DAI depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$3,544
Trades
231
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$6,486
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-06 16:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.0¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $118
vs crowd: 18% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $213 | $289 | $76 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $50 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $28 | $14 | +$14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $146 | $294 | $148 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $30 | $89 | $59 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $36 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| Median | 4 | $10 | $99 | $90 |
| Below median | 7 | $24 | $77 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $48 | $12 | +$36 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $116 | — | +$116 |
| unranked | 6 | $151 | $277 | $126 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +823 | $674 | $1,960 | 79 | 08-06 16:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +249 | $15 | $15 | 7 | 06-06 00:02 |
| Electric-Interpretation 0x8f13…daae | Yes | +203 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-05 23:49 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +198 | $89 | $89 | 4 | 06-05 23:32 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +192 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-06 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +170 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 08-06 16:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +118 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-05 23:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +102 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 06-05 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +99 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 07-27 06:30 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +93 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 08-06 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +64 | $19 | $19 | 8 | 06-05 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +64 | $55 | $55 | 8 | 06-05 23:49 |
| Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $14 | 4 | 06-06 00:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 07-27 06:30 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-06 20:32 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 16:03 |
| Normal-Mariachi 0xbb75…f496 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 23:50 |
| Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 00:02 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-06 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f24…a4a4 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-05 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +3 | $0 | $25 | 14 | 06-28 14:47 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +1 | $-4 | $9 | 9 | 08-06 16:03 |
| Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | No | +1 | $1 | $34 | 2 | 06-06 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xad21d1… |
| 08-06 16:03:38 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 192 | 95¢ | $182 | 0xad21d1… |
| 08-06 16:03:38 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xad21d1… |
| 08-06 16:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xad21d1… |
| 08-06 16:03:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xad21d1… |
| 08-06 16:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xad21d1… |
| 08-05 09:11:50 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb2602f… |
| 08-05 09:11:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb2602f… |
| 08-01 04:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd17a75… |
| 08-01 04:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd17a75… |
| 07-27 06:41:28 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8df949… |
| 07-27 06:41:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8df949… |
| 07-27 06:38:40 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaafd69… |
| 07-27 06:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaafd69… |
| 07-27 06:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 99 | 94¢ | $92 | 0x09c2d1… |
| 07-27 06:30:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x09c2d1… |
| 07-27 06:30:28 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x09c2d1… |
| 07-27 06:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x09c2d1… |
| 07-04 20:59:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xef1f11… |
| 07-04 20:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xef1f11… |
| 06-28 14:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x207e02… |
| 06-28 14:47:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x207e02… |
| 06-28 14:40:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdd0caa… |
| 06-28 14:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdd0caa… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xddf9b3… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xddf9b3… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xddf9b3… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Ragged-Thief 0xdbac…87c5 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xddf9b3… |
| 06-06 09:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfdf540… |
| 06-06 09:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xfdf540… |
| 06-06 09:59:22 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0xfdf540… |
| 06-06 00:02:33 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x464963… |
| 06-06 00:02:33 | Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | No | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x464963… |
| 06-06 00:02:31 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9e45f4… |
| 06-06 00:02:31 | Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9e45f4… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | Yes | SELL | 240 | 9¢ | $23 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 130 | 14¢ | $18 | 0x919331… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Scaly-Spree 0xd35e…30a3 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x919331… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | No | SELL | 150 | 86¢ | $129 | 0x919331… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-06 00:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xca8606… |
| 06-05 23:56:25 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7ff07e… |
| 06-05 23:56:25 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x7ff07e… |
| 06-05 23:55:36 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x3a8ec2… |
| 06-05 23:55:36 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x3a8ec2… |
| 06-05 23:50:31 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xd40c4d… |
| 06-05 23:50:31 | Normal-Mariachi 0xbb75…f496 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd40c4d… |
| 06-05 23:50:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 19 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd40c4d… |
| 06-05 23:49:54 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe48603… |
| 06-05 23:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe48603… |
| 06-05 23:49:54 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xe48603… |
| 06-05 23:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 15¢ | $11 | 0xcb61a7… |
| 06-05 23:49:24 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 278 | 86¢ | $238 | 0xcb61a7… |
| 06-05 23:49:24 | Electric-Interpretation 0x8f13…daae | Yes | BUY | 203 | 14¢ | $28 | 0xcb61a7… |
| 06-05 23:46:37 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x9b5a97… |
| 06-05 23:46:37 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 13 | 82¢ | $11 | 0x9b5a97… |
| 06-05 23:45:25 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xe7b85d… |
| 06-05 23:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe7b85d… |
| 06-05 23:45:19 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x79153f… |
| 06-05 23:45:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x79153f… |
| 06-05 23:45:19 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x79153f… |
| 06-05 23:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb2fa39… |
| 06-05 23:45:09 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xb2fa39… |
| 06-05 23:41:18 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x961cb2… |
| 06-05 23:41:18 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x961cb2… |
| 06-05 23:41:18 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x961cb2… |
| 06-05 23:38:57 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x420e0b… |
| 06-05 23:38:57 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x420e0b… |
| 06-05 23:38:01 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0xa25ecc… |
| 06-05 23:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xa25ecc… |
| 06-05 23:35:00 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xb7a52f… |
| 06-05 23:35:00 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb7a52f… |
| 06-05 23:34:40 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x7fa431… |
| 06-05 23:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x7fa431… |
| 06-05 23:32:22 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe7756f… |
| 06-05 23:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x1f24…a4a4 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xe7756f… |
| 06-05 23:32:10 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | BUY | 83 | 54¢ | $45 | 0x4ecd10… |
| 06-05 23:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x4ecd10… |
| 06-05 23:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 46¢ | $34 | 0x4ecd10… |
| 06-05 23:31:51 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1f9745… |
| 06-05 23:31:51 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x1f9745… |
| 06-05 23:31:12 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 68 | 90¢ | $62 | 0xd3643a… |
| 06-05 23:31:12 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | No | BUY | 68 | 90¢ | $62 | 0xd3643a… |
| 06-05 23:31:04 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdad057… |
| 06-05 23:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xdad057… |
| 06-05 23:30:04 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | BUY | 75 | 52¢ | $39 | 0x14aee6… |
| 06-05 23:30:04 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 48¢ | $36 | 0x14aee6… |
| 06-05 23:29:51 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4c3a28… |
| 06-05 23:29:51 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4c3a28… |
| 06-05 23:29:10 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 75 | 91¢ | $68 | 0x88c05f… |
| 06-05 23:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…aed7 | No | BUY | 75 | 91¢ | $68 | 0x88c05f… |
| 06-05 23:28:49 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3fa403… |
| 06-05 23:28:49 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x3fa403… |
| 06-05 23:28:49 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x3fa403… |
| 06-05 23:28:22 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 30¢ | $16 | 0xc135c6… |