Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$305

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

902

lifetime

Volume

$188.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 08-10 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

60% 75% $-495

Politics

33% 100% +$190

Tech

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	6	$2.7K	1,463	1,463	+0	open	—	05-28 08:05
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	4	$2.3K	967	1,435	-468	open	—	05-29 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	05-10 21:05
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$1.6K	846	846	+0	open	—	06-11 08:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	3	$1.6K	1,173	560	+613	open	—	07-06 12:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1.5K	837	836	+0	open	—	05-05 04:05
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-04 02:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.5K	818	818	+0	open	—	05-11 16:35
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	8	$1.4K	749	749	+0	open	—	04-28 10:35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$1.4K	786	687	+99	open	—	05-30 03:35
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	2	$1.4K	774	774	+0	open	—	03-31 10:25
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	4	$1.4K	707	707	+0	open	—	06-12 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$1.3K	732	732	+0	open	—	05-13 03:35
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	685	685	+0	open	—	04-21 22:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$1.3K	730	730	+0	open	—	05-29 21:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.3K	681	681	+0	open	—	04-27 21:35
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$1.2K	657	657	+0	open	—	04-28 07:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	7	$1.2K	951	466	+484	No	+$174	05-08 13:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	3	$1.2K	645	645	+0	open	—	04-08 05:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.2K	613	613	+0	open	—	04-03 05:00
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	open	—	04-22 06:35
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	6	$1.1K	593	593	+0	open	—	04-24 11:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	4	$1.1K	608	608	+0	open	—	04-28 02:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$1.1K	605	585	+20	open	—	04-27 12:35
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	4	$1.1K	569	569	+0	open	—	04-02 13:00
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	4	$1.1K	596	596	+0	open	—	04-18 15:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$1.1K	583	583	+0	No	+$83	05-03 01:35
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	04-03 16:30
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	6	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	04-14 02:00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	2	$1.0K	859	242	+617	open	—	06-02 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:05:42	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x76a3bb…
08-09 16:05:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	457	90¢	$411	0xb9ebd3…
08-09 14:35:07	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	127	97¢	$122	0x6033e7…
08-09 09:35:07	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	184	97¢	$178	0x31a136…
08-09 08:05:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	449	93¢	$417	0xaa9152…
08-09 08:05:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x553ac0…
08-09 06:35:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x8ed741…
08-09 06:05:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x224198…
08-08 08:05:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	456	91¢	$415	0xd59ca3…
08-08 04:05:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	456	91¢	$415	0xf2593a…
08-06 08:05:41	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	460	92¢	$423	0x5cb903…
08-05 16:05:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	77	93¢	$71	0x1d0963…
08-05 04:05:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	443	93¢	$412	0xc2c4ac…
08-05 00:05:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	432	93¢	$401	0x16fbcb…
08-04 04:05:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	447	95¢	$425	0x6914f9…
08-02 16:05:39	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	294	91¢	$268	0x576ecc…
08-02 04:05:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	109	96¢	$105	0xc586ab…
08-01 12:05:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	495	93¢	$461	0x41fa16…
08-01 08:05:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	485	95¢	$461	0x672348…
08-01 08:05:29	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	489	95¢	$464	0x2f0e0f…
08-01 04:05:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	327	84¢	$275	0xec9ecf…
08-01 04:05:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	224	86¢	$193	0x84ccdf…
08-01 04:05:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	495	93¢	$461	0x66a479…
07-30 16:05:51	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	360	84¢	$303	0xbe5f19…
07-28 21:35:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x7e9d94…
07-28 21:05:07	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xc2db15…
07-28 20:35:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	241	96¢	$232	0x00eb14…
07-28 19:05:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xe179ae…
07-28 18:35:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf83a65…
07-28 17:05:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x0a277e…
07-28 15:35:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6e3931…
07-28 12:05:08	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	267	97¢	$258	0x020e31…
07-28 11:35:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x0ab481…
07-28 11:05:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x5abbf8…
07-28 08:05:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x408921…
07-28 07:35:06	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x5d38f2…
07-28 04:05:06	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x915b75…
07-26 04:06:01	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	674	92¢	$618	0x87e2ed…
07-26 04:06:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0xa77b39…
07-25 08:06:31	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	425	90¢	$384	0x3c2cd6…
07-25 08:06:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	670	91¢	$610	0xd83bb8…
07-25 04:06:19	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	251	88¢	$221	0xb05e08…
07-20 00:05:49	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	616	97¢	$595	0x0038ac…
07-18 16:06:10	will spy reach 770 in july 2026	No	BUY	268	89¢	$238	0xe8bcbc…
07-18 08:06:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	383	84¢	$321	0x60863a…
07-17 16:06:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	37	90¢	$34	0xf05c50…
07-16 16:07:08	will russia capture toretske by july 31 2026	No	BUY	261	89¢	$231	0x224b5c…
07-16 16:07:08	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	184	87¢	$160	0x15f476…
07-16 16:07:07	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	BUY	214	86¢	$184	0x98aa96…
07-16 08:06:11	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	650	90¢	$585	0x7c60af…
07-16 08:06:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	667	92¢	$617	0xcae389…
07-16 08:06:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	555	90¢	$500	0x0eb835…
07-15 12:06:46	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x5ca2ff…
07-14 12:06:58	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	451	97¢	$440	0x4169cf…
07-12 16:05:52	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	537	93¢	$499	0x0accf9…
07-12 04:05:58	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	91	93¢	$85	0xb3f4fc…
07-12 00:06:14	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	No	BUY	672	95¢	$638	0xc933b8…
07-11 20:05:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	678	81¢	$552	0x9bdb1c…
07-11 16:05:55	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	248	89¢	$221	0xa097af…
07-11 00:06:02	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	666	98¢	$652	0x4ca165…
07-11 00:06:01	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	418	91¢	$382	0x878e7a…
07-11 00:06:01	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	BUY	626	93¢	$585	0x013beb…
07-08 16:05:25	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	436	95¢	$415	0xc2b5bc…
07-08 04:06:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0x2cb8fb…
07-06 12:05:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	613	96¢	$587	0xa74ae8…
07-05 20:05:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	275	86¢	$236	0xe13804…
07-05 08:05:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	345	86¢	$297	0x79ccc2…
07-03 16:05:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	514	85¢	$437	0xf47b54…
07-03 08:05:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x2f73ec…
07-03 06:05:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	560	97¢	$542	0x440e97…
07-03 04:05:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xc34d70…
07-02 16:05:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xfdd2c6…
07-02 08:05:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	BUY	653	94¢	$617	0x541853…
07-01 20:05:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	560	84¢	$470	0x2d2b7c…
07-01 08:05:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	636	95¢	$604	0xc9b45c…
07-01 08:05:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	326	95¢	$311	0x3e02f8…
07-01 04:05:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	664	91¢	$604	0xb9fb6d…
07-01 04:05:41	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	650	94¢	$611	0x6e9090…
07-01 04:05:40	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	196	82¢	$160	0xaca0b7…
07-01 04:05:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	659	93¢	$611	0x25282e…
06-30 16:05:55	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	461	80¢	$369	0x7a32c1…
06-30 12:05:53	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xa9ad80…
06-27 20:06:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	499	82¢	$409	0x887990…
06-27 17:05:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	305	97¢	$295	0x4661bd…
06-27 00:06:14	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	No	BUY	221	92¢	$203	0xc58d4c…
06-26 16:07:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	570	84¢	$479	0xbf55f0…
06-26 12:06:56	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	696	90¢	$627	0x1658cc…
06-26 08:08:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0xdd30e7…
06-26 00:07:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x1f0964…
06-25 16:06:28	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	641	94¢	$601	0xa1693b…
06-25 12:06:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	229	82¢	$188	0x7183be…
06-25 00:07:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	655	94¢	$615	0xbf32c9…
06-24 20:06:49	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd97db1…
06-24 20:06:49	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	383	93¢	$356	0xad21f1…
06-24 20:06:49	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	241	90¢	$217	0x4850f1…
06-24 20:06:47	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	211	85¢	$180	0x945a81…
06-13 04:09:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	105	88¢	$93	0xe0d703…
06-13 02:05:09	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xc0ecca…
06-12 16:07:54	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x43bb5a…
06-12 16:07:52	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	92¢	$68	0x93ff3f…