Vain-Burn 0x4e521c…2b44e7
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Realized P&L (24h)
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$344
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
0
810 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$56.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$2.97K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-28 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
44% 57% -$1,541
Politics
22% 59% -$530
Sports
22% 51% -$542
Crypto
11% 51% +$361
Tech
0% 50% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -639 -$606 98¢ $-626 -$20 07-04 07:45
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -400 -$394 99¢ $-397 -$3 07-04 07:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$190 99¢ $-198 -$8 07-04 07:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 -$191 98¢ $-196 -$4 07-04 07:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No -174 -$160 96¢ $-168 -$8 07-04 07:44
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -135 -$130 96¢ $-131 $0 07-04 07:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -137 -$115 92¢ $-125 -$10 06-29 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $476 12¢ $115 -$361 08-13 05:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -112 -$105 98¢ $-110 -$5 06-14 06:59
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -111 -$101 92¢ $-102 $0 07-04 07:45
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 92¢ $92 +$12 09-23 02:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -89 -$83 94¢ $-85 -$1 07-04 07:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $61 84¢ $84 +$24 09-16 03:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +100 $71 82¢ $82 +$11 09-26 04:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -171 -$67 46¢ $-80 -$13 07-04 07:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -80 -$75 97¢ $-78 -$3 06-29 09:05
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $31 74¢ $74 +$43 07-26 02:46
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +500 $50 11¢ $53 +$3 07-14 00:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$4 09-10 23:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +60 $47 70¢ $42 -$5 10-03 12:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +100 $30 26¢ $26 -$4 10-08 11:41
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +20 $15 89¢ $18 +$2 07-17 11:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -60 -$33 28¢ $-16 +$16 07-04 07:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +50 $19 29¢ $14 -$5 09-26 03:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +400 $16 2¢ $8 -$8 08-26 15:29