Realized P&L
+$89.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.10K
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
768
Trades
31,999
lifetime
Volume
$4.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$218.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 10:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Sports
36% 41% +$63,454
Crypto
31% 38% +$65,423
Other
24% 45% +$676
Politics
9% 30% -$39,784
Tech
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 2132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +52,809 $50,199 97¢ $51.3K +$1,132 09-08 07:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +27,075 $10,910 64¢ $17.5K +$6,554 09-19 15:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,256 $13,105 87¢ $13.3K +$175 10-06 19:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,925 $11,959 82¢ $13.0K +$1,075 09-06 06:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12,005 $11,765 99¢ $11.9K +$162 10-08 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +169,146 $18,347 6¢ $9.3K -$9,044 10-04 13:49
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +115,927 $19,008 8¢ $8.7K -$10,314 10-13 00:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19,052 $6,757 43¢ $8.2K +$1,445 10-27 12:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +8,904 $8,058 92¢ $8.2K +$134 09-08 12:20
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +7,249 $6,093 94¢ $6.9K +$758 09-11 14:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +14,107 -$510 44¢ $6.3K +$6,788 10-28 00:32
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,027 $5,894 99¢ $6.0K +$87 09-10 17:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,484 $5,379 99¢ $5.5K +$75 10-06 19:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +53,054 $5,836 10¢ $5.0K -$796 09-11 17:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,000 $4,820 96¢ $4.8K -$32 09-06 04:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,110 -$13,330 94¢ $-3843 +$9,487 10-08 04:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +14,107 $5,676 26¢ $3.6K -$2,029 10-28 01:03
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +210,559 $1,178 2¢ $3.6K +$2,402 08-17 15:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +19,227 $5,194 16¢ $3.2K -$2,022 10-04 12:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3,479 $2,960 91¢ $3.2K +$190 09-05 16:43
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +103,909 $6,586 3¢ $3.1K -$3,521 09-30 12:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +19,212 $3,458 16¢ $3.0K -$480 10-18 09:07
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +111,192 $3,873 3¢ $2.9K -$927 10-14 17:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,770 $4,684 16¢ $2.9K -$1,752 10-26 07:01
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +85,279 $2,170 3¢ $2.6K +$388 09-06 16:56
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +98,466 $1,807 2¢ $2.4K +$606 09-10 19:12
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +54,040 $1,257 4¢ $2.1K +$877 10-19 07:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98,147 $1,878 2¢ $2.1K +$232 10-20 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,008 $129 42¢ $2.1K +$1,950 09-10 22:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +51,907 $4,573 4¢ $2.1K -$2,497 10-27 20:05