Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$719
$2,216 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$5,982
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 00:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1 | $327 | $326 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | — | $53 | $53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $121 | $121 |
| Median | 2 | — | $38 | $38 |
| Below median | 5 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $137 | $137 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $93 | $93 |
| unranked | 6 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +145 | $137 | $137 | 3 | 05-09 12:51 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +90 | $86 | $86 | 3 | 05-11 00:35 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 12:51 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:37 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 00:35:03 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xc21c83… |
| 05-11 00:34:51 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xd2be36… |
| 05-10 22:37:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x324383… |
| 05-09 13:38:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 333 | 95¢ | $317 | 0x83460e… |
| 05-09 12:51:24 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x91cc96… |
| 05-09 12:51:24 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 36 | 95¢ | $34 | 0x1928fa… |
| 05-09 12:51:24 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x001c71… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x169fb1… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x583046… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0xb20c0c… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 73 | 95¢ | $69 | 0xd7a651… |
| 05-09 12:00:51 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0xf4234b… |
| 05-09 12:00:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x5d45fc… |
| 05-09 12:00:51 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x61322d… |
| 05-09 09:30:24 | Tired-Reset 0x7723…802e | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4c720c… |
| 05-09 09:29:51 | Brown-Bear 0xf66e…2196 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6269ff… |
| 05-09 09:29:51 | Milky-Bakeware 0x60b0…4568 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x70e344… |
| 05-09 09:29:49 | Inborn-Serval 0xb505…b066 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa4c93b… |
| 05-09 09:29:49 | Smug-Technology 0xc21c…c2ce | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6d7b1e… |
| 05-09 09:29:49 | Ringed-Parallelogram 0x8f6b…acc8 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x9b0b9d… |
| 05-09 09:29:49 | Plaintive-Stockings 0x3f42…8cbb | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe55dd9… |
| 05-09 09:29:48 | Bewitched-Activity 0xfa15…0f15 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb7285f… |
| 05-09 09:29:48 | Poor-Behaviour 0xc678…5d37 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x5b073d… |
| 05-09 09:29:46 | Hungry-Pizza 0x75d3…a63c | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x7d23d1… |
| 05-07 09:50:57 | Stiff-Motion 0x451e…514f | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc759cd… |