Tough-Investigator 0x6630c3…d42f4e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$1.39K
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,978
lifetime
Volume
$421.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$213
Open exposure
$18.8K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
44% 50% $-20
Other
44% — —
Tech
9% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -6,823 $-6,856 100¢ $-6816 +$39 06-30 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5,972 $-6,118 100¢ $-5945 +$173 06-26 13:22
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2,802 $2,640 99¢ $2.8K +$140 06-28 06:34
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,131 $-1,045 95¢ $-1078 $-33 06-06 08:55
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -600 $-594 100¢ $-599 $-5 06-05 18:32
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -500 $-490 100¢ $-500 $-10 06-06 05:36
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +4,207 $183 10¢ $408 +$225 06-22 00:28
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -300 $-296 100¢ $-299 $-4 06-08 08:58
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +198 $180 90¢ $179 $-1 06-24 10:27
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +394 $118 28¢ $108 $-10 06-05 06:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -112 $-89 59¢ $-66 +$23 06-06 15:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -120 $-54 41¢ $-49 +$5 06-06 02:55
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,357 $-783 0¢ $-6 +$777 06-27 11:56
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-04 22:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -3 $-69 34¢ $-1 +$68 06-30 17:20