Realized P&L
+$89.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.70K
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
767
Trades
31,874
lifetime
Volume
$4.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$216.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Sports
36% 41% +$63,454
Crypto
31% 38% +$65,423
Other
24% 45% +$588
Politics
9% 30% -$39,784
Tech
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 2132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +52,809 $50,199 97¢ $51.4K +$1,237 09-08 07:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +27,075 $10,910 62¢ $16.9K +$6,012 09-19 15:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,256 $13,105 87¢ $13.3K +$168 10-06 19:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,925 $11,959 82¢ $13.0K +$1,035 09-06 06:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12,005 $11,765 99¢ $11.9K +$162 10-08 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +115,927 $19,008 8¢ $9.9K -$9,155 10-13 00:25
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +169,146 $18,347 6¢ $9.3K -$9,044 10-04 13:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19,052 $6,757 44¢ $8.3K +$1,569 10-27 12:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +8,904 $8,058 90¢ $8.1K +$0 09-08 12:20
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +7,249 $6,093 94¢ $6.9K +$758 09-11 14:12
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,027 $5,894 99¢ $6.0K +$66 09-10 17:59
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +53,054 $5,836 11¢ $5.6K -$265 09-11 17:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,484 $5,379 99¢ $5.4K +$69 10-06 19:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,000 $4,820 96¢ $4.8K -$22 09-06 04:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +51,907 $4,573 8¢ $4.4K -$161 10-27 20:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,110 -$13,330 92¢ $-3802 +$9,528 10-08 04:29
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +210,559 $1,178 2¢ $3.7K +$2,507 08-17 15:36
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +103,909 $6,586 3¢ $3.4K -$3,209 09-30 12:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +19,227 $5,194 16¢ $3.2K -$2,022 10-04 12:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3,479 $2,960 91¢ $3.2K +$190 09-05 16:43
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +111,192 $3,873 3¢ $2.9K -$927 10-14 17:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,770 $4,684 16¢ $2.9K -$1,752 10-26 07:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +19,212 $3,458 14¢ $2.6K -$865 10-18 09:07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +85,279 $2,170 3¢ $2.6K +$388 09-06 16:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,060 $2,374 50¢ $2.5K +$138 10-27 20:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +98,466 $1,807 2¢ $2.4K +$606 09-10 19:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,890 -$2,208 32¢ $2.2K +$4,447 10-27 20:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98,147 $1,878 2¢ $2.2K +$330 10-20 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,008 $129 44¢ $2.2K +$2,050 09-10 22:38
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +572,338 $1,145 0¢ $2.0K +$859 07-27 05:01