Bewitched-Activity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-03 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% 0% $-0

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:31
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-09 07:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 08:36
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 06:41
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-02 07:32
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 08:24
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 08:11
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 07:41
bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:51
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-27 06:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 08:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 06:42
will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 09:17
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 06:24
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 08:22
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:45
highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 neg 2corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 07:38
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:52
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 09:30
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 08:20
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:50
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 09:17
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-09 07:20
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 09:52
highest temperature in austin on march 30 2026 75forbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 07:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 02:30
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 08:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:03:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9b3a03…
07-03 07:49:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x584571…
07-02 08:20:43	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x909d96…
07-02 08:20:01	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3eda5a…
07-02 08:10:19	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50d2c1…
07-02 08:00:37	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f7f0a…
07-01 09:26:29	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ea27a…
07-01 09:17:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf25e4d…
06-30 03:29:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x642974…
06-30 03:28:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89657e…
06-30 03:12:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x831f26…
06-30 02:57:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac86b4…
06-27 09:00:56	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc066e8…
06-27 08:17:53	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9363e6…
06-26 04:12:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2983cc…
06-26 03:39:43	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb2e7f…
06-25 09:21:01	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8721e8…
06-25 09:02:49	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2cfcd5…
06-24 09:15:44	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9fc2b…
06-24 09:00:11	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3de19…
06-23 09:25:35	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x16969b…
06-23 08:57:22	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a6bd7…
06-22 04:43:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5deea…
06-22 04:42:05	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x22e6fd…
06-22 04:23:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54a75f…
06-22 04:19:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86cc86…
06-21 09:47:11	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3e585f…
06-21 09:29:35	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8e9f7…
06-18 08:36:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x059819…
06-18 08:23:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7962e…
06-17 01:51:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3fa380…
06-17 01:33:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31b40f…
06-16 08:51:13	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xab9b69…
06-16 08:35:13	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7c86a…
06-15 08:27:31	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62f659…
06-12 09:05:48	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x82b276…
06-12 08:44:09	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x97b928…
06-11 08:23:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc98a1a…
06-11 08:09:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f338f…
06-10 09:20:19	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x010f71…
06-10 09:19:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a098d…
06-10 08:59:34	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc4bcf1…
06-10 08:53:39	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4001f3…
06-09 08:51:40	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa09e30…
06-09 08:42:25	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8e4ef…
06-08 08:22:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x96e47d…
06-08 08:09:04	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb3bd72…
06-06 08:17:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd1e8d6…
06-06 08:00:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbca60b…
06-05 09:17:46	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x74a716…
06-05 08:55:55	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef2832…
06-04 09:40:18	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b8620…
06-04 09:38:58	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8ee4e6…
06-04 09:34:01	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x982600…
06-04 09:27:06	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8143aa…
06-03 01:49:22	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x670d27…
06-03 01:48:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x77550f…
06-03 01:23:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x823ac2…
06-03 01:18:00	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x282041…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc64e85…
06-02 09:23:54	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe92bf3…
06-01 09:17:00	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb9df27…
06-01 09:00:32	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb96810…
05-30 08:49:32	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e9e67…
05-30 08:32:31	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x554c36…
05-28 08:04:15	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6ebfd5…
05-28 07:52:55	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaaca1f…
05-25 08:44:16	Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd68efb…
05-25 08:21:22	Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79091d…
05-23 09:52:34	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x15aff1…
05-23 09:48:05	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02ac5a…
05-21 09:02:52	Citrea FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf744fc…
05-21 09:01:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5bb89a…
05-21 08:41:40	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x32df0f…
05-21 08:34:14	Citrea FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb5da9…
05-16 07:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9f34…
05-15 07:41:17	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4d67e0…
05-15 07:21:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48f36d…
05-14 08:17:41	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5d3e5…
05-14 07:53:50	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98e24f…
05-13 08:53:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0f9266…
05-13 08:17:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa930b…
05-11 07:30:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x509b1d…
05-11 07:29:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd1e56…
05-11 07:19:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbce1f2…
05-11 07:16:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ec9ae…
05-09 09:30:19	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6653ae…
05-09 09:16:05	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea77bc…
05-07 08:13:49	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x03f046…
05-07 07:51:45	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5bb97f…
04-30 06:09:42	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xccd5bc…
04-30 03:55:54	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb214bd…
04-29 07:19:42	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc77b95…
04-29 07:11:06	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e6656…
04-28 06:42:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x785d42…
04-28 06:41:26	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16dfd0…
04-28 06:34:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf093b2…
04-28 06:30:16	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b2145…
04-27 06:24:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd831a1…
04-27 06:23:10	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6a356c…