Scaly-Spree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$610

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

1,413

Trades

2,685

lifetime

Volume

$8.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-19 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 36% -$336

Other

29% 41% -$50

Politics

9% 42% -$86

Sports

6% 36% -$104

Tech

3% 27% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	6	$124	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 09:14
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt1b	2	$110	64	64	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 22:42
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$94	86	86	+0	Yes	-$18	06-17 15:56
will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	2	$93	56	56	+0	Yes	+$18	06-10 02:11
lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	3	$89	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 06:54
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	2	$89	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 01:02
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	6	$88	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 06:51
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	23	$72	86	86	+0	Yes	-$1	06-23 17:17
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	5	$71	60	60	+0	No	+$2	06-24 13:06
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$65	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 09:38
israel closes its airspace by june 8	5	$63	69	46	+23	No	-$2	06-08 12:23
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	7	$63	63	63	+0	No	-$7	06-07 19:37
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	3	$59	56	56	+0	No	+$7	06-13 06:45
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	5	$59	57	57	+0	No	+$17	07-18 00:47
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	4	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 15:35
Will NC State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	2	$55	31	31	+0	No	$0	09-19 02:06
will virginia have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050381	2	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	08-12 16:59
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	3	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	09-10 03:50
will trump say hell 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201999	3	$50	40	20	+20	Yes	-$15	06-05 21:02
will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	3	$49	42	42	+0	open	—	06-17 17:01
DAI depeg by December 31?	6	$47	80	39	+41	open	—	06-06 00:02
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	4	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	07-11 07:00
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	6	$47	60	60	+0	Up	$0	06-26 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	12	$46	107	0	+107	Down	-$46	05-27 11:08
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	08-06 13:34
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	4	$42	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 01:43
will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in september	2	$41	23	23	+0	No	+$0	08-27 01:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	16	$41	90	10	+80	Down	-$7	04-10 15:14
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$39	47	47	+0	No	+$1	06-12 08:22
todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-07 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 08:56:28	Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x1546ff…
09-19 02:06:10	Will NC State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x18ccb2…
09-16 10:44:07	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x499a50…
09-10 03:50:39	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x8a1b75…
09-10 03:50:30	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9434e9…
09-04 22:04:24	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xcf88e9…
08-27 01:21:00	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in september	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x3cdd99…
08-27 00:01:55	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in september	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0xaabd49…
08-26 23:28:27	over 2point25m committed to the multipli public sale	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x4762db…
08-26 14:16:30	over 2point25m committed to the multipli public sale	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x58a617…
08-26 13:23:42	Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa37e37…
08-24 22:45:55	Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x97cce2…
08-14 02:58:48	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260810094910133	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x5c8499…
08-13 07:51:19	will brad pitt be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf9706a…
08-12 20:58:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xfac05c…
08-12 18:31:16	will nc state have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194028305	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x495792…
08-12 18:06:12	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x00a8f3…
08-12 16:59:10	will virginia have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050381	Yes	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0xb06dc7…
08-12 16:58:36	will virginia have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050381	Yes	BUY	31	89¢	$27	0xe4266c…
08-12 16:01:51	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260810094910133	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x21b6c5…
08-12 15:14:36	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260810094910133	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb985d6…
08-12 14:29:55	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260810094910133	No	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x8e88e7…
08-12 14:28:57	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260810094910133	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xc235a0…
08-12 14:08:34	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260810094910133	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xa82d42…
08-12 09:20:36	will kai or speed be eliminated by falling 20260811184639830	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x55722b…
08-12 07:30:13	will kai or speed be eliminated by falling 20260811184639830	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb5e87f…
08-09 09:00:46	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260807161735360	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x9163a0…
08-09 07:52:01	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260807161735360	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xec352d…
08-09 07:52:00	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260807161735360	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x6f3996…
08-09 07:07:27	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	SELL	23	68¢	$16	0x847563…
08-09 07:07:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x5f5f94…
08-08 21:30:01	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2798f2…
08-08 21:09:39	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xaff772…
08-08 18:51:18	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9bf502…
08-08 18:51:10	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x29b0cf…
08-08 17:41:24	will brad pitt be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6b9caf…
08-08 14:46:15	will kai or speed be eliminated by a projectile 20260807142948633	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa3422b…
08-08 02:37:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x70e834…
08-08 02:37:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa6ef6c…
08-08 02:19:33	will kai or speed die to a skeleton 20260806175301185	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x76f54c…
08-08 01:57:42	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long 20260807064756490	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x1e6ca2…
08-08 01:56:49	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long 20260807064756490	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x74e863…
08-07 22:20:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x45d293…
08-07 22:20:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xdf0629…
08-07 21:29:54	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x63b5df…
08-07 21:20:09	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x236fe6…
08-07 17:09:15	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4c242d…
08-07 16:25:27	will rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x235f55…
08-07 16:24:31	will rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x87194c…
08-07 16:04:40	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbd18da…
08-07 15:34:12	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week 20260805171239500	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd78b2a…
08-07 15:33:19	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week 20260805171239500	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x38c032…
08-07 11:27:13	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week 20260805171239500	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xea43f3…
08-07 10:17:01	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week 20260805171239500	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xa4e642…
08-07 01:40:12	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	14	94¢	$14	0x9e4fa1…
08-07 01:39:36	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6fa41c…
08-06 13:34:33	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x8aa002…
08-06 11:06:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x89b74a…
08-06 09:52:14	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 6 million views this week 20260805171354221	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0b13ab…
08-06 07:41:00	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$2	0x21deaa…
08-06 05:30:08	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd46eb0…
08-06 02:56:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x202921…
08-05 17:45:42	will ice cream man score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175216574	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa22988…
07-22 13:39:07	will amzn dip to 232 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xaa8982…
07-18 00:47:52	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xe0c7f1…
07-15 16:20:07	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xb56899…
07-13 22:29:26	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 13 20260708001726329	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x333943…
07-13 06:22:49	Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xd50977…
07-11 13:35:28	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb88c50…
07-11 13:27:22	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x294547…
07-11 13:26:40	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	149	6¢	$9	0xa43d3e…
07-11 10:26:02	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x66e833…
07-11 09:53:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 13 20260708001726329	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd9da2e…
07-11 07:06:41	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5f112…
07-11 07:06:29	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x756412…
07-11 07:00:40	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x088241…
07-08 12:20:55	will any state enact a data center moratorium by december 31 20260707003733282	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6238c1…
07-07 10:25:35	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1200 20260623232159230	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xdea2c4…
06-26 06:13:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x3894c5…
06-26 05:53:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x332d27…
06-26 04:52:23	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0xaa4afb…
06-26 04:45:41	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xc180ab…
06-26 04:37:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x3cbd76…
06-26 04:36:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x801aad…
06-26 04:34:17	will adam novotny be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347248	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1be047…
06-26 04:11:14	will carson carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346478	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8cb03f…
06-26 03:37:32	will tommy bleyl be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347254	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7415bc…
06-26 02:12:11	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x94f000…
06-26 01:40:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb32cee…
06-26 01:40:50	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x9694f9…
06-26 01:40:47	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x4287e2…
06-26 00:07:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe28caa…
06-25 22:41:40	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0fe38d…
06-25 22:37:38	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x07503b…
06-25 21:33:20	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7506ab…
06-25 21:18:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcf8901…
06-25 20:50:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xfb16e7…
06-25 20:48:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xfcbb03…
06-25 20:45:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc87651…
06-25 20:26:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xce1434…