Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$639
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,431
lifetime
Volume
$548.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$225
Open exposure
$5.67K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 17:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
42% 50% $-20
Tech
8%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,744 $3,229 98¢ $3.7K +$458 07-18 20:18
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,131 $-1,045 97¢ $-1095 $-50 06-06 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +692 $224 46¢ $315 +$91 07-16 14:18
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +202 $177 90¢ $180 +$3 07-20 17:24
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +391 $117 30¢ $115 $-2 07-01 09:57
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$2 07-20 08:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -120 $-95 68¢ $-81 +$14 07-18 18:06
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +56 $54 98¢ $56 +$1 07-20 15:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -120 $-54 32¢ $-39 +$15 06-06 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -136 $-109 $-2 +$107 07-01 10:05