Realized P&L
-$245
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,795
lifetime
Volume
$155.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.60K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
72% 57% +$124
Sports
20% 67% $-369
Politics
6%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +402 $394 99¢ $399 +$5 05-29 11:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -230 $-207 90¢ $-208 $-1 06-11 02:29
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No +218 $200 93¢ $202 +$2 05-30 00:11
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? No -194 $-194 99¢ $-192 +$2 06-09 17:50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +200 $172 88¢ $175 +$3 06-04 00:39
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +109 $100 97¢ $105 +$5 06-02 21:17
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? No +111 $100 88¢ $98 $-2 05-30 00:12
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$2 06-04 07:28
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +100 $67 66¢ $65 $-1 06-03 11:17
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +36 $27 90¢ $32 +$5 06-11 13:34
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up -31 $-17 42¢ $-13 +$3 05-31 02:19
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +10 $9 93¢ $10 +$0 05-28 04:47
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? Yes -38 $-5 10¢ $-4 +$1 06-10 02:36