Ruddy-Raid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

21.8%

Resolved

295

Trades

637

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$86

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 36% -$57

Other

11% 57% -$21

Politics

1% 22% $0

Sports

1% 60% -$1

Tech

0% 30% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No		+70	$70	100¢	$70	+$0	10-26 13:32
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes		+19	$15	82¢	$16	+$1	10-01 12:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	-$1	05-05 13:37
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	-$1	05-08 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	-$2	05-07 10:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	-$1	05-09 13:56
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	4	$358	180	180	+0	No	$0	04-17 09:43
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	4	$358	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-26 14:12
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	10-26 13:31
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-22 16:23
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?	4	$187	94	94	+0	No	$0	06-15 06:40
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-28 12:08
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-30 07:09
will bnb reach 1100 in march	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-17 18:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-29 10:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-25 14:18
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-23 08:17
will bnb reach 1000 in march	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-19 17:15
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-18 10:17
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-21 10:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	04-30 13:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-29 14:14
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-16 14:23
will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	4	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 06:12
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-12 18:08
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-11 14:11
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-24 18:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-19 15:17
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	04-03 12:44
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-14 11:14
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-09 10:22
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-07 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:32:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x997a3f…
10-26 13:31:30	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x60dc91…
10-23 12:18:00	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x17085b…
10-23 12:16:36	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x30a175…
10-22 11:52:54	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x436dfb…
10-22 11:50:44	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfa129f…
10-21 13:55:59	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfbf1e8…
10-21 13:55:20	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xd8168a…
10-20 10:57:50	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xd3b5ea…
10-20 10:55:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x263665…
10-19 13:18:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xd0e68e…
10-19 13:16:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x6d5832…
10-16 11:29:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x701709…
10-16 11:28:27	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x223e01…
10-15 09:26:37	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x27bec2…
10-15 09:25:28	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xf5f8df…
10-14 10:06:05	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8f0a09…
10-14 10:04:38	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xf09c2f…
10-13 14:19:52	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xcf23e7…
10-13 14:17:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x25fc62…
10-12 14:17:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x91a1df…
10-12 14:15:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x938ba4…
10-09 15:09:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x3b6433…
10-09 15:09:03	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xb82643…
10-08 13:31:06	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0b43c7…
10-08 13:30:30	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x5279a0…
10-07 10:18:44	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x23afd5…
10-07 10:18:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x0165f7…
10-06 11:19:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x612930…
10-06 11:17:45	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x66a372…
10-05 14:18:16	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6482e9…
10-05 14:17:14	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x3002b6…
10-02 12:26:00	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x57a6a3…
10-02 12:25:35	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1ef096…
10-01 12:04:41	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x8e2e15…
10-01 12:03:14	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xed2894…
10-01 12:01:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xe99ed7…
09-30 10:28:47	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x05cd25…
09-30 10:27:17	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x439fb2…
09-29 11:54:06	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5dffcb…
09-29 11:51:47	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xd7c8f1…
09-28 15:02:47	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x0ea441…
09-28 15:00:03	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1af4be…
09-25 11:47:48	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x15fb18…
09-25 11:45:08	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x45c73a…
09-24 11:05:45	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xec14bd…
09-24 11:03:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x8ef054…
09-23 11:42:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa498c6…
09-23 11:41:49	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x4c1f83…
09-22 10:22:46	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb2ee95…
09-22 10:19:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x7f7993…
09-21 14:54:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6800ca…
09-19 08:09:58	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x6d07a2…
09-18 14:05:53	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x68a9dc…
09-18 14:04:23	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x9814a8…
09-17 12:14:37	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4d0c8c…
09-17 12:13:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$70	0xf4b38b…
09-16 11:45:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xf14d60…
09-16 11:42:46	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xc7d162…
09-15 12:51:45	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xde3fa1…
09-15 12:49:42	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x7061b4…
09-14 13:31:24	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x3a49f3…
09-14 13:29:51	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x2de5b2…
09-12 08:28:09	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x44314d…
09-12 08:25:33	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x5e66f5…
09-11 07:42:40	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x7da4f6…
09-11 07:41:37	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x966dfe…
09-10 08:55:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x24197d…
09-10 08:53:10	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc71ad6…
09-10 08:51:36	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x33e0d7…
09-10 08:51:24	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xac527a…
09-09 12:56:06	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x577c84…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x9ac084…
09-09 12:52:04	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x47a199…
09-09 12:51:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xec73ba…
09-09 12:51:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa7c823…
09-08 10:15:39	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb1734e…
09-08 10:12:03	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa1c0ef…
09-07 08:07:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x22fdf5…
09-07 08:04:55	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3dd4f4…
09-07 08:03:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0xc23d25…
09-07 08:03:07	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xa599bf…
09-05 00:40:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xd6a053…
09-05 00:15:09	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa513de…
09-03 15:42:22	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x9ab48c…
09-03 15:41:27	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1e9dbd…
09-03 15:41:00	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd53ad5…
09-03 15:38:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x6afc56…
09-02 15:08:57	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd49667…
09-02 15:07:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7f9926…
09-01 15:38:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x88287d…
09-01 15:36:49	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3816b8…
08-29 17:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcbb1ac…
08-29 17:51:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4cbe7b…
08-29 17:46:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe7ffaa…
08-29 17:46:33	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xeda0dc…
08-28 17:56:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0d2c9d…
08-28 17:53:28	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x80d5ba…
08-27 16:57:18	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x22bd54…
08-27 16:55:58	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8de06b…