Modest-Meantime 0xc3bfe4…33e70f
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$18.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.63K
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
1,689
Trades
39,198
lifetime
Volume
$985.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$36.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
71% 50% +$13,886
Sports
18% 63% +$6,018
Politics
9% 58% +$1,636
Crypto
2% 16% -$3,568
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,068 $13,017 87¢ $13.1K +$99 10-20 19:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,000 $4,720 95¢ $4.8K +$32 09-06 08:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,001 -$2,431 82¢ $-2446 -$15 06-12 18:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,935 $2,421 16¢ $2.2K -$177 10-20 07:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -3,582 -$2,050 55¢ $-1952 +$98 05-04 21:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,800 $1,947 39¢ $1.5K -$478 10-25 15:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,397 $1,387 15¢ $1.3K -$89 10-12 00:32
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +7,184 $849 18¢ $1.3K +$408 10-14 19:18
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +1,343 $1,092 88¢ $1.2K +$84 10-17 17:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,160 -$446 17¢ $-701 -$255 10-25 08:29
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -3,715 -$1,155 18¢ $-687 +$468 06-14 22:45
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12,061 -$636 5¢ $-621 +$15 10-15 18:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +603 $554 94¢ $567 +$13 09-08 23:19
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +58,482 $178 1¢ $497 +$319 10-25 19:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,316 $382 17¢ $399 +$17 10-27 11:27
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +17,396 $208 2¢ $357 +$149 10-27 06:11
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $85 2¢ $340 +$255 10-15 16:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$395 6¢ $-302 +$92 09-07 14:13
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +300 $270 96¢ $286 +$16 07-06 11:09
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $160 12¢ $230 +$70 09-13 17:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$231 25¢ $-203 +$28 10-28 17:35
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,603 -$144 4¢ $-199 -$55 09-06 17:06
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,000 $100 2¢ $185 +$85 09-19 06:42
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -7,412 -$243 2¢ $-182 +$61 05-01 10:25
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $78 6¢ $181 +$104 10-08 09:58
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $163 6¢ $178 +$16 09-18 01:02
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,300 $182 14¢ $175 -$6 10-24 11:39
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,299 -$146 1¢ $-171 -$26 09-12 05:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +201 $147 75¢ $150 +$3 10-28 17:44
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -3,649 -$1,449 4¢ $-146 +$1,303 10-23 22:06