Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$305

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$152.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

$3.10K

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-10 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

62% 75% $-495

Politics

32% 100% +$190

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	+785	$730	88¢	$695	$-35	06-05 00:05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	+695	$660	96¢	$664	+$3	06-10 00:09
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	+774	$665	86¢	$661	$-4	06-10 00:09
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	+603	$548	92¢	$552	+$4	06-10 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	-261	$-235	94¢	$-244	$-9	06-04 02:21
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	-225	$-192	66¢	$-149	+$43	06-04 02:23
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	+131	$119	99¢	$129	+$10	06-09 04:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-52	$-8	18¢	$-9	$-1	06-04 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	6	$2.7K	1,463	1,463	+0	open	—	05-28 08:05
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	4	$2.3K	967	1,435	-468	open	—	05-29 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	05-10 21:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1.5K	837	836	+0	open	—	05-05 04:05
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-04 02:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.5K	818	818	+0	open	—	05-11 16:35
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	8	$1.4K	749	749	+0	open	—	04-28 10:35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$1.4K	786	687	+99	open	—	05-30 03:35
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	2	$1.4K	774	774	+0	open	—	03-31 10:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$1.3K	732	732	+0	open	—	05-13 03:35
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	685	685	+0	open	—	04-21 22:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$1.3K	730	730	+0	open	—	05-29 21:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.3K	681	681	+0	open	—	04-27 21:35
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$1.2K	657	657	+0	open	—	04-28 07:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	7	$1.2K	951	466	+484	No	+$174	05-08 13:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	3	$1.2K	645	645	+0	open	—	04-08 05:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.2K	613	613	+0	open	—	04-03 05:00
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	open	—	04-22 06:35
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	6	$1.1K	593	593	+0	open	—	04-24 11:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	4	$1.1K	608	608	+0	open	—	04-28 02:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$1.1K	605	585	+20	open	—	04-27 12:35
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	4	$1.1K	569	569	+0	open	—	04-02 13:00
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	4	$1.1K	596	596	+0	open	—	04-18 15:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$1.1K	583	583	+0	No	+$83	05-03 01:35
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	04-03 16:30
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	6	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	04-14 02:00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	2	$1.0K	859	242	+617	open	—	06-02 23:35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$1.0K	529	529	+0	open	—	05-28 23:35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	6	$972	518	511	+7	open	—	04-25 06:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	12	$958	525	494	+30	open	—	04-24 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:09:25	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	695	95¢	$660	0xd3d7b2…
06-10 00:09:24	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	699	95¢	$663	0xc06429…
06-10 00:09:24	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	603	91¢	$548	0xb5f55f…
06-10 00:09:24	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	774	86¢	$665	0x3e5427…
06-10 00:09:22	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	675	82¢	$553	0x6ffd78…
06-10 00:09:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	682	82¢	$559	0x48554a…
06-09 04:05:22	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x9f11d6…
06-08 20:05:27	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xb6e30e…
06-08 16:05:30	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	600	95¢	$570	0x22519e…
06-08 00:05:09	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x4fdf50…
06-07 23:35:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x965910…
06-07 23:05:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfeedb4…
06-07 22:35:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf5cb11…
06-06 16:05:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	733	96¢	$706	0xe11a60…
06-06 12:05:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	152	82¢	$124	0x7342cf…
06-06 08:05:31	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	128	83¢	$107	0x451f08…
06-05 00:05:31	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	785	93¢	$730	0x768d1f…
06-05 00:05:30	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	556	92¢	$512	0x7e46b5…
06-04 22:35:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	176	97¢	$171	0x090fd4…
06-04 21:35:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xfdda43…
06-04 20:05:36	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	53	91¢	$49	0x723aec…
06-04 16:05:30	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	553	93¢	$514	0x6dd86f…
06-04 12:05:49	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	800	95¢	$760	0xa42b74…
06-04 12:05:49	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	90¢	$105	0x118bc4…
06-04 02:23:55	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	84¢	$96	0xc634f7…
06-04 02:23:55	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	219	86¢	$189	0x84b2ba…
06-04 02:21:15	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	800	93¢	$741	0x1190b8…
06-04 02:21:13	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	87¢	$96	0x944731…
06-04 02:21:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x3bb2ce…
06-04 02:21:12	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	261	90¢	$235	0x15a62e…
06-04 00:05:31	will spy reach 765 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	388	93¢	$361	0x4a0e94…
06-03 16:05:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	779	94¢	$732	0xfccd36…
06-02 23:35:10	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	242	99¢	$239	0x5deb84…
06-02 00:05:53	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	626	92¢	$576	0xaf88f8…
06-01 16:06:02	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	245	84¢	$206	0xfc885b…
06-01 12:05:53	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	846	94¢	$795	0xb737f7…
06-01 12:05:53	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	859	91¢	$783	0x182e4b…
06-01 12:05:51	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	219	86¢	$187	0x1fa967…
06-01 08:05:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	855	92¢	$787	0x71ff04…
06-01 08:05:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	313	92¢	$288	0x5b1e7a…
06-01 00:06:31	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	219	87¢	$191	0xcf21bc…
05-31 08:06:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	680	84¢	$571	0x407590…
05-30 04:06:37	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	800	94¢	$752	0x00a54b…
05-30 03:35:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	687	100¢	$686	0x90de4d…
05-29 21:35:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	730	100¢	$726	0xd66393…
05-29 20:06:58	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x5135f3…
05-29 20:05:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	801	99¢	$790	0xa266a6…
05-29 19:35:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	294	100¢	$293	0x20203f…
05-29 19:35:10	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x1b374b…
05-29 19:05:15	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc228cf…
05-29 19:05:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x5efd84…
05-29 11:35:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x7126d9…
05-29 10:05:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0xa61d47…
05-29 09:05:14	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x3eeb13…
05-29 04:08:33	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	376	85¢	$320	0x68ff71…
05-29 02:05:09	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0xef903b…
05-29 01:54:14	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	410	93¢	$382	0xb1d9a3…
05-29 01:35:08	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	976	95¢	$924	0xbfa1d4…
05-29 00:07:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	786	94¢	$738	0xa338a1…
05-28 23:35:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	529	99¢	$523	0x5c988a…
05-28 20:07:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	255	88¢	$224	0x65840b…
05-28 18:35:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x92cca3…
05-28 17:35:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	365	96¢	$352	0xe7909d…
05-28 17:35:10	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in May?	No	SELL	294	99¢	$292	0xf7ffdd…
05-28 16:05:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x59e212…
05-28 12:09:17	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	BUY	485	94¢	$456	0x6c30b3…
05-28 09:05:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0xdcfa6a…
05-28 08:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	749	99¢	$744	0x6b3a36…
05-28 07:35:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb0b6e0…
05-28 06:35:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xb29601…
05-28 04:09:02	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	416	83¢	$345	0x9dc117…
05-28 04:09:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	375	83¢	$312	0xf5561b…
05-28 00:35:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	246	97¢	$237	0x3555c8…
05-27 18:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x66ba61…
05-27 16:35:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xfbade1…
05-27 16:07:20	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	782	95¢	$742	0x3cbae3…
05-27 16:05:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xb3e586…
05-27 14:35:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0xfde054…
05-26 00:08:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	749	97¢	$724	0x92791e…
05-25 16:09:04	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	BUY	162	92¢	$150	0xe53b2e…
05-25 08:35:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	171	96¢	$164	0xa3728b…
05-25 08:07:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	302	84¢	$253	0x132d71…
05-25 07:35:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x582352…
05-24 09:35:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	344	96¢	$331	0xb8b449…
05-24 00:06:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	334	85¢	$284	0x1c3949…
05-23 08:07:48	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x385070…
05-23 08:07:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	730	81¢	$591	0x315315…
05-22 20:06:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	424	93¢	$395	0x69b460…
05-22 20:06:45	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	528	88¢	$464	0x926960…
05-22 12:08:30	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	743	96¢	$713	0xb4e98a…
05-22 12:08:28	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	126	97¢	$123	0xc49d67…
05-22 12:08:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	529	94¢	$497	0x5b767f…
05-22 12:08:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd5571e…
05-22 12:08:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	714	83¢	$593	0x2c2745…
05-21 16:05:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	222	97¢	$216	0xb7fdac…
05-18 00:05:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x10e563…
05-17 13:05:12	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xeea37e…
05-14 08:07:03	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x5041b2…
05-13 04:06:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	222	85¢	$189	0x62d6b0…
05-13 04:06:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	123	82¢	$101	0x0cbaa2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	321	$1.24M	27,926	06-10 01:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	297	$529.2K	37,441	06-10 02:55
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	290	$19.0M	37,875	06-10 03:46
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	290	$541.3K	42,904	06-01 05:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	279	$33.0K	6,168	06-09 16:15
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	276	$84.9K	19,727	05-13 22:59
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	246	$178.5K	5,809	06-10 00:46
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	243	$96.0K	1,747	06-08 20:34