Realized P&L
-$245
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,808
lifetime
Volume
$158.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.30K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-24 07:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
71% 57% +$124
Sports
21% 67% $-369
Politics
6%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -308 $-206 78¢ $-240 $-34 06-19 12:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -230 $-207 94¢ $-215 $-8 06-11 02:29
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No +218 $200 97¢ $210 +$10 05-30 00:11
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +200 $172 84¢ $169 $-3 06-04 00:39
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +109 $100 94¢ $102 +$2 06-02 21:17
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? No +111 $100 91¢ $101 +$1 05-30 00:12
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $95 95¢ $95 $-0 06-04 07:28
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +100 $83 90¢ $90 +$7 06-18 15:34
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +100 $67 66¢ $66 $-0 06-03 11:17
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up -31 $-17 29¢ $-9 +$8 05-31 02:19
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? Yes -38 $-5 10¢ $-4 +$1 06-10 02:36