Tough-Investigator 0x6630c3…d42f4e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$223
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,416
lifetime
Volume
$289.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$204
Open exposure
$7.16K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 20:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
45% — —
Politics
43% 50% $-20
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,437 $1,389 97¢ $1.4K +$1 06-05 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,408 $1,021 90¢ $1.3K +$254 06-09 16:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,131 $-1,045 95¢ $-1077 $-32 06-06 08:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +1,106 $605 56¢ $614 +$8 06-09 20:09
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -600 $-594 100¢ $-598 $-4 06-05 18:32
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -500 $-490 98¢ $-491 $-1 06-06 05:36
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +464 $379 94¢ $434 +$55 06-09 16:23
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -300 $-296 98¢ $-295 +$0 06-08 08:58
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +298 $271 98¢ $291 +$20 06-03 04:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No -329 $-295 72¢ $-238 +$56 06-09 18:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -365 $-261 64¢ $-236 +$25 06-06 15:44
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +394 $118 28¢ $108 $-10 06-05 06:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -112 $-89 62¢ $-69 +$20 06-06 15:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -120 $-54 38¢ $-46 +$8 06-06 02:55
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-04 22:57
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +244 $179 0¢ $0 $-179 06-06 22:03