Realized P&L
-$342
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
181
Trades
430
lifetime
Volume
$11.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$308
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-21 20:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
62% 24% +$237
Politics
35% 39% -$320
Sports
3% 5% -$259
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,898 $133 1¢ $147 +$14 07-12 03:48
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +179 $75 30¢ $54 -$21 08-05 16:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -38 -$16 92¢ $-35 -$19 05-06 20:43
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +41 $20 86¢ $35 +$15 05-29 18:34
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +112 $8 10¢ $11 +$3 08-19 22:43
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 62¢ $10 $0 06-02 21:07
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +138 $20 4¢ $5 -$15 07-15 19:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +4 $1 55¢ $2 +$1 05-06 20:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +20 $1 9¢ $2 +$1 05-06 20:49
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 27¢ $1 -$2 05-06 20:47
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 04-30 23:47
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +29 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 07-23 15:28
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +522 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-23 02:42
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +522 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 07-23 02:42
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? Yes +13 $1 3¢ $0 $0 10-16 19:39