Milky-Bakeware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-23 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-0

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:12
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 07:24
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:24
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-03 03:59
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-17 02:09
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 08:36
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:04
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 08:14
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 04:38
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-01 02:11
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 04:38
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 06:50
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-09 08:51
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-27 06:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 06:41
will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 09:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 06:24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:37
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:52
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 09:17
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:04
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-22 08:53
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 08:20
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 04:33
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:21
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 07:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 07:35
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 09:04:24	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd8756c…
07-23 08:47:07	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a4c36…
07-22 08:53:28	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1b4e51…
07-22 08:49:01	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb71540…
07-21 06:33:55	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e2660…
07-21 06:29:31	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0cb890…
07-20 08:27:01	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xda6c29…
07-20 08:09:55	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xff51d1…
07-18 09:09:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x52d57c…
07-18 08:53:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x532e71…
07-17 02:10:31	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a0952…
07-17 02:09:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdd59ec…
07-17 01:49:18	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c61e4…
07-17 01:40:19	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6b6d6…
07-16 09:03:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad5876…
07-16 09:03:02	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x393565…
07-16 08:36:17	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ef57a…
07-16 08:30:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84ba46…
07-13 08:44:29	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf290e7…
07-13 08:24:02	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbce92…
07-11 04:38:22	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0b5597…
07-11 04:37:49	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaf5cf1…
07-11 03:51:53	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x92e21a…
07-11 03:41:11	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf4c42…
07-10 08:53:25	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b97d7…
07-10 08:34:34	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x195d0d…
07-09 03:58:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf4fd2a…
07-09 03:32:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3d0db…
07-08 09:02:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2c47cc…
07-08 08:41:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x750a3e…
07-07 02:02:41	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36cddd…
07-07 01:48:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf32c64…
07-06 08:27:44	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb37173…
07-06 08:26:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4f386d…
07-06 08:14:17	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa289c8…
07-06 08:00:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x806842…
07-03 08:03:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf53664…
07-03 07:49:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe71d02…
07-02 08:21:05	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2fa126…
07-02 08:20:43	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x77d7d3…
07-02 08:10:22	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x006a41…
07-02 08:00:29	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x814383…
07-01 09:26:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88a8bf…
07-01 09:17:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x855020…
06-30 03:29:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62f5e8…
06-30 03:28:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x57f5f3…
06-30 03:12:02	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x979360…
06-30 02:58:05	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01c7ec…
06-27 09:00:59	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x435054…
06-27 08:18:14	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdbfed7…
06-26 04:12:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfa4d54…
06-26 03:39:53	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe35da8…
06-25 09:21:01	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x526817…
06-25 09:02:40	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf9ae7…
06-24 09:16:20	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x380934…
06-24 08:59:14	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe504ee…
06-23 09:25:40	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x728384…
06-23 08:57:28	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d9378…
06-22 04:43:19	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93ba52…
06-22 04:42:07	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x959881…
06-22 04:23:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f92b2…
06-22 04:19:17	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x55c447…
06-21 09:47:11	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x794488…
06-21 09:29:41	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6801f1…
06-18 08:36:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6cfa3a…
06-18 08:23:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84ec95…
06-17 01:51:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2d6e83…
06-17 01:33:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff7ee1…
06-16 08:51:18	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd8d252…
06-16 08:35:18	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4598cd…
06-15 08:27:31	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x298523…
06-12 09:05:51	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x342c18…
06-12 08:44:34	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x44bbd8…
06-11 08:24:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37a87c…
06-11 08:09:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb67b60…
06-10 09:20:24	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8fa4b4…
06-10 09:19:36	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x57889f…
06-10 08:59:36	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa38624…
06-10 08:53:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c90ff…
06-09 08:51:12	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89e667…
06-09 08:42:37	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60ca1a…
06-08 08:22:57	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe66993…
06-08 08:09:12	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4faeeb…
06-06 08:17:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x558b7b…
06-06 08:00:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe63e79…
06-05 09:17:46	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xadf756…
06-05 08:56:01	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe36a45…
06-04 09:40:21	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x84ec67…
06-04 09:38:58	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x066fcf…
06-04 09:33:55	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa43e6d…
06-04 09:26:54	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47bb97…
06-03 01:49:20	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x00ab91…
06-03 01:48:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x68000e…
06-03 01:23:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee9b87…
06-03 01:18:02	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed57b4…
06-02 09:17:19	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb1eb35…
06-02 09:13:05	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a8450…
06-01 09:16:59	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x057885…
06-01 09:00:32	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa2465c…
05-30 08:49:30	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfffb20…