Arctic-Vanadyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$144

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

9,874

Trades

62,765

lifetime

Volume

$1.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$1.62K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

77% 47% +$5,823

Sports

20% 52% +$9,137

Politics

2% 67% +$1,626

Crypto

0% 47% -$472

Tech

0% 88% +$946

Pop-Culture

0% 43% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 439 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	+741	$645	98¢	$727	+$82	08-29 20:43
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+393	$283	76¢	$300	+$16	10-26 16:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,311	$249	22¢	$295	+$46	09-09 00:52
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+200	$190	99¢	$198	+$7	09-05 00:12
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+50	$45	98¢	$49	+$4	08-27 09:41
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+267	$34	12¢	$33	-$1	08-28 03:07
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+57	$12	24¢	$13	+$2	10-28 18:58
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+510	$22	2¢	$9	-$13	09-09 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fif nep hkg 2026 03 26 draw	74	$6.3K	4,378	4,393	-15	Yes	+$229	03-24 19:02
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	213	$6.0K	15,570	0	+15,570	Yes	-$5,962	06-11 12:08
itf munkham dahlin 2026 06 09	89	$4.3K	7,776	0	+7,776	cancelled	-$430	06-09 15:48
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	219	$3.7K	7,349	777	+6,572	Yes	+$169	06-29 23:24
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Karachi Kings	75	$3.5K	6,529	0	+6,529	Multan Sultans	+$541	04-19 13:09
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	48	$3.5K	7,929	0	+7,929	Golden State Valkyries	+$1,169	05-29 04:22
val fnc1 ulf 2026 04 01	98	$3.3K	5,531	0	+5,531	Fnatic	+$1,337	04-01 17:40
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes	72	$3.1K	8,019	0	+8,019	Fenerbahce	+$3,558	06-01 18:58
Spurs vs. Thunder	24	$3.1K	7,377	0	+7,377	Spurs	+$214	05-31 02:42
will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	203	$3.1K	10,225	0	+10,225	No	-$2,716	06-27 16:01
wnba gsv atl 2026 07 04 total 161pt5	15	$3.1K	5,083	3,519	+1,564	Over	+$22	07-04 19:05
crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	161	$2.9K	5,623	0	+5,623	Australia	-$88	06-14 13:37
will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	80	$2.8K	3,781	0	+3,781	No	+$691	06-17 19:11
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream	26	$2.8K	3,756	0	+3,756	Atlanta Dream	-$26	05-24 21:06
val fnc1 ulf 2026 04 01 game2	70	$2.7K	4,540	0	+4,540	ULF Esports	-$2,311	04-01 17:15
itf falei broadus 2026 06 14	149	$2.7K	6,194	0	+6,194	Savannah Broadus	-$716	06-14 11:36
val fnc1 ulf 2026 04 01 game1	76	$2.6K	4,579	0	+4,579	Fnatic	+$1,412	04-01 15:59
wnba conn tor 2026 06 10	55	$2.4K	6,656	0	+6,656	Toronto Tempo	-$796	06-11 01:51
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	61	$2.3K	5,386	0	+5,386	Yes	+$440	07-15 20:56
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova	37	$2.3K	3,048	0	+3,048	Varvara Panshina	+$686	06-02 04:56
itf mazdras eichens 2026 06 11	5	$2.3K	2,809	0	+2,809	Anas Mazdrashki	+$554	06-11 13:17
Celtics vs. 76ers	8	$2.2K	3,200	0	+3,200	Celtics	+$992	04-26 21:45
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	176	$2.2K	7,503	0	+7,503	No	-$1,925	05-30 16:29
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	33	$2.1K	6,015	0	+6,015	Raptors	-$196	05-02 02:28
wnba phx min 2026 07 13	31	$2.1K	3,780	0	+3,780	Minnesota Lynx	+$644	07-14 03:15
bkfibaqas new phi 2026 07 03	78	$2.1K	4,093	0	+4,093	New Zealand	+$168	07-03 09:47
crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 26	58	$2.1K	2,886	0	+2,886	Ireland	-$1,643	06-26 15:46
wnba phx ind 2026 06 24	64	$2.1K	4,960	0	+4,960	Phoenix Mercury	+$545	06-25 01:57
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	9	$2.0K	2,840	0	+2,840	Timberwolves	+$402	05-01 04:10
Qingdao Eagles vs. Shanxi Loongs	35	$2.0K	3,845	0	+3,845	Shanxi Loongs	+$200	04-29 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:08:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x736a65…
10-28 22:08:16	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x182ce0…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xf5bed3…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xebe103…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xac723e…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x9d0f7b…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x92d94e…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5a0021…
10-28 22:08:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0x1ed788…
10-28 22:07:37	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xb91d75…
10-28 22:07:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe62acd…
10-28 22:07:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xb3bb13…
10-28 22:07:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x104d51…
10-28 20:47:55	Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xc00ea5…
10-28 20:42:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x4f1e5a…
10-28 20:40:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xf4d132…
10-28 20:40:17	Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x95f066…
10-28 20:40:17	Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x3f96a1…
10-28 20:40:16	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xad3883…
10-28 20:40:16	Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x00b858…
10-28 20:36:37	Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xe96566…
10-28 20:15:22	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x052810…
10-28 20:14:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xb7a92b…
10-28 20:13:41	W50 Morelia: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Cadence Brace	Cadence Brace	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x6daee3…
10-28 20:13:35	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x5e8203…
10-28 20:13:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x6928f8…
10-28 20:12:43	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xf54285…
10-28 20:10:35	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x05d494…
10-28 20:10:35	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x009e2b…
10-28 20:10:28	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x72bb50…
10-28 20:10:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x8d1f05…
10-28 20:09:44	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x90babe…
10-28 20:09:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7a4fc4…
10-28 20:09:20	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x2cbfb4…
10-28 20:09:07	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd471c7…
10-28 20:08:26	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Learner Tien	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x9895bb…
10-28 20:07:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xfb3542…
10-28 20:07:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1786fb…
10-28 20:06:58	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x34ea7a…
10-28 20:06:08	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x2e05d9…
10-28 20:06:01	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x643ff6…
10-28 20:05:44	Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	34	78¢	$27	0x76aa09…
10-28 20:05:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x601db8…
10-28 20:05:23	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbddd7a…
10-28 20:05:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x89e304…
10-28 20:05:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x932752…
10-28 20:05:10	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xdfad64…
10-28 20:05:07	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb78e30…
10-28 20:04:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x938a98…
10-28 20:04:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x89457c…
10-28 20:03:59	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xc0f8de…
10-28 20:03:59	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x79f590…
10-28 20:03:59	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x5dfa0f…
10-28 20:02:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x239f60…
10-28 20:02:38	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x592274…
10-28 20:02:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x1a8a8b…
10-28 20:02:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x958729…
10-28 20:02:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0xb96fef…
10-28 20:02:29	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x740eb3…
10-28 19:59:43	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x6b6959…
10-28 19:59:28	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x02f41a…
10-28 19:59:20	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x4e2f92…
10-28 19:59:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc76d5f…
10-28 19:57:50	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x1fc178…
10-28 19:57:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe95e26…
10-28 19:57:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x38017e…
10-28 19:57:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xb503b5…
10-28 19:56:59	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x4caac6…
10-28 19:56:07	Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Learner Tien	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x0d6e56…
10-28 19:54:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x51648f…
10-28 19:54:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x907cb9…
10-28 19:54:05	Counter-Strike: Rush vs DFX Peek (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D	DFX Peek	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x2275c5…
10-28 19:53:56	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x4c3242…
10-28 19:53:40	Counter-Strike: Rush vs DFX Peek (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D	DFX Peek	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb9c0f1…
10-28 19:53:31	Counter-Strike: Rush vs DFX Peek (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D	DFX Peek	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf0c2d5…
10-28 19:52:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x276434…
10-28 19:51:58	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xefa9b7…
10-28 19:51:58	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0xa24ad9…
10-28 19:47:20	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0x0b18d0…
10-28 19:46:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xf6667f…
10-28 19:45:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x8685d8…
10-28 19:45:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xf6d621…
10-28 19:44:08	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x287d4c…
10-28 19:41:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x435efc…
10-28 19:37:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x5b867d…
10-28 19:36:46	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x6afcbc…
10-28 19:36:23	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x85f52a…
10-28 19:11:34	W50 Morelia: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Cadence Brace	Cadence Brace	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x80a7e6…
10-28 19:10:43	Counter-Strike: Winx vs X-CITY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	X-CITY	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x264354…
10-28 19:03:37	Counter-Strike: Winx vs X-CITY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	X-CITY	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd34f5a…
10-28 19:03:35	Counter-Strike: Winx vs X-CITY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	X-CITY	BUY	26	29¢	$7	0x91ff4b…
10-28 19:03:34	Counter-Strike: Winx vs X-CITY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	X-CITY	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x59368c…
10-28 19:00:14	Counter-Strike: Winx vs X-CITY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	X-CITY	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0xe83bcd…
10-28 18:58:28	Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	21¢	$7	0xebeae5…
10-28 18:51:59	Guayaquil: Daniel Galan vs Mateo Del Pino	Mateo Del Pino	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x674d88…
10-28 18:50:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xa68a64…
10-28 18:49:47	Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf271f9…
10-28 18:49:47	Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe76914…
10-28 18:49:47	Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb2be6a…
10-28 18:22:29	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd94d72…