Realized P&L
+$741
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
1,904
Trades
6,467
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$679
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-27 07:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Other
51% 47% +$493
Politics
33% 62% +$348
Sports
9% 53% -$80
Crypto
7% 76% -$58
Pop-Culture
0% 42% +$11
Tech
0% 67% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -391 -$306 81¢ $-316 -$10 08-15 16:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +143 $95 66¢ $95 $0 10-26 15:50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -391 -$85 19¢ $-75 +$10 08-16 14:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +57 $36 66¢ $38 +$2 10-14 15:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +76 $19 38¢ $29 +$10 10-21 14:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 $0 10-21 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $12 38¢ $17 +$5 10-21 14:16
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +39 $15 41¢ $16 +$1 10-23 14:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $12 60¢ $13 +$1 10-08 11:13
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +19 $4 64¢ $13 +$9 10-21 14:15
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +33 $13 36¢ $12 -$1 10-22 12:02
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +27 $9 32¢ $9 +$0 10-21 22:50
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +24 $7 32¢ $7 +$0 10-16 22:08
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 10-11 14:31
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 08-18 01:08
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $5 3¢ $3 -$2 10-22 15:23
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8 $3 36¢ $3 $0 10-22 12:02
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 10-21 23:05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 $0 10-27 04:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +35 $22 2¢ $1 -$22 10-25 18:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +15 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-25 19:13