Bewitched-Activity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-23 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-0

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:31
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-09 07:20
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 08:36
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:03
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 02:10
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 06:41
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-02 07:32
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 08:24
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:38
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 08:11
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 07:41
bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:51
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-27 06:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 08:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 06:42
will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 09:17
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 06:24
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:45
highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 neg 2corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 07:38
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:52
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 09:30
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 08:20
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:50
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-09 07:20
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 09:52
highest temperature in austin on march 30 2026 75forbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 07:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 09:03:42	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc14aa8…
07-23 08:49:28	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb917da…
07-22 09:13:42	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd7bc51…
07-22 09:08:45	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9151a3…
07-21 06:33:21	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4ef1ae…
07-21 06:30:19	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78f74e…
07-20 08:26:54	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x01f21c…
07-20 08:10:42	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf87930…
07-18 09:09:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa9634a…
07-18 08:55:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d2799…
07-17 02:10:31	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8538a…
07-17 01:54:54	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2862cb…
07-17 01:49:57	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xadd289…
07-17 01:40:15	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf38162…
07-16 09:02:58	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9d9054…
07-16 08:39:20	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5899e6…
07-16 08:38:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe950d8…
07-16 08:30:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe32fbf…
07-13 08:44:31	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x484a15…
07-13 08:24:46	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0bdaf0…
07-11 04:38:29	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xadd289…
07-11 04:37:53	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02286d…
07-11 03:51:55	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13a3e7…
07-11 03:41:07	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x523225…
07-10 08:54:07	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x063b2e…
07-10 08:34:38	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x12aecd…
07-09 03:58:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1f162b…
07-09 03:32:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc63d5…
07-08 09:02:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdd932f…
07-08 08:41:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5358f6…
07-07 02:02:40	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x525ed2…
07-07 01:48:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ab965…
07-06 08:27:43	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9eb8a4…
07-06 08:27:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3eba20…
07-06 08:15:50	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7e3c0f…
07-06 08:00:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99a189…
07-03 08:03:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9b3a03…
07-03 07:49:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x584571…
07-02 08:20:43	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x909d96…
07-02 08:20:01	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3eda5a…
07-02 08:10:19	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50d2c1…
07-02 08:00:37	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f7f0a…
07-01 09:26:29	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ea27a…
07-01 09:17:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf25e4d…
06-30 03:29:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x642974…
06-30 03:28:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89657e…
06-30 03:12:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x831f26…
06-30 02:57:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac86b4…
06-27 09:00:56	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc066e8…
06-27 08:17:53	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9363e6…
06-26 04:12:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2983cc…
06-26 03:39:43	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb2e7f…
06-25 09:21:01	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8721e8…
06-25 09:02:49	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2cfcd5…
06-24 09:15:44	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9fc2b…
06-24 09:00:11	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3de19…
06-23 09:25:35	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x16969b…
06-23 08:57:22	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a6bd7…
06-22 04:43:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5deea…
06-22 04:42:05	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x22e6fd…
06-22 04:23:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54a75f…
06-22 04:19:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86cc86…
06-21 09:47:11	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3e585f…
06-21 09:29:35	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8e9f7…
06-18 08:36:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x059819…
06-18 08:23:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7962e…
06-17 01:51:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3fa380…
06-17 01:33:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31b40f…
06-16 08:51:13	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xab9b69…
06-16 08:35:13	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7c86a…
06-15 08:27:31	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62f659…
06-12 09:05:48	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x82b276…
06-12 08:44:09	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x97b928…
06-11 08:23:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc98a1a…
06-11 08:09:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f338f…
06-10 09:20:19	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x010f71…
06-10 09:19:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a098d…
06-10 08:59:34	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc4bcf1…
06-10 08:53:39	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4001f3…
06-09 08:51:40	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa09e30…
06-09 08:42:25	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8e4ef…
06-08 08:22:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x96e47d…
06-08 08:09:04	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb3bd72…
06-06 08:17:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd1e8d6…
06-06 08:00:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbca60b…
06-05 09:17:46	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x74a716…
06-05 08:55:55	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef2832…
06-04 09:40:18	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b8620…
06-04 09:38:58	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8ee4e6…
06-04 09:34:01	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x982600…
06-04 09:27:06	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8143aa…
06-03 01:49:22	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x670d27…
06-03 01:48:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x77550f…
06-03 01:23:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x823ac2…
06-03 01:18:00	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x282041…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc64e85…
06-02 09:23:54	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe92bf3…
06-01 09:17:00	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb9df27…
06-01 09:00:32	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb96810…
05-30 08:49:32	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e9e67…