Scaly-Spree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,532

lifetime

Volume

$7.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-26 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 53% +$1

Other

25% 43% $-13

Politics

8% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	+20	$13	56¢	$11	$-1	06-25 22:41
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+149	$10	6¢	$10	$-1	06-16 14:05
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$9	44¢	$9	+$0	06-25 20:25
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	+8	$4	54¢	$4	+$1	06-25 05:05
DAI depeg by December 31?	Yes	+40	$3	6¢	$2	$-0	06-06 00:02
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$7	7¢	$1	$-6	06-25 05:19
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+105	$4	1¢	$1	$-3	06-15 14:33
DAI depeg by December 31?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-06 00:02
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$1	6¢	$1	+$0	06-16 13:36
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$-0	06-19 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	6	$124	150	150	+0	open	—	06-24 09:14
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt1b	2	$110	64	64	+0	open	—	06-07 22:42
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$94	86	86	+0	open	—	06-17 15:56
will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	2	$93	56	56	+0	open	—	06-10 02:11
lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	3	$89	61	61	+0	open	—	06-07 06:54
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	06-19 01:02
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	6	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-08 06:51
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	23	$72	86	86	+0	open	—	06-23 17:17
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	5	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	06-24 13:06
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 09:38
israel closes its airspace by june 8	5	$63	69	46	+23	open	—	06-08 12:23
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	7	$63	63	63	+0	open	—	06-07 19:37
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	3	$59	56	56	+0	open	—	06-13 06:45
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	4	$58	60	60	+0	open	—	06-12 15:35
will trump say hell 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201999	3	$50	40	20	+20	open	—	06-05 21:02
will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	3	$49	42	42	+0	open	—	06-17 17:01
DAI depeg by December 31?	6	$47	80	39	+41	open	—	06-06 00:02
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	6	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	06-26 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	12	$46	107	0	+107	open	—	05-27 11:08
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	06-12 01:43
btc updown 5m 1775833800	16	$41	90	10	+80	open	—	04-10 15:14
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$39	47	47	+0	open	—	06-12 08:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	8	$36	39	36	+3	open	—	06-26 06:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	5	$35	237	126	+111	open	—	06-14 21:15
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	4	$35	72	72	+0	open	—	06-07 14:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	7	$35	48	48	+0	open	—	06-12 14:52
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	4	$33	34	34	+0	open	—	06-23 16:22
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	3	$33	40	20	+20	open	—	06-26 01:40
will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-05 18:53
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	6	$31	47	20	+27	open	—	06-25 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 06:13:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x3894c5…
06-26 05:53:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x332d27…
06-26 04:52:23	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0xaa4afb…
06-26 04:45:41	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xc180ab…
06-26 04:37:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x3cbd76…
06-26 04:36:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x801aad…
06-26 04:34:17	will adam novotny be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347248	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1be047…
06-26 04:11:14	will carson carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346478	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8cb03f…
06-26 03:37:32	will tommy bleyl be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347254	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7415bc…
06-26 02:12:11	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x94f000…
06-26 01:40:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb32cee…
06-26 01:40:50	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x9694f9…
06-26 01:40:47	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x4287e2…
06-26 00:07:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe28caa…
06-25 22:41:40	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0fe38d…
06-25 22:37:38	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x07503b…
06-25 21:33:20	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7506ab…
06-25 21:18:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcf8901…
06-25 20:50:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xfb16e7…
06-25 20:48:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xfcbb03…
06-25 20:45:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc87651…
06-25 20:26:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xce1434…
06-25 20:25:37	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb1994b…
06-25 19:09:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x5dc804…
06-25 19:07:55	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x8a929a…
06-25 17:40:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x8fc2c6…
06-25 16:46:26	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x1b377e…
06-25 14:03:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x89b2ef…
06-25 10:34:23	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xb6aa51…
06-25 07:46:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x50eb0a…
06-25 05:19:20	Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa0f667…
06-25 05:05:53	Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x0e65b8…
06-25 05:01:07	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x65c7df…
06-25 03:10:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0fedfc…
06-25 02:46:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x079de2…
06-25 02:45:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xef1158…
06-25 02:45:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x423ae0…
06-25 01:07:05	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x914f11…
06-24 21:20:50	will john williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x5d5891…
06-24 21:07:13	will john williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x9b4e3b…
06-24 18:55:50	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x96088c…
06-24 18:22:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xb47ecb…
06-24 17:31:47	will patrick vallance be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533223	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xdf2fe0…
06-24 17:15:47	will interactive brokers ibkr q2 net interest income be above 1b 20260618172832473	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x551ed3…
06-24 17:14:41	will interactive brokers ibkr q2 net interest income be above 1pt025b 20260618172832474	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd19eb9…
06-24 16:49:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0f803c…
06-24 16:43:50	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1200 20260623232159230	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6fe3d4…
06-24 16:43:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xea9782…
06-24 15:04:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x4fbcc3…
06-24 14:46:49	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xf208a8…
06-24 13:06:29	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0xd34c95…
06-24 12:44:04	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x949919…
06-24 12:37:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0x99f067…
06-24 12:33:01	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260623205144680	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x93de1e…
06-24 11:05:55	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x1f9fb1…
06-24 11:02:37	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe2bec8…
06-24 09:14:05	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x6eaffb…
06-24 08:59:02	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xf5547d…
06-24 08:43:52	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x690b5e…
06-24 07:47:01	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x297026…
06-24 06:41:05	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2be5e9…
06-24 06:27:50	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4f33b0…
06-24 06:17:46	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3428a2…
06-24 05:20:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6e6c90…
06-24 01:55:56	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x40c41a…
06-24 00:54:44	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x517e06…
06-24 00:51:55	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x4f3c6b…
06-23 21:39:13	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x185af6…
06-23 21:15:35	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x2bc516…
06-23 20:38:02	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7ea84b…
06-23 19:58:37	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x79e960…
06-23 17:17:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0x50ab32…
06-23 16:22:58	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x443cf6…
06-23 16:18:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xf5d37c…
06-23 16:18:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xdc64d4…
06-23 16:18:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5c8ba5…
06-23 16:11:40	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x3648eb…
06-23 15:14:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2b1f5c…
06-23 14:28:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xe67089…
06-23 14:09:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xb76b5d…
06-23 14:04:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9400b6…
06-23 14:04:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x51a38b…
06-23 14:04:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3917b0…
06-23 14:04:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x2fe3d2…
06-23 14:04:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xdde5bd…
06-23 14:04:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9c5b64…
06-23 13:44:44	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xe28caf…
06-23 13:32:28	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0xf50ff2…
06-23 13:28:11	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	16	41¢	$6	0x81aa30…
06-23 13:15:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0xf4d236…
06-23 13:14:44	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf44194…
06-23 13:14:43	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x43ac2d…
06-23 13:14:43	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x1898b9…
06-23 13:05:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf8a07c…
06-23 13:05:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf498cb…
06-23 13:05:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbf36f…
06-23 13:05:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x85d351…
06-23 13:05:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x81ed3a…
06-23 13:05:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfd4703…
06-23 13:05:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf9d8c2…