Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$998

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

1,959

Trades

6,596

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$539

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-04 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Other

51% 47% +$625

Politics

33% 64% +$473

Sports

8% 53% -$80

Crypto

7% 76% -$58

Pop-Culture

0% 42% +$11

Tech

0% 67% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-391	-$306	82¢	$-321	-$15	08-15 16:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-391	-$85	18¢	$-71	+$14	08-16 14:35
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	+54	$31	95¢	$52	+$20	11-02 20:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	+31	$17	98¢	$30	+$13	11-04 00:26
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	+23	$13	99¢	$23	+$9	11-02 20:25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$17	98¢	$19	+$2	11-04 08:00
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	+15	-$3	99¢	$14	+$18	11-04 10:36
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-27 22:48
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+100	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	10-22 15:23
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	+14	$7	4¢	$1	-$7	11-04 00:24
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	+34	$21	1¢	$0	-$21	11-03 22:25
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	+29	$18	1¢	$0	-$18	11-03 17:22
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	+13	$9	1¢	$0	-$9	10-13 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$391	0	782	-782	open	—	08-16 14:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	9	$306	271	200	+70	Yes	+$25	11-04 01:02
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	30	$304	393	221	+172	No	-$58	08-12 07:40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$296	200	190	+9	No	+$82	10-25 23:52
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	23	$282	294	140	+154	Yes	-$99	08-19 02:05
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	41	$281	543	466	+77	No	-$61	08-25 23:32
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	16	$243	148	108	+40	Yes	+$13	08-12 00:26
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	11	$239	134	134	-0	Yes	+$5	06-07 21:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	2	$211	138	138	+0	No	-$1	08-18 14:56
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	5	$208	132	79	+53	No	+$1	08-18 22:21
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	37	$207	365	272	+93	Yes	-$14	08-05 03:55
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	8	$199	185	105	+81	No	+$7	08-19 00:33
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	29	$194	180	180	+0	Yes	-$26	08-12 04:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	13	$185	158	158	+0	Yes	+$8	10-27 07:52
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 17c	2	$176	120	120	+0	Yes	+$41	04-17 05:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	12	$173	216	216	+0	Yes	+$37	08-04 01:04
highest temperature in seattle on april 15 2026 48 49f	10	$168	117	117	+0	Yes	+$43	04-15 22:12
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	32	$160	160	0	+160	Yes	+$0	07-24 23:59
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	16	$157	244	77	+167	No	-$16	08-17 13:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$154	155	0	+155	No	+$0	06-03 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?	17	$150	80	80	+0	Yes	+$9	08-05 03:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	10	$150	95	95	+0	No	+$25	06-19 06:11
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	14	$132	197	131	+65	Yes	+$13	06-17 17:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$127	107	116	-9	No	+$4	05-29 18:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$121	246	246	+0	No	-$3	05-22 17:32
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 20c	2	$120	71	71	+0	No	-$21	04-18 04:08
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	15	$120	181	147	+34	No	+$37	11-03 13:17
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	7	$120	64	64	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 20:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	8	$119	200	200	+0	No	+$14	08-05 04:09
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	22	$119	133	0	+133	No	-$119	08-18 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:36:28	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xba83a0…
11-04 10:36:15	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x08e32f…
11-04 10:35:48	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdcda5c…
11-04 10:35:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7a081c…
11-04 08:00:24	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xf417c5…
11-04 06:33:28	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xa08eff…
11-04 04:00:19	Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x91198d…
11-04 04:00:19	Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x69d7dc…
11-04 04:00:19	Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x619950…
11-04 03:49:54	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xc77113…
11-04 02:35:40	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9b6bec…
11-04 02:35:40	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x6fe9bc…
11-04 02:35:40	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5ac162…
11-04 02:15:58	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x617c91…
11-04 02:14:51	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x688bd0…
11-04 02:13:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xb2099a…
11-04 01:54:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8fdbbc…
11-04 01:54:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8a4dfe…
11-04 01:54:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x680db8…
11-04 01:54:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x57eb50…
11-04 01:54:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x02f2c6…
11-04 01:54:42	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x760e8d…
11-04 01:41:48	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xfd317a…
11-04 01:41:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x85216f…
11-04 01:02:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1f689e…
11-04 00:59:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x95568f…
11-04 00:59:40	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xc0f314…
11-04 00:26:51	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x713eef…
11-04 00:26:28	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x8bd8d2…
11-04 00:26:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$6	0x166834…
11-04 00:26:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x7e9ae5…
11-04 00:24:46	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xaac527…
11-04 00:15:54	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8ca99c…
11-04 00:08:28	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7b484f…
11-04 00:08:28	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x50c43b…
11-03 23:16:12	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xe9833e…
11-03 23:16:12	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb3f649…
11-03 23:16:12	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2f515e…
11-03 23:16:10	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe18dd5…
11-03 23:13:55	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfad87b…
11-03 23:13:55	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd6469a…
11-03 23:13:54	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd4f4e0…
11-03 23:13:54	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9822bc…
11-03 23:13:54	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x54e251…
11-03 23:11:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x374bc1…
11-03 23:09:30	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xbb6c1b…
11-03 23:09:30	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8785d1…
11-03 23:09:30	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x1a9900…
11-03 23:09:15	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x2c472d…
11-03 23:09:12	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xb159bb…
11-03 22:56:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdb1472…
11-03 22:28:00	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x070060…
11-03 22:27:37	Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xae608c…
11-03 22:27:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$18	0xe74e4c…
11-03 22:25:52	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd51c98…
11-03 22:25:15	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xc556df…
11-03 22:25:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x6f4e9b…
11-03 22:24:37	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x6e5193…
11-03 18:34:00	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xff123d…
11-03 17:23:36	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x036c02…
11-03 17:22:25	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x53eac6…
11-03 17:22:22	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x3eefd0…
11-03 17:22:13	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x554917…
11-03 15:11:58	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x0ea1cf…
11-03 13:18:01	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x34d2e7…
11-03 13:17:34	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x6a85ef…
11-03 13:16:52	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0xda0316…
11-02 21:52:15	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xa3affb…
11-02 21:50:52	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x015a56…
11-02 21:49:04	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3431f9…
11-02 21:49:03	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xdd4045…
11-02 21:48:25	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x40d144…
11-02 20:51:48	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x30f431…
11-02 20:25:19	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x765bc1…
11-02 20:25:12	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x6569d6…
11-02 20:14:55	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x37330e…
11-02 20:14:28	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xb69c45…
11-02 20:11:16	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	54	58¢	$31	0x169239…
11-02 16:37:25	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x61e33f…
11-02 14:57:16	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x3b9d21…
11-02 14:57:03	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1f177b…
11-01 23:38:15	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x340ef9…
11-01 23:37:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xc6a5fc…
11-01 23:37:33	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xdbd979…
11-01 23:37:18	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x7634c5…
11-01 23:37:04	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0xe991b5…
11-01 23:36:51	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xc36f93…
11-01 13:30:00	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	36	76¢	$27	0xc249eb…
11-01 08:25:01	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x1eef03…
10-31 22:12:10	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	37	77¢	$28	0x7cf173…
10-31 19:09:15	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xb3972a…
10-31 19:08:43	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x99db53…
10-31 09:19:10	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$2	0xa2f1bd…
10-30 21:51:49	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x94ed80…
10-30 11:49:31	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa449c8…
10-30 11:49:25	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x7b0a27…
10-30 11:49:15	Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x166692…
10-30 11:48:45	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x28f94d…
10-30 11:48:31	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x382ac4…
10-30 11:48:15	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x017204…