Vain-Burn 0x4e521c…2b44e7
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$311
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
334
Trades
808
lifetime
Volume
$56.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$2.98K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-18 08:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
44% 58% -$1,501
Politics
22% 59% -$537
Sports
22% 51% -$542
Crypto
11% 51% +$361
Tech
0% 50% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -639 -$606 96¢ $-615 -$9 07-04 07:45
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -400 -$394 99¢ $-397 -$3 07-04 07:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$190 99¢ $-198 -$8 07-04 07:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 -$191 98¢ $-195 -$4 07-04 07:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No -174 -$160 96¢ $-167 -$7 07-04 07:44
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -135 -$130 96¢ $-129 +$1 07-04 07:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -137 -$115 88¢ $-121 -$5 06-29 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $476 12¢ $115 -$361 08-13 05:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -112 -$105 98¢ $-110 -$5 06-14 06:59
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -111 -$101 95¢ $-106 -$4 07-04 07:45
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 92¢ $92 +$12 09-23 02:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -89 -$83 94¢ $-84 $0 07-04 07:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $61 82¢ $82 +$20 09-16 03:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +100 $71 80¢ $80 +$8 09-26 04:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -80 -$75 97¢ $-78 -$3 06-29 09:05
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $31 73¢ $73 +$42 07-26 02:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -171 -$67 36¢ $-62 +$5 07-04 07:45
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +500 $50 11¢ $53 +$3 07-14 00:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +50 $44 96¢ $48 +$4 10-03 17:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $44 92¢ $46 +$2 09-10 23:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +60 $47 64¢ $39 -$9 10-03 12:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +100 $30 27¢ $27 -$3 10-08 11:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -60 -$33 34¢ $-20 +$13 07-04 07:45
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +20 $15 94¢ $19 +$3 07-17 11:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +50 $19 34¢ $17 -$2 09-26 03:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +400 $16 4¢ $15 -$1 08-26 15:29