Realized P&L
+$119
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
7,447
lifetime
Volume
$569.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$544
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 23:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75%
Other
15% 100% +$343
Sports
8% 0% $-68
Crypto
2% 26% $-156
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +472 $297 67¢ $318 +$21 06-29 23:14
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +967 $97 12¢ $111 +$14 06-29 03:01
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes +596 $64 11¢ $63 $-2 06-28 05:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -29 $-29 78¢ $-23 +$7 06-29 16:04
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? Yes -135 $-20 12¢ $-16 +$4 06-16 12:40
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -40 $-30 26¢ $-10 +$20 05-31 15:42
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +10 $3 33¢ $3 $-0 06-18 03:30