Ringed-Parallelogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$298

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-23 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-0

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	03-31 09:09
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-04 04:38
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 07:13
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-17 02:09
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:22
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 08:36
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:04
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 08:52
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 07:37
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 08:16
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 06:41
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:38
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-01 02:11
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 07:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 07:35
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-09 08:51
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-27 06:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 06:42
will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 09:17
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 02:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 06:24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:37
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:52
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 09:17
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-22 08:53
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:04
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-06 06:55
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 09:04:27	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4af9c8…
07-23 08:52:00	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6069de…
07-22 08:53:27	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8fefc2…
07-22 08:49:01	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfd5967…
07-21 06:33:54	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6867df…
07-21 06:29:31	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0359a2…
07-20 08:26:55	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x02f643…
07-20 08:09:33	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe71e28…
07-18 09:09:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x039bef…
07-18 08:53:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x52b9c5…
07-17 02:10:33	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x48f7ff…
07-17 02:09:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x326a71…
07-17 01:49:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd95d8b…
07-17 01:40:18	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xacae69…
07-16 09:03:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bb932…
07-16 09:03:07	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd9d684…
07-16 08:38:14	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x241e9c…
07-16 08:30:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfaabda…
07-13 08:44:34	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8e5b97…
07-13 08:24:02	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb39988…
07-11 04:38:19	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x89c0f1…
07-11 04:37:46	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x782615…
07-11 03:51:56	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x654c40…
07-11 03:41:13	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3f779…
07-10 08:54:14	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9aa7fe…
07-10 08:34:50	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63f520…
07-09 03:58:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe9a025…
07-09 03:32:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5bac6…
07-08 09:02:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x369d59…
07-08 08:41:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85c15e…
07-07 02:03:50	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5df20…
07-07 01:48:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b2a04…
07-06 08:27:46	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe91c35…
07-06 08:26:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x209acd…
07-06 08:14:16	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x369069…
07-06 08:00:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xebd992…
07-03 08:03:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3a4c02…
07-03 07:49:16	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x38a339…
07-02 08:21:20	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7072d5…
07-02 08:21:04	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x067296…
07-02 08:10:25	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0979e9…
07-02 08:00:37	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfab752…
07-01 09:26:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x52832d…
07-01 09:17:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcdcb2b…
06-30 03:29:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf09aa…
06-30 03:28:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06e00c…
06-30 03:12:11	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x788a3b…
06-30 02:57:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7adde2…
06-27 09:00:59	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6f39a1…
06-27 08:18:14	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9f744…
06-26 04:12:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec155a…
06-26 03:39:55	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdf29bb…
06-25 09:21:01	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdfd3f8…
06-25 09:02:47	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80d794…
06-24 09:16:17	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79005f…
06-24 08:59:14	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ae936…
06-23 09:25:44	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf8675c…
06-23 08:57:26	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x309e64…
06-22 04:43:20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d70f3…
06-22 04:42:07	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07bf13…
06-22 04:24:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fe456…
06-22 04:19:26	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf6a22…
06-21 09:47:11	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x80ef16…
06-21 09:29:40	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb93017…
06-18 08:36:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7422a8…
06-18 08:23:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80b3d8…
06-17 01:51:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd7d20…
06-17 01:33:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b5b92…
06-16 08:51:24	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0b845e…
06-16 08:35:16	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x82bb28…
06-15 08:27:27	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x629f2f…
06-12 09:05:49	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x76416f…
06-12 08:44:34	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71ac36…
06-11 08:23:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd61591…
06-11 08:09:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb73209…
06-10 09:20:21	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd11a30…
06-10 09:19:34	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7f14e8…
06-10 08:59:43	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc49c10…
06-10 08:53:39	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73bdce…
06-09 08:51:10	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ba169…
06-09 08:42:31	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88dfda…
06-08 08:22:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8f6dcb…
06-08 08:09:09	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x032637…
06-06 08:17:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb0f6f4…
06-06 08:00:12	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x242b65…
06-05 09:17:46	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf2c617…
06-05 08:56:00	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x720b24…
06-04 09:40:21	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa4853d…
06-04 09:39:00	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x565e9b…
06-04 09:33:46	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa14d3f…
06-04 09:26:54	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1331de…
06-03 01:49:20	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4616b3…
06-03 01:48:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa7d3f7…
06-03 01:23:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75b476…
06-03 01:18:02	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14496e…
06-02 09:17:21	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x71a436…
06-02 09:13:07	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe63b43…
06-01 09:17:00	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x443f99…
06-01 09:01:07	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5280eb…
05-30 08:49:26	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x12c569…