Another-Thermostat-Alloy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

118

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$40.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 09-07 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

51% 36% -$816

Other

44% 24% -$6,661

Tech

4% 0% -$1,629

Crypto

1% 0% -$318

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$3.0K	2,343	2,343	+0	No	+$1,455	06-20 03:29
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	7	$1.6K	5,976	0	+5,976	No	-$1,552	07-01 03:15
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	6	$1.5K	1,137	1,137	+0	No	+$816	07-15 04:12
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	7	$1.0K	686	686	+0	No	+$336	07-25 00:14
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	2	$751	2,275	0	+2,275	Yes	-$751	06-20 12:40
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	1	$748	1,530	0	+1,530	Yes	-$748	06-20 03:28
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	1	$747	1,875	0	+1,875	Yes	-$747	06-03 04:09
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?	1	$744	1,889	0	+1,889	Yes	-$744	06-23 04:01
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	1	$743	2,586	0	+2,586	Yes	-$743	06-27 02:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$733	4,605	0	+4,605	Yes	-$733	07-09 03:02
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	1	$731	5,769	0	+5,769	Yes	-$731	06-23 03:59
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?	1	$708	2,140	0	+2,140	No	+$1,432	06-15 05:14
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	11	$701	7,508	0	+7,508	Yes	-$701	06-03 09:11
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	1	$693	2,136	0	+2,136	No	-$693	06-12 04:42
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	24	$660	2,640	0	+2,640	Yes	-$660	07-08 07:51
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	18	$659	2,901	0	+2,901	Yes	-$659	06-14 05:37
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$655	3,009	0	+3,009	Yes	-$655	07-10 02:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$652	8,150	0	+8,150	Yes	-$652	07-11 03:14
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	9	$640	3,031	0	+3,031	Yes	-$640	07-07 06:09
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	1	$640	2,591	0	+2,591	Yes	-$640	07-14 02:29
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$635	3,627	0	+3,627	No	-$635	07-15 03:07
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$633	1,686	0	+1,686	Yes	-$633	06-18 02:05
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	1	$630	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$630	06-18 02:47
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	1	$616	3,098	0	+3,098	Yes	-$616	06-29 02:46
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?	2	$553	1,071	0	+1,071	Yes	-$553	07-04 15:25
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	5	$549	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$1,551	06-04 14:00
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	1	$517	2,616	0	+2,616	Yes	-$517	07-12 02:16
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$482	1,506	0	+1,506	Yes	-$482	08-22 00:57
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	1	$477	2,439	0	+2,439	No	+$1,961	06-05 03:31
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	1	$473	3,684	0	+3,684	Yes	-$473	08-20 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 03:14:49	Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	No	BUY	2,500	14¢	$350	0x3e7906…
09-07 03:11:46	Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	1,171	16¢	$190	0xba06df…
09-07 03:11:46	Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x9ddb0b…
09-06 04:09:13	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?	No	BUY	219	31¢	$68	0xff29a1…
09-06 04:08:43	Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	BUY	1,887	20¢	$373	0x0fbbb3…
09-05 05:35:03	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	BUY	232	22¢	$52	0xd57a64…
09-05 05:34:42	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,007	15¢	$147	0x692631…
09-02 13:29:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,044	45¢	$470	0x42b929…
09-02 13:28:37	Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	No	BUY	3,357	14¢	$470	0x2352e4…
09-02 13:27:31	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	407	18¢	$73	0x251a28…
09-02 13:27:09	Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	271	22¢	$60	0x64407c…
09-01 01:15:10	Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	689	28¢	$195	0x8ef1b6…
08-22 01:00:13	Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	No	BUY	833	38¢	$316	0x6a8761…
08-22 00:59:13	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	416	33¢	$137	0x587ae0…
08-22 00:57:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,506	32¢	$482	0xc2473d…
08-21 01:12:24	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	No	BUY	755	19¢	$143	0x1b29f4…
08-21 01:11:34	Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	No	BUY	260	27¢	$70	0xbd3d3a…
08-21 01:10:43	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	1,145	15¢	$177	0x7ef0da…
08-20 01:32:09	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	146	24¢	$35	0xf89835…
08-20 01:31:21	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	No	BUY	3,684	13¢	$473	0x423a9a…
08-09 02:49:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1,043	44¢	$459	0x1eeade…
08-09 02:48:40	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	583	39¢	$226	0xe82c2a…
08-09 02:47:24	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	214	18¢	$39	0x316ae3…
08-09 02:46:34	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	690	66¢	$454	0x966994…
08-07 01:51:51	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	Yes	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0x94c215…
08-05 18:31:44	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	2,222	20¢	$448	0xbdf91f…
08-05 18:30:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,597	28¢	$447	0xd95c4d…
07-25 02:26:51	Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	700	18¢	$123	0x84f5a7…
07-25 00:14:42	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	273	99¢	$272	0x5975b1…
07-23 01:34:03	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,221	12¢	$264	0x8aa184…
07-23 01:24:57	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	1,050	29¢	$301	0x316f0f…
07-23 01:23:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	361	28¢	$101	0xabc60f…
07-22 02:52:43	Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1,197	26¢	$316	0x827d2c…
07-22 02:48:34	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	426	30¢	$129	0xc06b49…
07-21 18:19:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x4b5355…
07-21 18:02:34	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0da0ac…
07-21 17:59:09	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc98c84…
07-21 17:52:12	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xd9ddb8…
07-21 16:30:10	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xd6b2d2…
07-20 03:05:33	Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	BUY	259	50¢	$130	0x1689e6…
07-20 03:04:30	Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?	No	BUY	2,841	11¢	$310	0x7ac86b…
07-20 03:03:33	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	748	37¢	$278	0x4e422c…
07-19 04:15:52	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	310	37¢	$116	0x3925d8…
07-19 04:13:18	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	BUY	195	14¢	$27	0xb7abc7…
07-17 19:58:18	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	BUY	2,563	13¢	$334	0x0197f0…
07-17 19:56:43	Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	No	BUY	568	25¢	$145	0xe2eeca…
07-16 16:22:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0x7c315d…
07-15 04:12:34	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xf03e34…
07-15 04:01:52	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x46e9e9…
07-15 03:35:23	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa1a635…
07-15 03:14:43	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x15cd0d…
07-15 03:10:22	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	SELL	760	100¢	$759	0xffa8ae…
07-15 03:08:19	Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	No	BUY	1,502	22¢	$325	0x521a3d…
07-15 03:07:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	3,627	18¢	$635	0xfda72c…
07-14 02:29:29	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	2,591	25¢	$640	0x1432d1…
07-14 02:27:44	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	381	34¢	$129	0x7bf591…
07-13 01:21:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	BUY	686	50¢	$346	0x35b2ba…
07-12 02:16:28	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	2,616	20¢	$517	0x55c68b…
07-11 03:20:47	Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	130	22¢	$29	0xe3caff…
07-11 03:14:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	8,150	8¢	$652	0xc771c8…
07-10 02:57:19	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	BUY	1,137	28¢	$320	0xe8386e…
07-10 02:48:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	1,400	22¢	$308	0xe71aae…
07-10 02:46:14	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?	No	BUY	538	47¢	$252	0x47fb70…
07-09 03:02:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	4,605	16¢	$733	0x81cd6c…
07-09 02:55:25	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	244	17¢	$41	0x189ad8…
07-09 02:53:37	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	BUY	455	40¢	$181	0xda9451…
07-09 02:52:26	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	BUY	2,325	13¢	$313	0xc64ea8…
07-09 02:50:55	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	No	BUY	680	30¢	$204	0x4dd1b1…
07-09 02:50:11	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	1,609	22¢	$347	0xcb26e7…
07-08 07:51:38	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x35d586…
07-08 07:41:40	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xd6e923…
07-08 07:22:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0xc2dd90…
07-08 07:15:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x9238d3…
07-08 07:10:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	204	25¢	$51	0x9ed4f9…
07-08 07:10:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x9dfb90…
07-08 07:10:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x7dac06…
07-08 07:10:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3ef9be…
07-08 07:10:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x3b24d0…
07-08 07:10:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x19ff04…
07-08 07:10:19	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	468	25¢	$117	0x6ee92d…
07-08 06:30:04	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xcbe4d1…
07-08 06:30:02	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0x923b9f…
07-08 06:30:01	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x5477ab…
07-08 06:29:59	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	165	25¢	$41	0x40ef55…
07-08 06:29:58	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	163	25¢	$41	0x4d9fec…
07-08 05:37:23	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	78	25¢	$19	0x34b2e5…
07-08 05:13:07	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc39015…
07-08 05:12:53	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	187	25¢	$47	0x698e23…
07-08 04:55:49	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	116	25¢	$29	0x48b7d8…
07-08 04:43:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x69893f…
07-08 03:04:34	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf6da63…
07-08 03:04:05	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb39df7…
07-08 03:03:31	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	442	25¢	$111	0xb1607d…
07-08 02:52:13	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	1,593	19¢	$302	0x27659e…
07-08 02:46:55	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	BUY	66	17¢	$11	0x749415…
07-07 06:09:56	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0xa84c6f…
07-07 05:38:43	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	499	21¢	$105	0x7f7218…
07-07 04:32:56	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	499	21¢	$105	0x1f8d36…
07-07 04:30:44	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	624	21¢	$131	0x8621dd…
07-07 04:29:40	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	535	21¢	$112	0x6fd863…