Modest-Meantime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

14,700

lifetime

Volume

$210.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-06 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

40% 20% +$1,170

Other

35% 50% +$6

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 3pt5	88	$11.9K	10,000	9,985	+15	open	—	04-15 05:21
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	99	$11.6K	15,178	15,762	-584	open	—	01-27 17:47
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	90	$10.9K	20,958	22,588	-1,629	open	—	03-24 12:34
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	01-04 08:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	172	$9.6K	59,640	53,643	+5,997	open	—	03-29 18:48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	34	$7.7K	6,225	6,211	+14	open	—	03-31 12:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	76	$7.0K	10,056	11,056	-1,000	open	—	03-26 17:47
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	962	$4.9K	69,086	66,081	+3,005	No	+$1,228	03-18 16:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	21	$4.3K	5,223	3,700	+1,523	open	—	03-10 13:57
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	2	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-20 17:02
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	215	$4.0K	140,890	145,120	-4,230	open	—	02-27 11:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	21	$3.7K	2,716	5,223	-2,507	open	—	03-11 06:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$3.7K	2,680	2,680	+0	open	—	02-22 00:42
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	15	$3.5K	25,125	25,125	+0	open	—	03-18 16:36
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1,776	$3.3K	93,029	90,778	+2,251	open	—	03-12 01:15
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1,642	$3.3K	63,323	67,472	-4,150	open	—	03-12 01:18
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	64	$3.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	$-50	02-27 11:56
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-18 11:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$3.0K	10,020	8,020	+2,000	open	—	03-25 17:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	22	$2.7K	4,565	2,257	+2,308	open	—	03-07 07:37
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	471	$2.7K	24,991	24,736	+255	open	—	01-30 18:03
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	27	$2.5K	1,999	1,999	+0	open	—	07-02 18:36
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	33	$2.4K	9,409	9,890	-481	open	—	01-16 14:28
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$2.4K	3,566	0	+3,566	open	—	02-07 17:43
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	90	$2.1K	10,570	11,090	-520	open	—	01-21 16:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$2.1K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	03-31 12:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-23 16:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	15	$1.8K	1,224	1,224	+0	open	—	03-26 18:14
si settle 77 5 80 jan 2026	16	$1.8K	5,041	5,041	+0	open	—	01-30 18:24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$1.7K	1,500	2,000	-500	open	—	03-20 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 21:03:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x46d93c…
08-05 12:11:02	clf cfc juv 2026 08 05 btts	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xfcd814…
08-05 12:11:02	clf cfc juv 2026 08 05 btts	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x33bdcb…
08-05 12:10:45	clf cfc juv 2026 08 05 btts	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd23a80…
08-05 12:10:42	clf cfc juv 2026 08 05 btts	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc38907…
08-05 12:10:41	clf cfc juv 2026 08 05 btts	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1a1599…
08-04 13:24:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	74	72¢	$53	0x598bc7…
08-04 13:23:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	71	72¢	$51	0xdfeddf…
08-04 13:23:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x215d03…
08-04 13:23:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xa89709…
08-04 13:23:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x3e6416…
08-04 13:23:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	27	72¢	$20	0x9ce00c…
08-04 13:04:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0x0aedd8…
08-04 13:02:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xa4cefd…
08-04 11:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x741ed6…
08-03 09:22:08	wta kawa fruhvir 2026 08 03	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2b9d95…
07-29 10:29:03	atp kicker sil 2026 07 29	Nicolas Kicker	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x39d2c8…
07-28 18:41:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x34e3bd…
07-27 17:18:24	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x8825a4…
07-27 17:13:00	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xc882d6…
07-27 17:07:52	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x7a309f…
07-27 17:07:42	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	SELL	63	31¢	$19	0x6b401e…
07-27 17:04:00	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xe63ff3…
07-27 17:04:00	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xdf5583…
07-27 17:04:00	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x4ccba8…
07-27 17:04:00	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x0d15aa…
07-27 17:03:58	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xb07cf7…
07-27 17:03:58	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x855cc0…
07-27 17:03:58	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x08a19d…
07-27 17:03:57	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb72a90…
07-27 17:03:57	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x9390fb…
07-27 17:03:57	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x6c093d…
07-27 17:03:00	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x40b6fe…
07-27 17:00:54	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x8128cb…
07-27 16:31:54	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x6e4bd9…
07-27 16:13:57	will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x477581…
07-27 16:13:48	will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x0b87f0…
07-27 16:12:48	will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	No	BUY	84	21¢	$18	0x30d4e6…
07-27 16:11:36	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x21a15c…
07-27 15:57:25	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xad95f1…
07-27 15:57:01	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xa56149…
07-27 15:57:01	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x12b847…
07-27 15:49:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xfd45f2…
07-26 18:29:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb345ea…
07-21 11:21:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xdbb2b4…
07-21 09:52:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x35a9f7…
07-21 09:31:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79e2a2…
07-21 09:31:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3a1739…
07-21 09:31:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbdccd5…
07-21 09:31:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x211322…
07-21 09:31:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x007768…
07-21 09:31:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xd63bf5…
07-21 08:46:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x05977b…
07-21 08:45:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0d2532…
07-21 08:27:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcf7e22…
07-21 08:27:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c76cf…
07-21 08:27:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7418a2…
07-21 08:06:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	330	2¢	$6	0x271323…
07-21 08:05:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x2e0925…
07-21 08:05:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd6eb31…
07-21 08:04:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x5961fd…
07-21 08:04:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe95a3a…
07-21 08:00:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x8f7077…
07-21 08:00:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb663fe…
07-21 08:00:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x36d591…
07-21 08:00:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaeef3d…
07-21 08:00:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9d9e28…
07-21 07:59:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe5e423…
07-21 07:59:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x667e14…
07-21 07:59:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4ce82e…
07-21 07:58:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb9f830…
07-21 07:58:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7968de…
07-21 07:29:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0x6e6e72…
07-21 03:52:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x1636d3…
07-20 15:35:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xb5f0d9…
07-20 15:06:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xaf50fe…
07-19 23:38:06	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x4b6ec1…
07-19 22:46:13	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x234042…
07-19 21:21:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf84e84…
07-19 19:41:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0xc69adb…
07-19 14:03:43	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	46	66¢	$31	0x011c7c…
07-19 13:16:04	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xade14f…
07-19 13:10:13	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x895a92…
07-19 12:58:03	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	138	66¢	$91	0xaedd6d…
07-19 11:56:22	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xeb5cad…
07-18 19:36:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x0a0c02…
07-17 22:55:57	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x79c03d…
07-17 16:59:43	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x594782…
07-17 16:50:16	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	99	59¢	$58	0x21dcaa…
07-17 15:51:48	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x7d4c1a…
07-17 15:16:34	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x113478…
07-14 14:52:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x0a1158…
07-13 17:43:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	1,000	19¢	$192	0xe7aae9…
07-13 13:03:47	will fut esports win more than 3pt5 games in vct 2026 emea stage 2 20260710204142752	U 3.5	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xad8aa5…
07-13 13:03:38	will fut esports win more than 3pt5 games in vct 2026 emea stage 2 20260710204142752	U 3.5	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xcbdab5…
07-13 12:59:49	will team heretics win more than 3pt5 games in vct 2026 emea stage 2 20260710204142758	O 3.5	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x67c4a2…
07-13 12:59:32	will team heretics win more than 3pt5 games in vct 2026 emea stage 2 20260710204142758	O 3.5	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa9191d…
07-10 12:45:40	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xbe7166…
07-10 12:40:22	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0xd637b4…
07-07 17:49:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x809996…