Realized P&L (90d)
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved (90d)
352
Trades (90d)
1,374
6,385 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$8.40K
$32.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$819
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-03 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 247 days
Categories
Other
50% 47% +$493
Politics
33% 62% +$350
Sports
9% 53% -$80
Crypto
7% 76% -$58
Pop-Culture
0% 42% +$11
Tech
0% 67% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -391 -$306 82¢ $-320 -$14 08-15 16:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -391 -$85 18¢ $-71 +$14 08-16 14:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $50 74¢ $57 +$7 10-30 11:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +57 $36 74¢ $42 +$7 10-14 15:10
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +43 $33 86¢ $37 +$4 11-01 23:37
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +36 $25 78¢ $28 +$3 10-28 21:12
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +40 $24 70¢ $28 +$4 10-30 11:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +36 $20 70¢ $26 +$6 11-03 13:16
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +34 $7 64¢ $22 +$15 11-03 18:34
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +34 -$3 64¢ $22 +$25 11-03 13:17
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $17 70¢ $21 +$4 11-03 13:18
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +38 $18 50¢ $19 +$1 10-29 15:11
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +39 $15 47¢ $19 +$3 10-23 14:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +22 $18 82¢ $18 +$0 10-30 21:51
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +27 $9 55¢ $15 +$6 10-21 22:50
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +33 $13 42¢ $14 +$1 10-22 12:02
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +24 $7 55¢ $13 +$6 10-16 22:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +22 $13 57¢ $13 -$1 10-01 10:52
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +15 $1 80¢ $12 +$11 10-30 11:48
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +15 $9 56¢ $9 -$1 10-01 10:52
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +14 $5 42¢ $6 +$1 11-02 16:37
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +107 $2 3¢ $4 +$2 10-31 09:19
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-22 15:23
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? No +18 $2 10¢ $2 $0 11-03 15:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 $0 10-27 04:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +35 $22 0¢ $0 -$22 10-25 18:25