	$13.3K	7,484	7,484	+0	open	—	03-29 11:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$12.5K	12,600	0	+12,600	open	—	04-07 23:12
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	18	$12.3K	9,399	3,090	+6,309	open	—	04-28 12:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	62	$12.1K	11,799	2,624	+9,175	open	—	03-01 01:31
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	30	$10.8K	10,373	561	+9,811	open	—	04-07 03:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-01 00:09
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	55	$10.0K	6,783	4,385	+2,398	open	—	05-11 01:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	55	$9.1K	5,324	4,700	+624	open	—	04-28 04:25
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	6	$8.5K	8,615	0	+8,615	open	—	04-07 01:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	39	$8.3K	6,207	3,934	+2,273	open	—	05-09 08:17
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	17	$8.1K	3,869	4,369	-500	open	—	01-23 02:17
will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	15	$8.1K	5,620	2,620	+3,000	open	—	06-30 03:53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	56	$7.9K	5,229	3,978	+1,251	open	—	04-16 16:08
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	33	$6.9K	3,613	4,000	-387	open	—	01-22 11:32
will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	11	$5.9K	5,500	500	+5,000	open	—	01-22 15:36
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	11	$5.9K	5,879	100	+5,779	open	—	03-07 21:01
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	27	$5.6K	4,583	1,272	+3,311	open	—	03-28 20:13
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	12	$5.4K	4,280	1,613	+2,667	open	—	05-24 01:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	38	$5.1K	2,767	2,767	+0	open	—	04-21 23:27
will trump meet with kim jong un in february 2026	1	$4.8K	4,852	0	+4,852	open	—	02-26 07:43
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	41	$4.5K	4,065	1,122	+2,944	open	—	06-29 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:28:32	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xcd585f…
06-30 19:26:55	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8cb706…
06-30 19:25:35	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x8ebe1a…
06-30 19:25:14	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x0f24f2…
06-30 03:53:28	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x74f549…
06-29 13:32:19	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x934738…
06-29 11:52:53	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0x0ebe15…
06-29 09:44:37	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc70b92…
06-28 13:47:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	96¢	$283	0xe4cb3e…
06-28 13:47:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x61e729…
06-28 13:46:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xee7f4b…
06-28 10:49:32	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	95	85¢	$81	0xe571dd…
06-28 09:34:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x73b06c…
06-28 09:29:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	97¢	$179	0x425a62…
06-28 09:29:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x7978d8…
06-28 02:03:41	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x63e1f4…
06-27 10:05:44	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	81	84¢	$68	0xadb843…
06-27 10:03:56	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$256	0xc0a32b…
06-27 02:06:34	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	21	90¢	$18	0x65e633…
06-27 02:05:46	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x945180…
06-27 02:05:46	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0x929390…
06-27 02:04:43	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x6fc1fd…
06-26 15:32:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	124	85¢	$105	0xceaba5…
06-26 15:19:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	133	85¢	$113	0x6ef0dd…
06-26 15:15:50	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	43	85¢	$36	0xed72ea…
06-26 12:15:11	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x132cbb…
06-26 06:49:41	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x549486…
06-25 14:03:19	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0x036762…
06-25 10:45:26	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	49	89¢	$43	0x73beec…
06-24 23:31:43	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0x6166d8…
06-24 15:10:34	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x00a4b1…
06-24 15:10:29	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x783783…
06-24 15:10:25	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x66dbe6…
06-24 11:29:31	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0x3b5c89…
06-24 10:44:56	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf95297…
06-24 09:55:35	Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	No	BUY	561	92¢	$519	0xd695bb…
06-23 23:02:49	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xbb84ce…
06-23 17:22:35	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x7866a7…
06-23 17:10:29	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa3bfb6…
06-23 10:00:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x4c5365…
06-23 09:58:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0xfbcac7…
06-23 09:58:14	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x7f7f6e…
06-23 09:04:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$969	0x7f78ac…
06-23 08:46:50	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x47ec76…
06-23 08:21:08	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xf57856…
06-23 08:20:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xc6e859…
06-23 08:20:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0x547fd8…
06-23 07:45:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	679	92¢	$625	0xd3a755…
06-23 07:22:05	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x377031…
06-23 07:22:02	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x398213…
06-23 07:21:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1770f5…
06-23 07:21:31	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x175f66…
06-23 06:52:13	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf681ac…
06-23 06:32:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1cee4d…
06-23 06:22:11	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xcdbb8f…
06-23 06:20:38	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x34fe04…
06-23 06:19:38	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x372a8d…
06-23 06:19:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x855609…
06-23 06:19:16	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9f5d73…
06-23 06:19:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x478375…
06-23 04:09:02	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xce333d…
06-23 03:52:52	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdd6e47…
06-23 03:51:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9c5cc3…
06-23 03:00:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$957	0x97000f…
06-22 23:59:29	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$257	0xd5b799…
06-22 23:58:55	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x15064f…
06-22 09:18:46	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x357dfa…
06-22 08:10:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x46f404…
06-22 07:38:37	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x6366b0…
06-22 07:38:35	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	83	83¢	$69	0x9ac3e9…
06-21 15:35:37	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	484	100¢	$483	0xf86568…
06-21 11:12:44	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x65fdde…
06-21 09:23:19	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	87	92¢	$80	0x7798d2…
06-21 09:07:14	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xc5fe73…
06-21 06:15:29	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x88aca6…
06-21 06:15:23	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x7c5f46…
06-21 06:15:19	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x0b34e3…
06-21 06:12:02	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x27ae6b…
06-21 05:04:20	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xe29ce1…
06-21 04:25:46	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x8df1e2…
06-21 02:45:11	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb5aafe…
06-20 23:42:31	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	168	96¢	$161	0x4fd4b1…
06-20 23:42:23	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xfbc4cd…
06-20 07:56:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x1b9eb2…
06-20 06:51:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xbdf78e…
06-20 05:31:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xe2199d…
06-20 05:30:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x4a0a35…
06-20 05:11:26	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xde8784…
06-20 05:09:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x64666a…
06-20 04:53:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x02086b…
06-20 02:37:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x7f698a…
06-20 01:50:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xfd490e…
06-19 01:54:56	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x3c05f0…
06-18 15:57:11	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0xa4bafc…
06-16 15:10:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xae0795…
06-16 15:08:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7d62c3…
06-16 14:48:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x53a24d…
06-16 03:05:51	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x7264ed…
06-15 18:18:18	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8a9622…
06-15 12:09:12	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$165	0x6bbd23…