Realized P&L
+$119
Unrealized P&L
-$84
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
7,600
lifetime
Volume
$576.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$633
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
16% 100% +$343
Sports
8% 0% $-68
Crypto
2% 26% $-156
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +830 $496 50¢ $415 $-80 07-21 05:14
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +1,077 $107 $92 $-16 07-19 08:16
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes +654 $70 $46 $-25 07-13 18:20
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +40 $35 90¢ $36 +$1 07-03 06:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -29 $-29 68¢ $-20 +$10 06-29 16:04
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? Yes -135 $-20 12¢ $-16 +$4 06-16 12:40
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -40 $-30 20¢ $-8 +$23 05-31 15:42
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-07 18:23