Realized P&L
-$305
Unrealized P&L
-$698
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
860
lifetime
Volume
$178.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$208
Open exposure
$1.66K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-20 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
61% 75% $-495
Politics
32% 100% +$190
Tech
7%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +616 $595 98¢ $605 +$10 07-20 00:05
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +451 $440 95¢ $429 $-12 07-14 12:06
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -261 $-235 94¢ $-247 $-12 06-04 02:21
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -225 $-192 93¢ $-209 $-17 06-04 02:23
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +91 $85 97¢ $88 +$4 07-12 04:05
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +68 $66 97¢ $66 $-1 07-15 12:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -52 $-8 28¢ $-14 $-6 06-04 02:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +774 $665 $1 $-665 06-10 00:09